Prediction Details

MLB Prediction: Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees (Tuesday, August 12 at 07:05 PM ET)

Introduction

Minnesota Twins’ road test in this MLB prediction comes against a New York lineup that has produced just 3.6 runs per game over its last five. The Twins have split their last ten and are averaging 5.0 runs in their recent five-game stretch, showing a more reliable scoring profile than the hosts. With New York struggling to convert home advantage into consistent scoring and Minnesota Twins’ offense finding timely production, the matchup sets up for the visitors to exploit recent form disparities.

Game Time

Opening pitch at Tuesday, August 12 at 07:05 PM ET inside Yankee Stadium, elevated home-run profile.

Starts in 14h 57m

Odds & Spread Line

  • Minnesota Twins: +180
  • New York Yankees: -222

Total: 9

  • Run Line — Minnesota Twins: +1.5 (-113)
  • Run Line — New York Yankees: -1.5 (-106)

Latest Team Records

Minnesota Twins: 56-61 (Win %: 0.479)
New York Yankees: 62-56 (Win %: 0.525)

Injury Report

The Minnesota Twins are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

New York Yankees are missing Gerrit Cole (Elbow), listed as 60-Day-IL; Amed Rosario (Collarbone), listed as 10-Day-IL.

Key Player Stats

Minnesota Twins

  • Byron Buxton: 0.282 AVG, 23 HR, 59 RBI
  • Trevor Larnach: 0.243 AVG, 15 HR, 48 RBI
  • Ryan Jeffers: 0.271 AVG, 8 HR, 40 RBI

New York Yankees

  • Aaron Judge: 0.337 AVG, 37 HR, 86 RBI
  • Cody Bellinger: 0.272 AVG, 20 HR, 66 RBI
  • Trent Grisham: 0.245 AVG, 21 HR, 45 RBI

Team Analysis

Minnesota Twins

With a 3-2 mark in their last five games (5.0 RPG), the Twins have shown competitive stability that translates into betting value, especially on the road where they’ve been tested extensively. Byron Buxton’s ability to generate extra-base damage has complemented Trevor Larnach’s timely run production, giving Minnesota multiple avenues to plate runs even against higher-tier pitching. Their road record reflects the challenges of their schedule, but recent scoring output indicates they can pressure opposing staffs in hostile environments.

Ryan Jeffers’ consistent contact adds another layer to an offense that has found ways to sustain rallies over the past two series. The Twins’ neutral 5-5 performance over the last ten games underscores their ability to avoid prolonged slumps, a critical factor when facing a home team in a scoring funk. Their current form suggests they can capitalize on New York Yankees’ muted offensive rhythm to control the pace and dictate the game’s scoring ceiling.

  • Batting Average: 0.241
  • Total Runs Scored: 496
  • Home Runs: 140
  • OPS: 0.712
  • ERA: 4.26
  • WHIP: 1.27

Away Record: 24-37 • Home Record: 32-25
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (5.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (4.5 RPG)


New York Yankees

The Yankees’ 3-2 record in their last five games comes with a modest 3.6 RPG, highlighting an offense that has lacked consistent punch despite Aaron Judge’s elite production. Cody Bellinger’s power numbers have been steady, but the lineup’s inability to string together sustained rallies has limited their scoring ceiling. At home, they’ve been solid overall, yet recent run totals suggest they are vulnerable to being contained by disciplined pitching staffs.

Over the last ten games, New York Yankees’ 3-7 mark (3.8 RPG) reflects a downturn in offensive rhythm that undermines their strong season record. Trent Grisham’s contributions have provided occasional sparks, but the unit’s collective output has been too sporadic to overwhelm opponents. Against a Minnesota squad showing balanced offensive contributions, the Yankees’ current scoring profile makes them susceptible to a lower-scoring outcome and an upset result.

  • Batting Average: 0.249
  • Total Runs Scored: 602
  • Home Runs: 187
  • OPS: 0.772
  • ERA: 4.04
  • WHIP: 1.26

Away Record: 27-32 • Home Record: 36-24
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (3.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 3-7 (3.8 RPG)


Head-to-Head History

New York Yankees lead 1–0 (Most recent game)

  • August 11, 2025: MIN 2 @ NYY 6

Over/Under Trends

Minnesota Twins’ last 10 games have averaged 8.5 total runs, with 2 games that would have cleared today’s total of 9.0.

New York Yankees’ last 10 games have averaged 9.0 combined runs, with 3 games clearing the same number of 9.0.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Minnesota Twins’ balanced attack, fueled by recent multi-run contributions from multiple lineup spots, aligns with New York Yankees’ downturn in offensive efficiency to create a clear edge for the visitors. Their ability to sustain five runs per game in recent contests positions them to outpace a Yankees team averaging under four runs in its last ten. The Twins’ current form and situational scoring advantage make them the superior side to back for this matchup.

We’re backing the Minnesota Twins at +180 as the value side.

Over/Under Prediction

In their last five, the New York Yankees have produced 3.6 RPG and the Minnesota Twins 5.0. That output frames how this total sets up.

These teams are combining for 8.6 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 9.0. That leans to a Under 9.0.

Bookmakers

Lines retrieved from: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, Fanatics, Bovada, DraftKings, Caesars.

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