MLB Prediction: New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox (Thursday, August 28 at 07:40 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | NYY | CWS |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -200 | +165 |
| Total (O/U) | 9.0 | |
| Run Line | -1.5 (-125) | +1.5 (105) |
| Last 5 RPG | 6.8 | 5.4 |
| Record | 73–60 | 48–84 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, Caesars, DraftKings +4 more | ||
More MLB picks: New York Yankees · Chicago White Sox
New York enters this matchup averaging 6.8 runs per game across its last five contests, a pace that sets the tone for a high-scoring environment in this MLB prediction against Chicago. While the Yankees’ road form has been uneven, the White Sox have matched them with 5.4 runs per game over the same stretch, showing their lineup can keep pace at home. With both teams trending toward double-digit combined totals, the sharper angle rests not just on the side but also on the total clearing the posted number.
Game Time
Opening pitch at Thursday, August 28 at 07:40 PM ET at Guaranteed Rate Field, power alleys invite damage.
Odds & Spread Line
- New York Yankees: -200
- Chicago White Sox: +165
Total: 9
- Run Line — New York Yankees: -1.5 (-125)
- Run Line — Chicago White Sox: +1.5 (+105)
Latest Team Records
New York Yankees: 73-60 (Win %: 0.549)
Chicago White Sox: 48-84 (Win %: 0.364)
Injury Report
New York Yankees are missing Jonathan Loaisiga (Elbow), listed as 15-Day-IL; Ryan Yarbrough (Oblique), listed as 15-Day-IL.
Chicago White Sox are missing Max Stassi (Undisclosed), listed as Day-To-Day.
Key Player Stats
New York Yankees
- Aaron Judge: 0.321 AVG, 40 HR, 93 RBI
- Cody Bellinger: 0.275 AVG, 24 HR, 78 RBI
- Giancarlo Stanton: 0.313 AVG, 17 HR, 46 RBI
Chicago White Sox
- Lenyn Sosa: 0.272 AVG, 17 HR, 60 RBI
- Mike Tauchman: 0.28 AVG, 8 HR, 34 RBI
- Miguel Vargas: 0.235 AVG, 13 HR, 48 RBI
Team Analysis
New York Yankees
The Yankees come in with a 4-1 record over their last five games, scoring at a 6.8 runs per game clip that demonstrates offensive rhythm. Aaron Judge has been the centerpiece of that surge, consistently driving production with power and run creation. Yet their 32-32 road record points to vulnerability away from home, where balance has not matched their home dominance.
Cody Bellinger’s steady production adds depth, but the Yankees’ reliance on big offensive nights masks inconsistencies when the lineup cools. Giancarlo Stanton has chipped in timely contributions, but the team’s pitching staff has not been as airtight as the bats. Against a White Sox group that has been scoring with regularity at home, the Yankees’ neutral road profile leaves them exposed.
- Batting Average: 0.25
- Total Runs Scored: 681
- Home Runs: 219
- OBP: 0.33
- SLG: 0.453
- OPS: 0.783
- ERA: 4.0
- WHIP: 1.27
Away Record: 32-32 • Home Record: 41-28
Last 5 Games: 4-1 (6.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 7-3 (6.4 RPG)
Chicago White Sox
The White Sox have gone 3-2 over their last five, producing 5.4 runs per game and showing balance in their offensive approach. Lenyn Sosa has been a steady run producer, giving this lineup a consistent middle-order presence. Their 29-39 home record is not imposing, but their recent scoring trend at this venue has been enough to keep them competitive.
Mike Tauchman’s contact skills and Miguel Vargas’ timely power combine to provide depth that stretches the order. With 5.9 runs per game across their last ten, Chicago has proven capable of sustaining scoring longer than their season totals suggest. That offensive consistency, paired with the Yankees’ road mediocrity, positions the White Sox as a live underdog with value at home.
- Batting Average: 0.234
- Total Runs Scored: 523
- Home Runs: 132
- OBP: 0.303
- SLG: 0.374
- OPS: 0.678
- ERA: 4.14
- WHIP: 1.36
Away Record: 19-46 • Home Record: 29-39
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (5.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (5.9 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
No recent matchups between these teams in 2025.
Over/Under Trends
New York Yankees’ last 10 games have averaged 10.4 total runs, with 6 games that would have cleared today’s total of 9.
Chicago White Sox’s last 10 games have averaged 11.5 combined runs, with 5 games clearing the same number of 9.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Chicago’s ability to produce nearly six runs per game over their last ten while holding serve at home makes them the sharper side against a Yankees team that has been merely average on the road. With Lenyn Sosa anchoring the order and complementary bats like Mike Tauchman and Miguel Vargas contributing, the White Sox have the balance to outscore a Yankees lineup that leans too heavily on streaky power away from home.
Mismatch vs perception: the Chicago White Sox at +165 are the sharper angle.
Over/Under Prediction
Recent five-game scoring: the Chicago White Sox are at 5.4 RPG and the New York Yankees at 6.8 — a useful baseline against the total.
These teams are combining for 12.2 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 9.0. That points toward the Over 9.0.
Bookmakers
Available at: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, Fanatics, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, BetMGM.
Parlamaz may earn affiliate commissions from links in this article.
MLB Predictions FAQ
How should I size my bets?
Use a consistent unit (about 1–2% of bankroll). Singles should be most of your volume. We like parlays—smart ones. Keep legs tight (2–3), cap risk to 0.25–0.5u, and pass when the price isn’t there.
How often are picks updated?
Daily. We update for confirmed lineups, injuries, and market moves. Check back near first pitch for final notes.
