MLB Prediction: New York Yankees vs Houston Astros (Tuesday, September 2 at 08:10 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | NYY | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -120 | +100 |
| Total (O/U) | 7.5 | |
| Run Line | -1.5 (145) | +1.5 (-170) |
| Last 5 RPG | 7.6 | 3.0 |
| Record | 76–61 | 76–62 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: New York Yankees · Houston Astros
The Yankees enter this matchup analysis riding a 4-1 stretch in their last five games with a potent 7.6 runs per game pace, a clear sign of offensive rhythm. The Astros, meanwhile, have been more modest at 3.0 runs per game over that same span, leaving their lineup searching for balance. With the Yankees’ road production holding steady and Houston Astros’ recent inconsistency, the data points firmly toward New York taking control and the scoreboard trending high.
Game Time
Slated for Tuesday, September 2 at 08:10 PM ET inside Minute Maid Park, pull-side power plays up.
Odds & Spread Line
- New York Yankees: -120
- Houston Astros: +100
Total: 7.5
- Run Line — New York Yankees: -1.5 (+145)
- Run Line — Houston Astros: +1.5 (-170)
Latest Team Records
New York Yankees: 76-61 (Win %: 0.555)
Houston Astros: 76-62 (Win %: 0.551)
Injury Report
The New York Yankees are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Houston Astros are missing Ronel Blanco (Elbow), listed as 60-Day-IL; Hayden Wesneski (Elbow), listed as 60-Day-IL.
Key Player Stats
New York Yankees
- Aaron Judge: 0.324 AVG, 43 HR, 97 RBI
- Cody Bellinger: 0.279 AVG, 26 HR, 83 RBI
- Jazz Chisholm Jr.: 0.238 AVG, 26 HR, 67 RBI
Houston Astros
- Jose Altuve: 0.274 AVG, 24 HR, 68 RBI
- Jeremy Pena: 0.307 AVG, 14 HR, 51 RBI
- Christian Walker: 0.235 AVG, 21 HR, 74 RBI
Team Analysis
New York Yankees
The Yankees’ 4-1 record across the last five games shows a group surging with offensive confidence, averaging 7.6 runs per contest during that stretch. That production has been fueled by consistent power from Aaron Judge and balanced contributions across the lineup, keeping pitchers under constant pressure. Their road record above .500 reinforces that this offense travels well, making them a reliable betting side away from home.
Over the last ten games at 7-3 with 6.1 runs per game, the Yankees’ consistency is undeniable and fits the profile of a moneyline favorite. Cody Bellinger’s steady run production and Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s ability to add depth give the lineup multiple threats beyond Judge. With this rhythm, bettors can trust New York to sustain scoring bursts and carry momentum into Houston.
- Batting Average: 0.25
- Total Runs Scored: 719
- Home Runs: 233
- OBP: 0.331
- SLG: 0.456
- OPS: 0.787
- ERA: 3.92
- WHIP: 1.26
Away Record: 35-33 • Home Record: 41-28
Last 5 Games: 4-1 (7.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 7-3 (6.1 RPG)
Houston Astros
The Astros’ 3-2 mark over the last five games with just 3.0 runs per outing highlights a team struggling to string together offense. While Jose Altuve remains a central piece, the lineup has lacked the same punch recently, forcing them to rely on situational hitting. Their home record is solid, but the current scoring dip limits their upside against a surging Yankees roster.
Over the last ten games at 6-4 with 4.1 runs per game, Houston has been competitive but not explosive. Jeremy Pena’s contact skills and Christian Walker’s run production offer stability, though neither has been enough to elevate the offense above average output. Against an opponent scoring nearly double their recent pace, the Astros project as the less reliable side for bettors.
- Batting Average: 0.253
- Total Runs Scored: 580
- Home Runs: 153
- OBP: 0.319
- SLG: 0.401
- OPS: 0.72
- ERA: 3.82
- WHIP: 1.22
Away Record: 34-32 • Home Record: 42-30
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (3.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (4.1 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Houston Astros lead 2–1 (Last 3 games)
- August 10, 2025: HOU 7 @ NYY 1
- August 09, 2025: HOU 4 @ NYY 5
- August 08, 2025: HOU 5 @ NYY 3
Over/Under Trends
New York Yankees’ last 10 games have averaged 9.6 total runs, with 7 games that would have cleared today’s total of 7.5.
Houston Astros’ last 10 games have averaged 7.8 combined runs, with 3 games clearing the same number of 7.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
The Yankees’ current 7-3 stretch with dominant run production makes them the sharper side, especially against an Astros lineup averaging just 3.0 runs over the last five contests. With Aaron Judge anchoring an attack that consistently pressures opposing pitching and a proven ability to win on the road, New York is the clear play to come out on top.
We’re backing the New York Yankees — the read is consistent across metrics.
Over/Under Prediction
Last five form shows the Houston Astros at 3.0 RPG and the New York Yankees at 7.6, giving context for the number.
These teams are combining for 10.6 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 7.5. That points toward the Over 7.5.
Bookmakers
Available at: FanDuel, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, BetUS, Bovada, BetMGM, BetRivers, MyBookie.ag, Fanatics.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
How often are picks updated?
Daily. We update for confirmed lineups, injuries, and market moves. Check back near first pitch for final notes.
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