EPL Prediction: Manchester United vs Liverpool (Sunday, October 19 at 11:30 AM ET)
| Market / Trend | MUN | LIV |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +410 | -175 |
| Total (O/U) | 2.5 | |
| Handicap | +1.0 (-114) | -1.0 (+103) |
| Last 5 GPG | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| Record | 3-1-3 | 5-0-2 |
| Lines: FanDuel, William Hill, Pinnacle | ||
More EPL picks: Manchester United · Liverpool
Introduction
Liverpool and Manchester United enter this matchup with a combined scoring rate nearing four goals per match, signaling a matchup tilted toward attacking football. Manchester United’s mixed form contrasts sharply with Liverpool’s unbeaten stretch, creating a clear divide in consistency. With both sides generating steady shot volumes, the tempo are positioned to be high and chances frequent, setting the stage for a decisive outcome.
Game Time
Game time: Sunday, October 19 at 11:30 AM ET at Anfield.
Odds
- Manchester United: +410
- Liverpool: -175
Total: 2.5
Handicap — Manchester United: +1.0 (-114)
Handicap — Liverpool: -1.0 (+103)
Latest Team Records
Manchester United: 3-1-3 (Win %: 0.429 )
Liverpool: 5-0-2 (Win %: 0.714 )
Team Analysis
Manchester United
Manchester United have three wins and one loss, showing a side capable of scoring but still inconsistent defensively. Their 82 total shots with 34 on target underline steady chance creation, yet the 11.0% conversion rate reveals wastefulness in front of goal. With only one clean sheet from seven outings, their back line remains vulnerable against sustained pressure.
The home record of three wins and no losses reflects stability at Old Trafford, but away results tell a different story with one loss and two draws. Averaging 1.8 goals per game across both recent samples, they remain productive but not clinical. Against a Liverpool side that rarely concedes at home, United’s creative volume must rise to offset their finishing inefficiency.
- Goals: 9
- Total Shots: 82
- Shots on Target: 34
- Total Passes: 3158
- Clean Sheets: 1
- Yellow Cards: 6
- Hit Woodwork: 5
- Offsides: 11
- Shot Conversion: 11.0%
- Passes per Shot: 38.51
- Discipline: Y:6 • R:0 • Off:11
Away Record: 0-1-2 • Home Record: 3-0-1 • Last 5: 3-1-3 (1.8 GPG) • Last 10: 3-1-3 (1.8 GPG)
Manchester United: 82 total shots (season) • 34 on target (season)
Liverpool
Liverpool’s unbeaten run of five wins and two draws reflects a team that converts possession into results. At home, three wins and no losses demonstrate a solid base, supported by 13 goals from 69 attempts and an 18.8% conversion rate. Their passing rhythm, averaging over fifty passes per shot, shows patience before striking decisively.
Recent figures point to 2.2 goals per game, confirming sustained attacking output rather than a temporary surge. With two clean sheets and disciplined control in midfield, Liverpool’s structure limits exposure while maximizing forward efficiency. That balance, paired with a flawless home record, makes them the clear favorite to dictate this contest.
- Goals: 13
- Total Shots: 69
- Shots on Target: 30
- Total Passes: 3679
- Clean Sheets: 2
- Yellow Cards: 15
- Hit Woodwork: 1
- Offsides: 8
- Shot Conversion: 18.8%
- Passes per Shot: 53.32
- Discipline: Y:15 • R:0 • Off:8
Home Record: 3-0-0 • Away Record: 2-0-2 • Last 5: 5-0-2 (2.2 GPG) • Last 10: 5-0-2 (2.2 GPG)
Liverpool: 69 total shots (season) • 30 on target (season)
Head-to-Head
These sides haven’t met in 2025 yet; treat H2H as neutral.
O/U Trends
Liverpool’s recent matches have averaged 2.2 total goals and Manchester United’s have averaged 1.8. Combined recent output 4.0 vs the posted total of 2.5 informs the lean.
Moneyline Prediction
Liverpool’s unbeaten form and strong home record contrast sharply with Manchester United’s uneven away performances. Their higher conversion rate and structured buildup grant them control in key areas where United have struggled. The metrics and odds align—Liverpool are positioned to secure the victory.
Draw safety: Low — no clear draw indicators.
Match dynamics favor Liverpool from kick-off to final whistle.
Over/Under Prediction
Liverpool have produced 2.2 GPG and Manchester United 1.8 through 2 matches. That output frames how this total sets up.
These clubs are combining for 4.0 goals recently — measured against the posted total of 2.5.
Pick: Over 2.5.
Bookmakers
Pricing courtesy of:
- FanDuel
- William Hill
- Pinnacle
Parlamaz earns affiliate commissions from links.
EPL Predictions FAQ
Quick answers about how we price matches and bet EPL totals.
What do moneyline, Asian handicap, and total mean in EPL betting?
Moneyline: who wins the match. Asian handicap: a spread like -0.25 or -0.5 that can refund part of a draw. Total: combined goals, often 2.5. When Asian or DNB adds value, we say so.
How often are picks updated?
We update near confirmed lineups, injuries, and big odds moves. Check back close to kickoff for final notes.
