MLB Prediction: Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins (Monday, August 25 at 06:40 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | ATL | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -120 | +100 |
| Total (O/U) | 8.0 | |
| Run Line | -1.5 (140) | +1.5 (-161) |
| Last 5 RPG | 5.0 | 4.6 |
| Record | 59–71 | 61–69 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: Atlanta Braves · Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves’ recent surge is impossible to ignore, winning 7 of their last 10 while averaging 5.5 runs per game, and that consistency frames this MLB prediction against Miami. The Braves’ lineup has been producing steady power while the Marlins have dropped 7 of their last 10, signaling a clear separation in form. With both offenses combining for nearly double-digit output in recent games, the Over also gains traction alongside an assertive lean toward Atlanta.
Game Time
First pitch comes at Monday, August 25 at 06:40 PM ET inside pitcher-friendly loanDepot Park with controlled scoring.
Odds & Spread Line
- Atlanta Braves: -120
- Miami Marlins: +100
Total: 8
- Run Line — Atlanta Braves: -1.5 (+140)
- Run Line — Miami Marlins: +1.5 (-161)
Latest Team Records
Atlanta Braves: 59-71 (Win %: 0.454)
Miami Marlins: 61-69 (Win %: 0.469)
Injury Report
Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
Atlanta Braves
- Matt Olson: 0.268 AVG, 19 HR, 72 RBI
- Michael Harris II: 0.253 AVG, 16 HR, 68 RBI
- Ronald Acuna Jr.: 0.301 AVG, 15 HR, 30 RBI
Miami Marlins
- Kyle Stowers: 0.288 AVG, 25 HR, 73 RBI
- Agustin Ramirez: 0.231 AVG, 18 HR, 56 RBI
- Otto Lopez: 0.24 AVG, 11 HR, 59 RBI
Team Analysis
Atlanta Braves
The Braves enter this matchup with a 59-71 record but have shown a clear uptick in recent weeks, going 3-2 across their last five and 7-3 over their last ten. That stretch has seen them average well above five runs per game, signaling a balanced offense that is finding rhythm. Ronald Acuna Jr.’s ability to reach base consistently has created scoring chances that Atlanta is converting, making their lineup a reliable betting side.
On the road, Atlanta has struggled overall at 26-38, but their recent scoring surge offsets those concerns. Michael Harris II has provided timely run production while Matt Olson continues to drive in runs at a steady clip, keeping the offense dangerous in any park. With a lineup that has shown it can deliver multiple runs per game consistently, Atlanta has the clear edge in momentum and scoring potential.
- Batting Average: 0.244
- Total Runs Scored: 570
- Home Runs: 144
- OBP: 0.32
- SLG: 0.393
- OPS: 0.713
- ERA: 4.38
- WHIP: 1.31
Away Record: 26-38 • Home Record: 33-33
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (5.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 7-3 (5.5 RPG)
Miami Marlins
Miami sits at 61-69 but has stumbled badly of late, going just 2-3 in their last five and 3-7 across the last ten, averaging only 4.1 runs in that span. Kyle Stowers has been the one consistent power bat, but the supporting cast has not delivered enough to sustain winning results. Their home record of 30-35 reflects a lack of control in front of their own crowd, leaving bettors with little reason to back them here.
Agustin Ramirez and Otto Lopez have provided flashes but not enough consistent production to lift Miami Marlins’ offense above mediocrity. Despite some occasional scoring, the Marlins have not been able to string together enough wins to build confidence, particularly against a divisional opponent that has had their number recently. With their form trending downward, Miami lacks the stability to be trusted in this matchup.
- Batting Average: 0.25
- Total Runs Scored: 562
- Home Runs: 127
- OBP: 0.314
- SLG: 0.395
- OPS: 0.709
- ERA: 4.5
- WHIP: 1.29
Away Record: 31-34 • Home Record: 30-35
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (4.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 3-7 (4.1 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Atlanta Braves lead 5–3 (Last 8 games)
- August 10, 2025: MIA 1 @ ATL 7
- August 09, 2025: MIA 6 @ ATL 8
- August 09, 2025: MIA 1 @ ATL 7
- August 08, 2025: MIA 5 @ ATL 1
- August 07, 2025: MIA 6 @ ATL 8
- June 22, 2025: ATL 3 @ MIA 5
- June 21, 2025: ATL 7 @ MIA 0
- June 20, 2025: ATL 2 @ MIA 6
Over/Under Trends
Atlanta Braves’ last 10 games have averaged 11.0 total runs, with 6 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.
Miami Marlins’ last 10 games have averaged 9.4 combined runs, with 5 games clearing the same number of 8.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
The Braves’ recent surge, combined with a 7-3 mark over their last ten and a 5–3 advantage in the season series, makes them the superior side. Their offense is generating consistent run support from multiple sources, while Miami has lost control of its rhythm at home. Atlanta Braves’ deeper lineup and recent head-to-head dominance give them a decisive edge in this matchup.
This sets up cleanly for the Atlanta Braves to finish on top.
Over/Under Prediction
In their last five, the Miami Marlins have produced 4.6 RPG and the Atlanta Braves 5.0. That output frames how this total sets up.
These teams are combining for 9.6 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 8.0. That points toward the Over 8.0.
Bookmakers
Available at: BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, MyBookie.ag, BetUS, FanDuel, BetRivers, BetMGM, Bovada, Fanatics.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?
Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.
What’s a good price range for today’s pick (Aug 25, 2025)?
We list a target price in the post. If the market moves past that number, reduce stake size or pass instead of chasing worse odds.
How should I size my bets?
Use a consistent unit (about 1–2% of bankroll). Singles should be most of your volume. We like parlays—smart ones. Keep legs tight (2–3), cap risk to 0.25–0.5u, and pass when the price isn’t there.
