More EPL picks: Crystal Palace · West Ham United

Introduction

Crystal Palace’s ability to generate a high ratio of shots on target despite limited overall attempts is a clear signal heading into this contest with West Ham United. Both clubs are still settling into rhythm, and with the early-season sample size, sharp bettors must weigh efficiency against raw results. Palace’s sharper edge in accuracy and defensive steadiness positions them to dictate tempo in what are positioned to be a decisive matchup.

Game Time

Game time: Saturday, September 20 at 02:00 PM ET at London Stadium.

Odds

• Crystal Palace: +140
• West Ham United: +200

Total: 2.5

Handicap — Crystal Palace: -0.5 (+111)
Handicap — West Ham United: +0.5 (-122)

Latest Team Records

Crystal Palace: 1-3-0 (Win %: 0.250 )
West Ham United: 1-0-3 (Win %: 0.250 )

Lineups

No confirmed lineups yet.

Team Analysis

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace’s four goals from just thirty total shots show a side that capitalizes on limited opportunities. With 18 of those efforts hitting the target, their accuracy rate stands out and offsets the slower buildup reflected in nearly fifty passes per shot. The three clean sheets also underscore a disciplined defensive base, giving them the stability to push forward selectively without fear of collapse.

Over their last five matches, Palace have averaged one goal per game, consistent with their ten-game trend, reflecting steady—if unspectacular—scoring. That consistency, however, is paired with a Defence that rarely concedes heavily, making their narrow margins more sustainable. With sharper finishing than their opponent and a proven ability to grind results, Palace’s trajectory aligns with a winning performance here.

• Goals: 4
• Total Shots: 30
• Shots on Target: 18
• Total Passes: 1480
• Clean Sheets: 3
• Yellow Cards: 10
• Hit Woodwork: 1
• Offsides: 4
• Shot Conversion: 13.3%
• Passes per Shot: 49.33
• Discipline: Y:10 • R:0 • Off:4

Away Record: 1-1-0 • Home Record: 0-2-0 • Last 5: 1-3-0 (1.0 GPG) • Last 10: 1-3-0 (1.0 GPG)

Crystal Palace: 30 total shots (season) • 18 on target (season)

West Ham United

West Ham have matched Palace with four goals but have needed more shots to reach that figure, reflecting a slightly weaker conversion rate. At home, their struggles are evident, with two straight losses and no points collected, highlighting a vulnerability in front of their own supporters. While their passing volume is higher, the lack of incisiveness in the final third has limited their ability to turn possession into goals.

Across their last five outings, West Ham have also averaged just one goal per game, mirroring their longer-term trend, but the single clean sheet shows a Defence that bends more often than it holds. Even with a commendably low disciplinary record, the lack of cutting edge at home weighs heavily against them. Against an opponent that thrives on efficiency, West Ham United’s inability to capitalize in their own stadium tilts the balance away from them.

• Goals: 4
• Total Shots: 34
• Shots on Target: 20
• Total Passes: 1637
• Clean Sheets: 1
• Yellow Cards: 1
• Offsides: 4
• Shot Conversion: 11.8%
• Passes per Shot: 48.15
• Discipline: Y:1 • R:0 • Off:4

Home Record: 0-0-2 • Away Record: 1-0-1 • Last 5: 1-0-3 (1.0 GPG) • Last 10: 1-0-3 (1.0 GPG)

West Ham United: 34 total shots (season) • 20 on target (season)

Head-to-Head

O/U Trends

West Ham United’s recent matches have averaged 1.0 total goals and Crystal Palace’s have averaged 1.0. Combined recent output 2.0 vs the posted total of 2.5 informs the lean.

Moneyline Prediction

Crystal Palace’s sharper finishing, defensive solidity, and ability to translate fewer chances into goals make them the logical side to back. West Ham United’s ongoing struggles at home only amplify the edge, setting Palace up to extract full value from this matchup.

Draw safety: High — low combined PPG; minimal PPG gap; modest ML pricing on both sides. Consider DNB (0.0) on the away side.

Back Crystal Palace — form, tempo, and venue point one way.

Over/Under Prediction

West Ham United have produced 1.0 GPG and Crystal Palace 1.0 through 2 matches. That output frames how this total sets up.

These clubs are combining for 2.0 goals recently — measured against the posted total of 2.5.
Pick: Under 2.5.

Bookmakers

Pricing courtesy of:

• FanDuel
• Tipico
• Pinnacle

Parlamaz earns affiliate commissions from links.

John TamburinoVerified

Lead Analyst — data-first, former college athlete.

John Tamburino grew up on travel baseball and three years of varsity basketball, then played college baseball before shifting to analytics. He still watches everything—from weekday tennis to all major league sports. At Parlamaz, John blends trusted data feeds with matchup context to find real value—no fluff, no paywalls.

X (Twitter)