More EPL picks: Wolverhampton Wanderers · Tottenham Hotspur

Introduction

Tottenham Hotspur’s sharper finishing—over 21% shot conversion compared to Wolves’ single-digit rate—sets a decisive tone for this matchup. With Spurs carrying a winning record and Wolves still searching for their first point, the gap in efficiency and form is glaring. Even with the early-season sample still building, Tottenham Hotspur’s balance of defensive solidity and offensive punch makes them the side to trust here.

Game Time

Game time: Saturday, September 27 at 03:00 PM ET at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

Odds

• Wolverhampton Wanderers: +500
• Tottenham Hotspur: -210

Total: 2.5

Handicap — Wolverhampton Wanderers: +1.0 (+106)
Handicap — Tottenham Hotspur: -1.0 (-117)

Latest Team Records

Wolverhampton Wanderers: 0-0-5 (Win %: 0.000 )
Tottenham Hotspur: 3-1-1 (Win %: 0.600 )

Lineups

No confirmed lineups yet.

Team Analysis

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Wolves have struggled badly to turn possession into real threat, with over 2,000 passes yielding just 35 shots and a conversion rate under 9%. That inefficiency explains their inability to register a win across five outings, leaving them goalless in terms of results and thin in confidence. Their attack looks labored, and against a Spurs side that punishes mistakes, this lack of cutting edge is a major concern.

Defensively, Wolves’ discipline has wavered with double-digit bookings already stacking up, adding unnecessary pressure in tight moments. Their last-5 and last-10 averages of just 1.5 goals per game show a side that can occasionally find the net but not at a rate that changes matches. Facing a Tottenham team averaging more than a goal and a half higher, Wolves look destined to be overrun if patterns hold.

• Goals: 3
• Total Shots: 35
• Shots on Target: 17
• Total Passes: 2075
• Yellow Cards: 10
• Offsides: 8
• Shot Conversion: 8.6%
• Passes per Shot: 59.29
• Discipline: Y:10 • R:0 • Off:8

Away Record: 0-0-2 • Home Record: 0-0-3 • Last 5: 0-0-5 (1.5 GPG) • Last 10: 0-0-5 (1.5 GPG)

Wolverhampton Wanderers: 35 total shots (season) • 17 on target (season)

Tottenham Hotspur

Tottenham have combined clinical finishing with structure, converting over one in five shots into goals and already racking up double-digit scoring. At home, they’ve split results but still shown the ability to dictate play with efficient passing and more direct chance creation than their opponents. Add three clean sheets into the mix, and Spurs look balanced in both phases of the game.

Their recent form—three wins in five with a 2.0 goals per game clip—shows a side that consistently sets the pace regardless of venue. Spurs’ passing-to-shot ratio is far leaner than Wolves’, indicating they break lines with intent rather than sterile possession. With their attack humming and home advantage in play, Tottenham are positioned to impose themselves decisively here.

• Goals: 10
• Total Shots: 47
• Shots on Target: 20
• Total Passes: 2376
• Clean Sheets: 3
• Yellow Cards: 9
• Offsides: 8
• Shot Conversion: 21.3%
• Passes per Shot: 50.55
• Discipline: Y:9 • R:0 • Off:8

Home Record: 1-0-1 • Away Record: 2-1-0 • Last 5: 3-1-1 (2.0 GPG) • Last 10: 3-1-1 (2.0 GPG)

Tottenham Hotspur: 47 total shots (season) • 20 on target (season)

Head-to-Head

O/U Trends

Tottenham Hotspur’s recent matches have averaged 2.0 total goals and Wolverhampton Wanderers’s have averaged 1.5. Combined recent output 3.5 vs the posted total of 2.5 informs the lean.

Moneyline Prediction

Tottenham Hotspur’s superior form, sharper attack, and defensive stability make them the clear side to back. Wolves are winless and inefficient in front of goal, while Spurs have proven they can both score freely and shut games down. The matchup points directly to Tottenham taking control and securing the result.

Draw safety: Low — no clear draw indicators.

Tottenham Hotspur are the right side on balance of chances and recent output.

Over/Under Prediction

Tottenham Hotspur have produced 2.0 GPG and Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.5 through 2 matches. That output frames how this total sets up.

These clubs are combining for 3.5 goals recently — measured against the posted total of 2.5.
Pick: Over 2.5.

Bookmakers

Pricing courtesy of:

• FanDuel
• 1xBet
• Pinnacle

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John TamburinoVerified

Lead Analyst — data-first, former college athlete.

John Tamburino grew up on travel baseball and three years of varsity basketball, then played college baseball before shifting to analytics. He still watches everything—from weekday tennis to all major league sports. At Parlamaz, John blends trusted data feeds with matchup context to find real value—no fluff, no paywalls.

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