Introduction

A compelling American League and National League showdown awaits us as the Tampa Bay Rays are set to battle it out against the Cincinnati Reds. This clash features two teams with matching records, but divergent performance trends on the horizon. Let’s see what this encounter has in store.

Game Time

The action begins at Saturday, July 26 at 06:40 PM ET inside Great American Ball Park, one of MLB’s most hitter-friendly venues.

Moneyline Odds

Tampa Bay Rays: +101
Cincinnati Reds: -120
Over/Under Line: 9.0

Latest Team Records

The Tampa Bay Rays have a record of 53-50 with a win percentage of 0.515, while the Cincinnati Reds hold a record of 53-50 with a win percentage of 0.515.

Injury Report

Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

Tampa Bay Rays

• Junior Caminero: 0.262 AVG, 26 HR, 68 RBI
• Yandy Diaz: 0.29 AVG, 17 HR, 60 RBI
• Jonathan Aranda: 0.318 AVG, 11 HR, 50 RBI

Cincinnati Reds

• Elly De La Cruz: 0.276 AVG, 18 HR, 65 RBI
• Austin Hays: 0.278 AVG, 10 HR, 40 RBI
• Gavin Lux: 0.275 AVG, 4 HR, 40 RBI

Team Analysis

Tampa Bay Rays

The Tampa Bay Rays have been facing a rough patch recently with a streak of only one win in their last five games. The squad will no doubt be eager to break out of this slump, especially given their disappointing road performance this season. Despite these challenges, their offensive potential cannot be ignored, with key players like Junior Caminero and Yandy Diaz continually serving as significant threats at the plate.

The Rays’ recent run has been marked by inconsistencies in scoring, placing an additional strain on their rhythm. However, flashes of brilliance, mainly from Jonathan Aranda, suggest that this team has the strength to deliver surprising outcomes on the road. If they tap into this potential fully, they could be looking at a turnaround in their current trajectory.

• Batting Average: 0.258
• Total Runs Scored: 483
• Home Runs: 113
• OPS: 0.728
• ERA: 3.85
• WHIP: 1.2

Away Record: 22-23 • Home Record: 31-28
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (4.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 3-7 (4.1 RPG)

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Cincinnati Reds

The Cincinnati Reds, on the other hand, have shown a slightly better recent form with two victories in their last five games. At home, they’ve shown a degree of dominance and stability that could work in their favor during this matchup. Players like Elly De La Cruz and Austin Hays have been demonstrating consistent output, contributing significantly to the team’s confidence and rhythm.

Although they’ve had a mixed run, their trend reveals they’re marginally on the upside. On home turf, the Reds have the required momentum, coupled with emerging key performers like Gavin Lux starting to find their feet. This balance of seasoned players and budding talent is shaping the Reds to be a formidable force, especially in front of the home crowd.

• Batting Average: 0.246
• Total Runs Scored: 470
• Home Runs: 107
• OPS: 0.714
• ERA: 3.91
• WHIP: 1.24

Away Record: 25-28 • Home Record: 29-22
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (4.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (4.6 RPG)

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Head-to-Head History

Cincinnati Reds lead 1–0 (Last 1 games)

• 2025-07-25: TB 2 @ CIN 7

Over/Under Trends

Tampa Bay Rays’ last 10 games have averaged 8.9 total runs per game, with 3 of those going over the posted total of 9.0.

Cincinnati Reds’ last 10 games have seen an average of 8.1 combined runs, with 2 games clearing the same line of 9.0.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Given the consistent form of the Cincinnati Reds at home, as well as the recent successes of their key players, they stand poised to capture the win. The contrast of the Tampa Bay Rays’ struggle on the road further underscores this. The Reds’ balance of tried-and-tested contributors coupled with emerging talent make them the smart side in this matchup.

Given recent form and matchup edges, the Cincinnati Reds are the smart side.

Over/Under Prediction

Averaging 4.6 runs per game lately, the Cincinnati Reds are ramping up offensively, while the Tampa Bay Rays are putting up 4.2. That could influence how this matchup shapes up against the total.

These teams are combining for 8.8 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 9.0, a crucial pivot point in betting markets. Our pick is Under 9.0.

Bookmakers

These lines come from: BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, FanDuel, Caesars, MyBookie.ag, DraftKings, BetMGM, BetUS, Fanatics, BetRivers, Bovada.

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