EPL Prediction: Leeds United vs Fulham (Saturday, September 13 at 02:00 PM ET)
| Market / Trend | LEE | FUL |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +300 | -115 |
| Total (O/U) | 2.5 | |
| Handicap | +0.5 (-102) | -0.5 (-108) |
| Last 5 GPG | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Record | 1-1-1 | 0-2-1 |
| Lines: FanDuel, Tipico, Pinnacle | ||
More EPL picks: Leeds United · Fulham
Introduction
Through 2 matches, Leeds United have leaned on defensive stability with two clean sheets, while Fulham remain winless and have struggled to find rhythm in attack. This early-season trend highlights a clear contrast: Leeds are grinding out results while Fulham are failing to turn possession into points. With such divergent starts, the matchup sets up as a test of resilience versus inefficiency.
Game Time
Game time: Saturday, September 13 at 02:00 PM ET at Craven Cottage.
Odds
- Leeds United: +300
- Fulham: -115
Total: 2.5
Handicap — Leeds United: +0.5 (-102)
Handicap — Fulham: -0.5 (-108)
Latest Team Records
Leeds United: 1-1-1 (Win %: 0.333 )
Fulham: 0-2-1 (Win %: 0.000 )
Lineups
No confirmed lineups yet.
Team Analysis
Leeds United
Leeds United’s defensive edge has been their defining feature, with two clean sheets already showing how well-drilled they are at the back. Their attack has been less efficient, converting just over five percent of their 18 attempts, but that discipline in structure has still delivered a positive start. This balance of resilience and cautious buildup positions them well against a Fulham side yet to win.
Looking at recent form, Leeds’ last five and last ten matches have both averaged just 0.3 goals per game, underscoring their low-scoring but controlled approach. Even with limited offensive production, their ability to frustrate opponents has yielded a 1-1-1 record, proving they can grind out results. That steadiness is exactly the profile needed to capitalize on Fulham’s lack of cutting edge.
- Goals: 1
- Total Shots: 18
- Shots on Target: 5
- Total Passes: 1185
- Clean Sheets: 2
- Yellow Cards: 3
- Offsides: 2
- Shot Conversion: 5.6%
- Passes per Shot: 65.83
- Discipline: Y:3 • R:0 • Off:2
Away Record: 0-0-1 • Home Record: 1-1-0 • Last 5: 1-1-1 (0.3 GPG) • Last 10: 1-1-1 (0.3 GPG)
Fulham
Fulham’s home form has been flat, with no wins and only a single match played at Craven Cottage yielding no breakthrough. Their shot conversion rate sits under nine percent despite generating 23 attempts, reflecting inefficiency in front of goal. Combined with six yellow cards already, their discipline issues only add to the pressure of trying to control matches at home.
Over their last five and ten matches, Fulham have averaged just 1.0 goal per game, a modest return that has not translated into victories. Their inability to protect leads or finish chances has left them at 0-2-1, a poor return for a side expected to be more competitive. With that kind of trajectory, Fulham’s home advantage is unlikely to matchup the matchup in their favor against Leeds’ defensive solidity.
- Goals: 2
- Total Shots: 23
- Shots on Target: 9
- Total Passes: 1257
- Yellow Cards: 6
- Offsides: 5
- Shot Conversion: 8.7%
- Passes per Shot: 54.65
- Discipline: Y:6 • R:0 • Off:5
Home Record: 0-1-0 • Away Record: 0-1-1 • Last 5: 0-2-1 (1.0 GPG) • Last 10: 0-2-1 (1.0 GPG)
Head-to-Head
These sides haven’t met in 2025 yet; treat H2H as neutral.
O/U Trends
Fulham’s recent matches have averaged 1.0 total goals and Leeds United’s have averaged 0.3. Combined recent output 1.3 vs the posted total of 2.5 informs the lean.
Moneyline Prediction
Leeds United’s defensive consistency and ability to limit opponents’ chances make them the sharper play against a Fulham side still searching for form. Fulham’s inefficiency in attack and lack of results at home further matchup the balance. Leeds’ structure and resilience point decisively toward an away win.
Back Leeds United — form, tempo, and venue point one way.
Over/Under Prediction
Fulham have produced 1.0 GPG and Leeds United 0.3 through 2 matches. That output frames how this total sets up.
These clubs are combining for 1.3 goals recently — measured against the posted total of 2.5.
Pick: Under 2.5.
Bookmakers
Pricing courtesy of:
- FanDuel
- Tipico
- Pinnacle
Parlamaz earns affiliate commissions from links.
EPL Predictions FAQ
Quick answers about how we price matches and bet EPL totals.
How often are picks updated?
We update near confirmed lineups, injuries, and big odds moves. Check back close to kickoff for final notes.
What do moneyline, Asian handicap, and total mean in EPL betting?
Moneyline: who wins the match. Asian handicap: a spread like -0.25 or -0.5 that can refund part of a draw. Total: combined goals, often 2.5. When Asian or DNB adds value, we say so.
How does Parlamaz handicap Leeds United vs Fulham?
First, we check the market for openers and moves. Next, we price the match with recent form, last-5 GPG, xG/xGA, home and away splits, and likely XI. We bet only when our price beats the market.
