More EPL picks: Wolverhampton Wanderers · Sunderland

Introduction

Through the early-season sample, both Wolverhampton Wanderers and Sunderland have revealed contrasting attacking profiles, with a combined scoring rate near three goals per outing. Sunderland’s sharper finishing and steadier back line stand out against a Wolves side still searching for its first win. This matchup sets up as a test of efficiency versus volume, and the metrics point clearly toward the visitors carrying the more balanced threat.

Game Time

Game time: Saturday, October 18 at 10:00 AM ET at the home ground.

Odds

• Wolverhampton Wanderers: +210
• Sunderland: +140

Total: 2.5

Handicap — Wolverhampton Wanderers: +0.5 (-128)
Handicap — Sunderland: -0.5 (+110)

Latest Team Records

Wolverhampton Wanderers: 0-2-5 (Win %: 0.000 )
Sunderland: 3-2-2 (Win %: 0.429 )

Team Analysis

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Wolverhampton Wanderers have generated five goals from forty-nine total shots, translating to a conversion rate just above ten percent. Their passing volume remains high at over twenty-eight hundred total passes, but with nearly fifty-eight passes per shot, possession often lacks penetration. The result is a side that struggles to turn build-up play into clear chances, and their zero-win record reflects that inefficiency.

Across their last five outings, Wolves have averaged just above a goal per game, showing limited improvement over the longer ten-match view. The effort level is consistent, yet the finishing touch continues to lag behind their shot count. Facing a Sunderland team that converts more often, Wolverhampton Wanderers must rely on defensive discipline to stay competitive, though the statistical edge still leans away from them.

• Goals: 5
• Total Shots: 49
• Shots on Target: 23
• Total Passes: 2822
• Yellow Cards: 14
• Hit Woodwork: 3
• Offsides: 9
• Shot Conversion: 10.2%
• Passes per Shot: 57.59
• Discipline: Y:14 • R:0 • Off:9

Away Record: 0-1-2 • Home Record: 0-1-3 • Last 5: 0-2-5 (1.2 GPG) • Last 10: 0-2-5 (1.2 GPG)

Wolverhampton Wanderers: 49 total shots (season) • 23 on target (season)

Sunderland

Sunderland’s home record of two wins and one loss underscores a solid base in front of their supporters. Their seven goals from fifty-one attempts yield a sharper finishing rate than Wolves, with a conversion figure near fourteen percent that highlights better shot quality. The balance between possession and directness—roughly fifty-three passes per shot—supports a controlled yet purposeful approach at home.

Over the last five matches, Sunderland have maintained a steady 1.5 goals per game, reflecting a consistent offensive rhythm. Their three clean sheets further reinforce a balanced structure that limits opponent chances without dulling their own attacking intent. In this setting, their measured precision and home consistency make them better positioned to capitalize on openings and extend their positive run.

• Goals: 7
• Total Shots: 51
• Shots on Target: 19
• Total Passes: 2708
• Clean Sheets: 3
• Yellow Cards: 13
• Hit Woodwork: 1
• Offsides: 7
• Shot Conversion: 13.7%
• Passes per Shot: 53.10
• Discipline: Y:13 • R:0 • Off:7

Home Record: 2-1-0 • Away Record: 1-1-2 • Last 5: 3-2-2 (1.5 GPG) • Last 10: 3-2-2 (1.5 GPG)

Sunderland: 51 total shots (season) • 19 on target (season)

Head-to-Head

O/U Trends

Sunderland’s recent matches have averaged 1.5 total goals and Wolverhampton Wanderers’s have averaged 1.2. Combined recent output 2.7 vs the posted total of 2.5 informs the lean.

Moneyline Prediction

Sunderland’s superior finishing rate, steadier home form, and ability to convert possession into real chances justify backing them on the moneyline. Wolverhampton Wanderers’ inability to turn long spells of passing into goals remains decisive. The odds favor Sunderland’s more efficient attack to secure the win.

Draw safety: Low — modest ML pricing on both sides.

Edge sits with Sunderland across form and goal threat.

Over/Under Prediction

Sunderland have produced 1.5 GPG and Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.2 through 2 matches. That output frames how this total sets up.

These clubs are combining for 2.7 goals recently — measured against the posted total of 2.5.
Pick: Over 2.5.

Bookmakers

Pricing courtesy of:

• FanDuel
• 1xBet
• Pinnacle

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John TamburinoVerified

Lead Analyst — data-first, former college athlete.

John Tamburino grew up on travel baseball and three years of varsity basketball, then played college baseball before shifting to analytics. He still watches everything—from weekday tennis to all major league sports. At Parlamaz, John blends trusted data feeds with matchup context to find real value—no fluff, no paywalls.

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