Introduction

New York Yankees’ command over this series has been emphatic, taking the last two meetings by a combined 12-run margin, setting the tone for this MLB prediction. The Yankees’ home mark of 37-24 underscores their advantage, while Minnesota Twins’ 24-38 road record reflects vulnerability in this spot. With the Twins averaging just 3.4 runs per game over their last five, the matchup points squarely toward a disciplined Yankees performance and a lower-scoring outcome.

Game Time

The action begins at Wednesday, August 13 at 07:05 PM ET at Yankee Stadium, where the short porch boosts pull-side power.

Odds & Spread Line

• Minnesota Twins: +112
• New York Yankees: -135

Total: 8.5

• Run Line — Minnesota Twins: +1.5 (-165)
• Run Line — New York Yankees: -1.5 (+145)

Latest Team Records

Minnesota Twins: 56-62 (Win %: 0.475)
New York Yankees: 63-56 (Win %: 0.529)

Injury Report

The Minnesota Twins are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

New York Yankees are missing Oswaldo Cabrera (Ankle), listed as 60-Day-IL.

Key Player Stats

Minnesota Twins

• Byron Buxton: 0.28 AVG, 24 HR, 60 RBI
• Trevor Larnach: 0.243 AVG, 16 HR, 49 RBI
• Ryan Jeffers: 0.267 AVG, 8 HR, 40 RBI

New York Yankees

• Aaron Judge: 0.337 AVG, 38 HR, 88 RBI
• Cody Bellinger: 0.269 AVG, 21 HR, 68 RBI
• Giancarlo Stanton: 0.3 AVG, 12 HR, 34 RBI

Team Analysis

Minnesota Twins

The Twins’ 2-3 mark over their last five games, paired with 3.4 runs per game in that span, signals inconsistency at the plate. On the road, their 24-38 record highlights a recurring inability to translate offensive tools into wins away from home. While Byron Buxton’s power can change games, the supporting bats have not produced enough to offset these travel struggles against high-caliber opponents.

Trevor Larnach and Ryan Jeffers have provided moderate run production, but the lineup’s execution has lacked the sustained pressure needed to challenge in hostile environments. Minnesota Twins’ even 5-5 split over the last 10 games shows they can avoid prolonged losing streaks, yet road inefficiency remains a glaring weakness. Against a Yankees team that controls games well at home, the Twins’ offensive rhythm will be tested from the outset.

• Batting Average: 0.239
• Total Runs Scored: 497
• Home Runs: 140
• OPS: 0.708
• ERA: 4.31
• WHIP: 1.29

Away Record: 24-38 • Home Record: 32-25
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (3.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (4.4 RPG)

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New York Yankees

The Yankees’ 3-2 stretch over their last five, with 4.8 runs per game, reflects a balanced mix of timely hitting and situational execution. Their 37-24 home record underlines a consistent edge when playing in front of their own crowd. Aaron Judge’s elite production continues to anchor an offense capable of breaking games open, particularly when supported by Cody Bellinger’s steady contributions.

Despite a 4-6 mark over the last 10 games, New York has maintained competitive scoring and leveraged their power game effectively. Giancarlo Stanton’s ability to add depth to the order keeps opposing pitchers from focusing solely on the top of the lineup. In a matchup with a Twins team that has faltered on the road, the Yankees’ home-field strength positions them as the more reliable side.

• Batting Average: 0.25
• Total Runs Scored: 611
• Home Runs: 190
• OPS: 0.776
• ERA: 4.01
• WHIP: 1.25

Away Record: 27-32 • Home Record: 37-24
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (4.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (3.5 RPG)

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Head-to-Head History

New York Yankees lead 2–0 (Last 2 games)

• August 12, 2025: MIN 1 @ NYY 9
• August 11, 2025: MIN 2 @ NYY 6

Over/Under Trends

Minnesota Twins’ last 10 games have averaged 9.0 total runs, with 7 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.5.

New York Yankees’ last 10 games have averaged 7.5 combined runs, with 4 games clearing the same number of 8.5.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

New York Yankees’ superior home record, recent head-to-head dominance, and consistent run production from top-tier hitters like Aaron Judge and Cody Bellinger all point to a decisive edge. The Yankees have controlled the pace and scoreboard in this series, exploiting Minnesota Twins’ road inefficiencies and limiting their scoring opportunities. This matchup profile makes New York the clear side to trust for a result that aligns with their established strengths.

We’re backing the New York Yankees — the read is consistent across metrics.

Over/Under Prediction

Last five form shows the New York Yankees at 4.8 RPG and the Minnesota Twins at 3.4, giving context for the number.

These teams are combining for 8.2 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 8.5. That leans to a Under 8.5.

Bookmakers

You’ll find these markets at: BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, Bovada, BetUS, Fanatics, BetMGM, BetRivers.

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