MLB Prediction: New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox (Friday, August 29 at 07:40 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | NYY | CWS |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -227 | +188 |
| Total (O/U) | 8.5 | |
| Run Line | -1.5 (-130) | +1.5 (110) |
| Last 5 RPG | 8.6 | 4.8 |
| Record | 73–60 | 48–85 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: New York Yankees · Chicago White Sox
The Yankees enter this matchup analysis riding a perfect 5-0 stretch while averaging 8.6 runs per game, signaling a lineup firing at peak efficiency. Chicago has been far less stable, producing just two wins in their last five despite a higher recent scoring clip than their season norm. With New York Yankees’ offensive surge and Chicago’s inconsistent defense, the data points directly toward the Yankees controlling this game and pushing it over the total.
Game Time
Game time: Friday, August 29 at 07:40 PM ET inside Guaranteed Rate Field, run creation trends higher.
Odds & Spread Line
- New York Yankees: -227
- Chicago White Sox: +188
Total: 8.5
- Run Line — New York Yankees: -1.5 (-130)
- Run Line — Chicago White Sox: +1.5 (+110)
Latest Team Records
New York Yankees: 73-60 (Win %: 0.549)
Chicago White Sox: 48-85 (Win %: 0.361)
Injury Report
New York Yankees are missing Brent Headrick (Forearm), listed as 15-Day-IL; Oswaldo Cabrera (Ankle), listed as 60-Day-IL; Gerrit Cole (Elbow), listed as 60-Day-IL; Austin Slater (Hamstring), listed as 10-Day-IL. No other significant injuries are reported.
The Chicago White Sox are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
New York Yankees
- Aaron Judge: 0.323 AVG, 41 HR, 95 RBI
- Cody Bellinger: 0.279 AVG, 25 HR, 79 RBI
- Giancarlo Stanton: 0.313 AVG, 17 HR, 46 RBI
Chicago White Sox
- Lenyn Sosa: 0.27 AVG, 17 HR, 60 RBI
- Mike Tauchman: 0.278 AVG, 8 HR, 34 RBI
- Andrew Benintendi: 0.235 AVG, 15 HR, 48 RBI
Team Analysis
New York Yankees
The Yankees’ 5-0 mark in their last five games highlights a team maximizing production across the order. That streak included an 8.6 runs per game average, showing that Aaron Judge and Cody Bellinger are consistently driving scoring opportunities. Their ability to translate consistent offense into road wins makes them the clear side in this contest.
Over their last ten, the Yankees are 7-3 with 6.6 runs per game, reinforcing that this is sustained form rather than a short burst. Giancarlo Stanton adds further depth to an already dangerous lineup, giving New York multiple high-level threats to pressure pitching staffs. With a winning road record and recent efficiency, their current rhythm outweighs any potential variance.
- Batting Average: 0.251
- Total Runs Scored: 692
- Home Runs: 225
- OBP: 0.331
- SLG: 0.456
- OPS: 0.788
- ERA: 3.99
- WHIP: 1.26
Away Record: 33-32 • Home Record: 41-28
Last 5 Games: 5-0 (8.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 7-3 (6.6 RPG)
Chicago White Sox
The White Sox have struggled for rhythm, going 2-3 in their last five with 4.8 runs per game. Lenyn Sosa has been a bright spot, but overall inconsistency prevents them from capitalizing on his contributions. Their home record below .500 further drives home why they lack the reliability needed against a surging Yankees team.
Over their last ten contests, Chicago sits at 4-6 despite averaging 6.1 runs, a sign that defensive lapses and bullpen issues are undoing offensive output. Mike Tauchman and Andrew Benintendi provide some balance, yet it has not translated into wins at Guaranteed Rate Field. Facing a red-hot opponent, their inconsistency at home leaves them vulnerable.
- Batting Average: 0.234
- Total Runs Scored: 524
- Home Runs: 133
- OBP: 0.303
- SLG: 0.374
- OPS: 0.677
- ERA: 4.2
- WHIP: 1.36
Away Record: 19-46 • Home Record: 29-40
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (4.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (6.1 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
New York Yankees lead 1–0 (Most recent game)
- August 28, 2025: NYY 10 @ CHW 4
Over/Under Trends
New York Yankees’ last 10 games have averaged 10.6 total runs, with 8 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.5.
Chicago White Sox’s last 10 games have averaged 12.1 combined runs, with 7 games clearing the same number of 8.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
The Yankees’ five-game winning streak, paired with a strong road performance and a double-digit scoring output in the most recent head-to-head, makes them the clear side. With Judge, Bellinger, and Stanton fueling an offense averaging over six runs per game in their last ten, New York Yankees’ current trajectory is simply superior to Chicago’s inconsistency at home.
Markets point to the New York Yankees as the correct angle.
Over/Under Prediction
Recent five-game scoring: the Chicago White Sox are at 4.8 RPG and the New York Yankees at 8.6 — a useful baseline against the total.
These teams are combining for 13.4 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 8.5. That points toward the Over 8.5.
Bookmakers
Find these odds at: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, Bovada, BetMGM, BetUS, Fanatics, BetRivers.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
What’s a good price range for today’s pick (Aug 29, 2025)?
We list a target price in the post. If the market moves past that number, reduce stake size or pass instead of chasing worse odds.
How often are picks updated?
Daily. We update for confirmed lineups, injuries, and market moves. Check back near first pitch for final notes.
