MLB Prediction: Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays (Tuesday, August 26 at 07:05 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | MIN | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +150 | -179 |
| Total (O/U) | 8.5 | |
| Run Line | +1.5 (-145) | -1.5 (125) |
| Last 5 RPG | 3.8 | 5.2 |
| Record | 59–71 | 76–55 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetUS, Bovada +6 more | ||
More MLB picks: Minnesota Twins · Toronto Blue Jays
The Toronto Blue Jays have posted 5.9 runs per game across their last 10, but this matchup analysis highlights where the Minnesota Twins can exploit value. Minnesota Twins’ recent 2-8 stretch has masked offensive flashes, yet their lineup still generates enough power to pressure Toronto’s pitching. With both teams’ last 10 games averaging 10.3 total runs, this MLB prediction leans firmly toward a high-scoring contest where the Twins’ underdog price offers sharper betting appeal.
Game Time
This one goes at Tuesday, August 26 at 07:05 PM ET inside Rogers Centre, roof and surface add speed.
Odds & Spread Line
- Minnesota Twins: +150
- Toronto Blue Jays: -179
Total: 8.5
- Run Line — Minnesota Twins: +1.5 (-145)
- Run Line — Toronto Blue Jays: -1.5 (+125)
Latest Team Records
Minnesota Twins: 59-71 (Win %: 0.454)
Toronto Blue Jays: 76-55 (Win %: 0.58)
Injury Report
Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
Minnesota Twins
- Byron Buxton: 0.27 AVG, 25 HR, 62 RBI
- Brooks Lee: 0.249 AVG, 13 HR, 53 RBI
- Trevor Larnach: 0.242 AVG, 16 HR, 51 RBI
Toronto Blue Jays
- Bo Bichette: 0.304 AVG, 16 HR, 83 RBI
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 0.298 AVG, 21 HR, 69 RBI
- George Springer: 0.292 AVG, 22 HR, 64 RBI
Team Analysis
Minnesota Twins
The Twins enter at 1-4 in their last 5 games and 2-8 over their last 10, a stretch that makes clear inconsistency but not a lack of offensive tools. Byron Buxton’s power presence keeps them dangerous against pitchers who leave mistakes up, while Brooks Lee has chipped in steady run production even during the skid. On the road, Minnesota Twins’ 26-41 record reflects struggles, yet their lineup has still averaged close to 4 runs per game recently, which keeps them live as an underdog.
Trevor Larnach adds another left-handed bat capable of changing the game with one swing, giving the Twins multiple threats in the middle of their order. Despite their slump, Minnesota Twins’ average of 3.8 runs per game across the last 5 shows they are still finding ways to score, particularly against higher-ERA staffs. With Toronto’s pitching carrying a 4.20 ERA, the Twins’ offense is positioned to rebound and deliver betting value.
- Batting Average: 0.237
- Total Runs Scored: 537
- Home Runs: 150
- OBP: 0.31
- SLG: 0.394
- OPS: 0.704
- ERA: 4.35
- WHIP: 1.3
Away Record: 26-41 • Home Record: 33-31
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (3.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 2-8 (3.7 RPG)
Toronto Blue Jays
The Blue Jays stand at 3-2 over their last 5 and 6-4 across their last 10, showing steady form with 5.2 runs per game in the short sample. Bo Bichette has been a consistent run producer, pacing an offense that thrives at home with a 43-21 record. That said, Toronto’s pitching staff has allowed opponents to stay in games, giving Minnesota a window to exploit.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and George Springer continue to anchor a lineup that has power throughout, but their recent results show a tendency to allow higher totals. While Toronto’s bats are steady, their bullpen’s inconsistency aligns with Minnesota Twins’ need for a bounce-back spot. Against a team that has averaged 10.3 combined runs over the last 10 contests, Toronto’s form suggests this game won’t be a low-scoring affair.
- Batting Average: 0.266
- Total Runs Scored: 640
- Home Runs: 154
- OBP: 0.336
- SLG: 0.426
- OPS: 0.762
- ERA: 4.2
- WHIP: 1.26
Away Record: 34-34 • Home Record: 43-21
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (5.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (5.9 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Toronto Blue Jays lead 3–1 (Last 4 games)
- August 25, 2025: MIN 4 @ TOR 10
- June 08, 2025: TOR 3 @ MIN 6
- June 07, 2025: TOR 5 @ MIN 4
- June 06, 2025: TOR 6 @ MIN 4
Over/Under Trends
Minnesota Twins’ last 10 games have averaged 10.3 total runs, with 7 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.5.
Toronto Blue Jays’ last 10 games have averaged 10.3 combined runs, with 6 games clearing the same number of 8.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
The Twins’ slump masks the fact that their power bats still generate dangerous contact against a Toronto staff that has shown vulnerability. With Buxton, Lee, and Larnach all capable of creating instant offense, Minnesota Twins’ ability to exploit a 4.20 ERA staff makes them the sharper side despite recent struggles, and their underdog profile offers the best value in this matchup.
The Minnesota Twins at +150 check enough boxes to be the value side.
Over/Under Prediction
Recent five-game scoring: the Toronto Blue Jays are at 5.2 RPG and the Minnesota Twins at 3.8 — a useful baseline against the total.
These teams are combining for 9.0 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 8.5. That points toward the Over 8.5.
Bookmakers
Lines retrieved from: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, Bovada, BetUS, Fanatics, BetMGM.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
How does Parlamaz make Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB predictions?
We use trusted data feeds and real-time odds to model each matchup. We weight the numbers that move lines—team form, matchup history, injuries, park factors, totals trends, and betting momentum—then compare our price to the market to find value. All signal, no noise. No paywalls.
What’s a good price range for today’s pick (Aug 26, 2025)?
We list a target price in the post. If the market moves past that number, reduce stake size or pass instead of chasing worse odds.
