MLB Prediction: Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays (Monday, August 25 at 07:05 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | MIN | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +115 | -141 |
| Total (O/U) | 8.0 | |
| Run Line | +1.5 (-179) | -1.5 (152) |
| Last 5 RPG | 3.4 | 4.6 |
| Record | 59–71 | 76–55 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: Minnesota Twins · Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto enters this matchup analysis with a 42-21 home record that has consistently translated into betting value, while Minnesota has stumbled to a 26-40 mark on the road. The Twins’ 1-4 record over their last five games highlights offensive inconsistency, averaging just 3.4 runs per contest in that span. In contrast, the Blue Jays’ steadier 6-4 stretch across their last 10 has been driven by reliable production from their top hitters. This profile makes the Blue Jays the superior side in this MLB prediction, with the Under drawing attention given both clubs’ recent scoring baselines.
Game Time
First pitch is set for Monday, August 25 at 07:05 PM ET inside Rogers Centre, roof and surface add speed.
Odds & Spread Line
- Minnesota Twins: +115
- Toronto Blue Jays: -141
Total: 8
- Run Line — Minnesota Twins: +1.5 (-179)
- Run Line — Toronto Blue Jays: -1.5 (+152)
Latest Team Records
Minnesota Twins: 59-71 (Win %: 0.454)
Toronto Blue Jays: 76-55 (Win %: 0.58)
Injury Report
Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
Minnesota Twins
- Byron Buxton: 0.269 AVG, 25 HR, 62 RBI
- Brooks Lee: 0.25 AVG, 13 HR, 53 RBI
- Trevor Larnach: 0.242 AVG, 16 HR, 51 RBI
Toronto Blue Jays
- Bo Bichette: 0.302 AVG, 16 HR, 83 RBI
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 0.298 AVG, 21 HR, 69 RBI
- George Springer: 0.295 AVG, 22 HR, 64 RBI
Team Analysis
Minnesota Twins
The Twins’ 59-71 record reflects a team unable to sustain momentum, and their 1-4 mark over the last five games makes clear a lineup struggling to capitalize on opportunities. With only 3.4 runs per game in that stretch, their offense has lacked rhythm despite Byron Buxton’s ability to change games with power. On the road, their 26-40 record signals consistent vulnerability, making them a difficult side to trust in this spot.
Brooks Lee and Trevor Larnach provide some balance to the batting order, but their combined production has not translated into wins given the team’s 2-8 slide across the last 10. Inconsistency at the plate has left the Twins unable to cover for pitching lapses, keeping them firmly in a negative betting profile. With such limited scoring reliability, Minnesota remains a fade candidate against stronger home teams.
- Batting Average: 0.237
- Total Runs Scored: 537
- Home Runs: 150
- OBP: 0.31
- SLG: 0.394
- OPS: 0.704
- ERA: 4.35
- WHIP: 1.3
Away Record: 26-40 • Home Record: 33-31
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (3.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 2-8 (3.6 RPG)
Toronto Blue Jays
The Blue Jays’ 76-55 record is powered by consistent home dominance, with a 42-21 mark inside their own park. Their recent 3-2 stretch across the last five games, averaging 4.6 runs, demonstrates a capable offense anchored by Bo Bichette’s ability to drive in runs. That efficiency pairs well with their solid home form, giving them a clear edge in this matchup.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and George Springer have also been pivotal, sustaining offensive balance that has kept Toronto steady at 6-4 across the last 10 games. Their ability to produce runs in tight situations gives them a reliable betting profile, especially against a Minnesota side struggling to score. With a lineup producing consistently above league average at home, Toronto is positioned to control this game.
- Batting Average: 0.266
- Total Runs Scored: 640
- Home Runs: 154
- OBP: 0.336
- SLG: 0.426
- OPS: 0.762
- ERA: 4.2
- WHIP: 1.26
Away Record: 34-34 • Home Record: 42-21
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (4.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (5.1 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Toronto Blue Jays lead 2–1 (Last 3 games)
- June 08, 2025: TOR 3 @ MIN 6
- June 07, 2025: TOR 5 @ MIN 4
- June 06, 2025: TOR 6 @ MIN 4
Over/Under Trends
Minnesota Twins’ last 10 games have averaged 9.6 total runs, with 6 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.
Toronto Blue Jays’ last 10 games have averaged 9.2 combined runs, with 5 games clearing the same number of 8.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Toronto’s superior home record, steadier offensive rhythm, and recent head-to-head edge make them the clear moneyline side. With Bichette, Guerrero Jr., and Springer all producing in the middle of the order, the Blue Jays’ balanced attack is well-positioned to exploit Minnesota Twins’ inconsistent road form and extend their winning profile at this venue.
Markets point to the Toronto Blue Jays as the correct angle.
Over/Under Prediction
Recent five-game scoring: the Toronto Blue Jays are at 4.6 RPG and the Minnesota Twins at 3.4 — a useful baseline against the total.
These teams are combining for 8.0 runs per game recently — right around the posted total of 8.0. That points toward the Under 8.0.
Bookmakers
Find these odds at: BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, MyBookie.ag, BetUS, FanDuel, BetRivers, Bovada, BetMGM, Fanatics.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
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