EPL Prediction: Aston Villa vs Everton (Saturday, September 13 at 02:00 PM ET)
| Market / Trend | AVL | EVE |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +195 | +145 |
| Total (O/U) | 2.5 | |
| Handicap | +0.5 (-125) | -0.5 (+113) |
| Last 5 GPG | 0.0 | 3.0 |
| Record | 0-1-2 | 2-0-1 |
| Lines: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, Pinnacle | ||
More EPL picks: Aston Villa · Everton
Introduction
Everton’s 3.0 goals per game through 2 matches is the clearest early-season trend separating these sides, while Aston Villa have yet to record a single goal. The contrast in attacking output underscores a matchup where Everton’s efficiency and form are positioned to dictate the pace. With Villa struggling to convert possession into end product, Everton’s sharper edge in front of goal makes them the side to trust.
Game Time
Game time: Saturday, September 13 at 02:00 PM ET at Goodison Park.
Odds
- Aston Villa: +195
- Everton: +145
Total: 2.5
Handicap — Aston Villa: +0.5 (-125)
Handicap — Everton: -0.5 (+113)
Latest Team Records
Aston Villa: 0-1-2 (Win %: 0.000 )
Everton: 2-0-1 (Win %: 0.667 )
Lineups
No confirmed lineups yet.
Team Analysis
Aston Villa
Aston Villa have managed just 24 total shots with nine on target, yet they remain scoreless across their early fixtures. The high volume of passes per shot underscores a side that moves the ball well but struggles to generate incisive opportunities. With only one clean sheet to offset their lack of attacking return, Villa’s balance is tilted toward possession without penetration.
Looking at their last-5 and last-10 form, the trend is clear: zero goals per game and no wins. That lack of cutting edge is magnified against an Everton team that has been ruthless in front of goal. Unless Villa find a way to break their scoring drought, they are positioned to be outpaced in a match that are positioned to favor the more clinical side.
- Total Shots: 24
- Shots on Target: 9
- Total Passes: 1428
- Clean Sheets: 1
- Yellow Cards: 5
- Offsides: 2
- Passes per Shot: 59.50
- Discipline: Y:5 • R:0 • Off:2
Away Record: 0-0-1 • Home Record: 0-1-1 • Last 5: 0-1-2 (0.0 GPG) • Last 10: 0-1-2 (0.0 GPG)
Everton
Everton have already struck five goals from just 20 shots, reflecting a sharp 25% conversion rate. That efficiency is backed by a balanced approach, with over 1100 passes feeding into their attack and a willingness to test defenses consistently. At home, where they are unbeaten, that combination of accuracy and momentum makes them a dangerous opponent.
Form-wise, Everton’s last-5 and last-10 runs show a steady 3.0 goals per game, which highlights their consistency rather than a one-off burst. A clean sheet in the mix proves they can lock down defensively as well, giving them multiple avenues to control the contest. With Goodison Park providing an extra edge, Everton’s blend of discipline and cutting edge positions them to extend their strong start.
- Goals: 5
- Total Shots: 20
- Shots on Target: 8
- Total Passes: 1144
- Clean Sheets: 1
- Yellow Cards: 7
- Offsides: 3
- Shot Conversion: 25.0%
- Passes per Shot: 57.20
- Discipline: Y:7 • R:0 • Off:3
Home Record: 1-0-0 • Away Record: 1-0-1 • Last 5: 2-0-1 (3.0 GPG) • Last 10: 2-0-1 (3.0 GPG)
Head-to-Head
These sides haven’t met in 2025 yet; treat H2H as neutral.
O/U Trends
Everton’s recent matches have averaged 3.0 total goals and Aston Villa’s have averaged 0.0. Combined recent output 3.0 vs the posted total of 2.5 informs the lean.
Moneyline Prediction
Everton’s sharper attack, proven conversion rate, and unbeaten home form make them the clear value side here. Aston Villa’s inability to score through multiple fixtures leaves them at a severe disadvantage, especially against an opponent averaging three goals per game. Everton’s momentum and efficiency point directly to a home victory.
Match dynamics favor Everton from kick-off to final whistle.
Over/Under Prediction
Everton have produced 3.0 GPG and Aston Villa 0.0 through 2 matches. That output frames how this total sets up.
These clubs are combining for 3.0 goals recently — measured against the posted total of 2.5.
Pick: Over 2.5.
Bookmakers
Pricing courtesy of:
- FanDuel
- MyBookie.ag
- Pinnacle
Parlamaz earns affiliate commissions from links.
EPL Predictions FAQ
Quick answers about how we price matches and bet EPL totals.
What do moneyline, Asian handicap, and total mean in EPL betting?
Moneyline: who wins the match. Asian handicap: a spread like -0.25 or -0.5 that can refund part of a draw. Total: combined goals, often 2.5. When Asian or DNB adds value, we say so.
How often are picks updated?
We update near confirmed lineups, injuries, and big odds moves. Check back close to kickoff for final notes.
What’s a sensible price range for Aston Villa vs Everton (Sep 13, 2025)?
Each post lists a target 'bet down to' price. If the market moves past it, reduce unit size or pass. Line shopping across books adds easy edge.
