MLB Prediction: Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox (Sunday, August 24 at 02:10 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | MIN | CWS |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -141 | +115 |
| Total (O/U) | 9.0 | |
| Run Line | -1.5 (120) | +1.5 (-145) |
| Last 5 RPG | 4.0 | 7.4 |
| Record | 59–70 | 46–83 |
| Lines: FanDuel, Fanatics, MyBookie.ag | ||
More MLB picks: Minnesota Twins · Chicago White Sox
The Twins enter this matchup on a 1-4 slide over their last five games, producing just 4.0 runs per contest, while the White Sox have been far more explosive at 7.4 RPG in the same span. That scoring gap is a clear signal in this MLB prediction, especially when factoring in Chicago’s ability to push games above the total. Minnesota Twins’ road form has been shaky all season, and with the White Sox showing offensive rhythm at home, the betting edge tilts decisively toward Chicago and the Over.
Game Time
Game time: Sunday, August 24 at 02:10 PM ET inside Guaranteed Rate Field, run creation trends higher.
Odds & Spread Line
- Minnesota Twins: -141
- Chicago White Sox: +115
Total: 9
- Run Line — Minnesota Twins: -1.5 (+120)
- Run Line — Chicago White Sox: +1.5 (-145)
Latest Team Records
Minnesota Twins: 59-70 (Win %: 0.457)
Chicago White Sox: 46-83 (Win %: 0.357)
Injury Report
Minnesota Twins are missing Simeon Woods Richardson (Illness), listed as 15-Day-IL.
The Chicago White Sox are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
Minnesota Twins
- Byron Buxton: 0.272 AVG, 25 HR, 62 RBI
- Brooks Lee: 0.25 AVG, 13 HR, 53 RBI
- Trevor Larnach: 0.244 AVG, 16 HR, 51 RBI
Chicago White Sox
- Lenyn Sosa: 0.272 AVG, 17 HR, 57 RBI
- Mike Tauchman: 0.273 AVG, 8 HR, 34 RBI
- Miguel Vargas: 0.23 AVG, 13 HR, 47 RBI
Team Analysis
Minnesota Twins
The Twins’ 1-4 mark over their last five games highlights a team failing to generate sustained confidence. Averaging 4.0 runs in that span, they have lacked the consistency to pressure opponents on the road. Byron Buxton has provided power, but the overall lineup has not translated individual production into wins away from home, where their 26-39 record emphasizes vulnerability.
Brooks Lee and Trevor Larnach have chipped in offensively, yet the results remain neutral at best over the last ten games, with a 3-7 mark and the same 4.0 RPG output. This lack of momentum combined with poor road form makes the Twins unreliable in moneyline markets. Their inability to string together wins has left them trailing opponents who are finding ways to manufacture more runs.
- Batting Average: 0.238
- Total Runs Scored: 534
- Home Runs: 147
- OBP: 0.31
- SLG: 0.395
- OPS: 0.705
- ERA: 4.27
- WHIP: 1.29
Away Record: 26-39 • Home Record: 33-31
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (4.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 3-7 (4.0 RPG)
Chicago White Sox
The White Sox have been more effective offensively, scoring 7.4 runs per game across their last five contests despite a 2-3 record. Lenyn Sosa continues to deliver run production, and Mike Tauchman has been a steady contributor in getting on base. Their home record of 27-37 is not dominant, but it provides a stronger baseline than Minnesota Twins’ road struggles, giving Chicago an edge in this matchup.
Over the last ten games, Chicago has averaged 5.1 runs while going 3-7, which still marks them as a side capable of pushing totals higher. Miguel Vargas has added depth to the order, elevating the team’s ability to score at home. The White Sox’s recent ability to create high-scoring games positions them as a live underdog with value, especially against a Twins team that has faltered away from home.
- Batting Average: 0.232
- Total Runs Scored: 497
- Home Runs: 126
- OBP: 0.302
- SLG: 0.371
- OPS: 0.673
- ERA: 4.2
- WHIP: 1.37
Away Record: 19-46 • Home Record: 27-37
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (7.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 3-7 (5.1 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Minnesota Twins lead 3–2 (Last 5 games)
- August 23, 2025: MIN 3 @ CHW 7
- August 22, 2025: MIN 9 @ CHW 7
- April 24, 2025: CHW 3 @ MIN 0
- April 23, 2025: CHW 3 @ MIN 6
- April 22, 2025: CHW 2 @ MIN 4
Over/Under Trends
Minnesota Twins’ last 10 games have averaged 9.3 total runs, with 4 games that would have cleared today’s total of 9.
Chicago White Sox’s last 10 games have averaged 10.6 combined runs, with 5 games clearing the same number of 9.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Chicago’s recent scoring surge, highlighted by 7.4 runs per game over the last five outings, outweighs Minnesota Twins’ offensive inconsistency on the road. With Lenyn Sosa and Miguel Vargas contributing to a more productive lineup, the White Sox are better positioned to capitalize against a Twins team that has dropped seven of its last ten. Factoring in Chicago’s home environment and recent head-to-head success, the White Sox are the sharper moneyline play in this matchup.
We rate the Chicago White Sox at +115 as the right side at current form.
Over/Under Prediction
Recent five-game scoring: the Chicago White Sox are at 7.4 RPG and the Minnesota Twins at 4.0 — a useful baseline against the total.
These teams are combining for 11.4 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 9.0. That points toward the Over 9.0.
Bookmakers
Odds courtesy of: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, Fanatics.
Parlamaz may earn affiliate commissions from links in this article.
MLB Predictions FAQ
How does Parlamaz make Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox MLB predictions?
We use trusted data feeds and real-time odds to model each matchup. We weight the numbers that move lines—team form, matchup history, injuries, park factors, totals trends, and betting momentum—then compare our price to the market to find value. All signal, no noise. No paywalls.
What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?
Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.
