Prediction Details

MLB Prediction: Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays (Tuesday, August 26 at 07:05 PM ET)

Introduction

Updated

MIN @ TORMIN +150TOR -179O/U 8.5
Market / Trend MIN TOR
Moneyline +150 -179
Total (O/U) 8.5
Run Line +1.5 (-145) -1.5 (125)
Last 5 RPG 3.8 5.2
Record 59–71 76–55
Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetUS, Bovada +6 more

More MLB picks: Minnesota Twins · Toronto Blue Jays

The Toronto Blue Jays have posted 5.9 runs per game across their last 10, but this matchup analysis highlights where the Minnesota Twins can exploit value. Minnesota Twins’ recent 2-8 stretch has masked offensive flashes, yet their lineup still generates enough power to pressure Toronto’s pitching. With both teams’ last 10 games averaging 10.3 total runs, this MLB prediction leans firmly toward a high-scoring contest where the Twins’ underdog price offers sharper betting appeal.

Game Time

Starts in 17h 49m

This one goes at Tuesday, August 26 at 07:05 PM ET inside Rogers Centre, roof and surface add speed.

Odds & Spread Line

  • Minnesota Twins: +150
  • Toronto Blue Jays: -179

Total: 8.5

  • Run Line — Minnesota Twins: +1.5 (-145)
  • Run Line — Toronto Blue Jays: -1.5 (+125)

Latest Team Records

Minnesota Twins: 59-71 (Win %: 0.454)
Toronto Blue Jays: 76-55 (Win %: 0.58)

Injury Report

Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

Minnesota Twins

  • Byron Buxton: 0.27 AVG, 25 HR, 62 RBI
  • Brooks Lee: 0.249 AVG, 13 HR, 53 RBI
  • Trevor Larnach: 0.242 AVG, 16 HR, 51 RBI

Toronto Blue Jays

  • Bo Bichette: 0.304 AVG, 16 HR, 83 RBI
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 0.298 AVG, 21 HR, 69 RBI
  • George Springer: 0.292 AVG, 22 HR, 64 RBI

Team Analysis

Minnesota Twins

The Twins enter at 1-4 in their last 5 games and 2-8 over their last 10, a stretch that makes clear inconsistency but not a lack of offensive tools. Byron Buxton’s power presence keeps them dangerous against pitchers who leave mistakes up, while Brooks Lee has chipped in steady run production even during the skid. On the road, Minnesota Twins’ 26-41 record reflects struggles, yet their lineup has still averaged close to 4 runs per game recently, which keeps them live as an underdog.

Trevor Larnach adds another left-handed bat capable of changing the game with one swing, giving the Twins multiple threats in the middle of their order. Despite their slump, Minnesota Twins’ average of 3.8 runs per game across the last 5 shows they are still finding ways to score, particularly against higher-ERA staffs. With Toronto’s pitching carrying a 4.20 ERA, the Twins’ offense is positioned to rebound and deliver betting value.

  • Batting Average: 0.237
  • Total Runs Scored: 537
  • Home Runs: 150
  • OBP: 0.31
  • SLG: 0.394
  • OPS: 0.704
  • ERA: 4.35
  • WHIP: 1.3

Away Record: 26-41 • Home Record: 33-31
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (3.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 2-8 (3.7 RPG)


Toronto Blue Jays

The Blue Jays stand at 3-2 over their last 5 and 6-4 across their last 10, showing steady form with 5.2 runs per game in the short sample. Bo Bichette has been a consistent run producer, pacing an offense that thrives at home with a 43-21 record. That said, Toronto’s pitching staff has allowed opponents to stay in games, giving Minnesota a window to exploit.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and George Springer continue to anchor a lineup that has power throughout, but their recent results show a tendency to allow higher totals. While Toronto’s bats are steady, their bullpen’s inconsistency aligns with Minnesota Twins’ need for a bounce-back spot. Against a team that has averaged 10.3 combined runs over the last 10 contests, Toronto’s form suggests this game won’t be a low-scoring affair.

  • Batting Average: 0.266
  • Total Runs Scored: 640
  • Home Runs: 154
  • OBP: 0.336
  • SLG: 0.426
  • OPS: 0.762
  • ERA: 4.2
  • WHIP: 1.26

Away Record: 34-34 • Home Record: 43-21
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (5.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (5.9 RPG)


Head-to-Head History

Toronto Blue Jays lead 3–1 (Last 4 games)

  • August 25, 2025: MIN 4 @ TOR 10
  • June 08, 2025: TOR 3 @ MIN 6
  • June 07, 2025: TOR 5 @ MIN 4
  • June 06, 2025: TOR 6 @ MIN 4

Over/Under Trends

Minnesota Twins’ last 10 games have averaged 10.3 total runs, with 7 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.5.

Toronto Blue Jays’ last 10 games have averaged 10.3 combined runs, with 6 games clearing the same number of 8.5.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

The Twins’ slump masks the fact that their power bats still generate dangerous contact against a Toronto staff that has shown vulnerability. With Buxton, Lee, and Larnach all capable of creating instant offense, Minnesota Twins’ ability to exploit a 4.20 ERA staff makes them the sharper side despite recent struggles, and their underdog profile offers the best value in this matchup.

The Minnesota Twins at +150 check enough boxes to be the value side.

Over/Under Prediction

Recent five-game scoring: the Toronto Blue Jays are at 5.2 RPG and the Minnesota Twins at 3.8 — a useful baseline against the total.

These teams are combining for 9.0 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 8.5. That points toward the Over 8.5.

Bookmakers

Lines retrieved from: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, Bovada, BetUS, Fanatics, BetMGM.

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MLB Predictions FAQ

How does Parlamaz make Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB predictions?

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What’s a good price range for today’s pick (Aug 26, 2025)?

We list a target price in the post. If the market moves past that number, reduce stake size or pass instead of chasing worse odds.

John Tamburino

John TamburinoVerified

Lead Analyst — data-first, former college baseball.

John Tamburino grew up on travel baseball and three years of varsity basketball, then played college baseball before shifting to analytics. He still watches everything—from weekday tennis to UFC—and will never forget the Diamondbacks’ 2001 run. At Parlamaz, John blends trusted data feeds with matchup context to find real value—no fluff, no paywalls.