MLB Prediction: Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals (Sunday, August 31 at 02:10 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | DET | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -175 | +148 |
| Total (O/U) | 7.5 | |
| Run Line | -1.5 (100) | +1.5 (-120) |
| Last 5 RPG | 3.0 | 4.6 |
| Record | 79–58 | 70–66 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: Detroit Tigers · Kansas City Royals
Detroit enters this matchup analysis on the back of a 1-4 stretch in its last five games, averaging just 3.0 runs per outing, while Kansas City has been steadier at 3-2 over the same span. Despite the Tigers’ recent dip, their season-long scoring edge and 5–3 head-to-head lead over the Royals show why they remain the sharper MLB prediction. The Royals’ lineup has been competent at home, but Detroit Tigers’ power bats are better positioned to control run production in a lower-scoring contest.
Game Time
Taking place at Sunday, August 31 at 02:10 PM ET inside Kauffman Stadium, contact and speed play up over pure power.
Odds & Spread Line
- Detroit Tigers: -175
- Kansas City Royals: +148
Total: 7.5
- Run Line — Detroit Tigers: -1.5 (+100)
- Run Line — Kansas City Royals: +1.5 (-120)
Latest Team Records
Detroit Tigers: 79-58 (Win %: 0.577)
Kansas City Royals: 70-66 (Win %: 0.515)
Injury Report
Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
Detroit Tigers
- Riley Greene: 0.269 AVG, 32 HR, 101 RBI
- Spencer Torkelson: 0.239 AVG, 28 HR, 70 RBI
- Kerry Carpenter: 0.264 AVG, 22 HR, 52 RBI
Kansas City Royals
- Vinnie Pasquantino: 0.26 AVG, 28 HR, 94 RBI
- Bobby Witt Jr.: 0.297 AVG, 19 HR, 74 RBI
- Maikel Garcia: 0.297 AVG, 14 HR, 63 RBI
Team Analysis
Detroit Tigers
The Tigers’ 1-4 mark in their last five games highlights a slump in offensive rhythm, with just 3.0 runs per game during that stretch. However, their 5-5 record across the last 10 games shows they remain competitive when their lineup finds balance, and a 35-33 road record emphasizes their ability to adjust away from home. Riley Greene’s consistent production is a stabilizing force that gives Detroit the opportunity to break through against a Royals staff that has been steady but not overpowering.
Spencer Torkelson and Kerry Carpenter provide additional power sources, and their ability to change the game with one swing makes Detroit a dangerous side even when overall scoring dips. The Tigers’ season-long run production advantage over Kansas City signals that their offense is built to bounce back quickly from short-term struggles. With solid pitching metrics backing them, Detroit Tigers’ combination of resilience and power depth makes them the more trustworthy betting side despite the recent skid.
- Batting Average: 0.25
- Total Runs Scored: 655
- Home Runs: 174
- OBP: 0.319
- SLG: 0.423
- OPS: 0.742
- ERA: 3.83
- WHIP: 1.23
Away Record: 35-33 • Home Record: 44-25
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (3.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (4.2 RPG)
Kansas City Royals
The Royals’ recent 3-2 stretch with 4.6 runs per game shows a more stable offensive rhythm compared to Detroit Tigers’ struggles. Bobby Witt Jr. has been a key factor in driving rallies, and his consistency at home gives Kansas City a reliable spark. Still, their season scoring output trails Detroit, and their 37-31 home record, while solid, has not been dominant enough to erase that gap.
Vinnie Pasquantino’s ability to drive in runs keeps Kansas City competitive, while Maikel Garcia brings contact skills that maintain lineup pressure. However, the Royals’ lower season-long run production and power totals limit their ceiling against a Tigers team that has consistently generated more offense. Though Kansas City has been steady, their offensive profile does not match Detroit Tigers’ ability to seize control in close games.
- Batting Average: 0.247
- Total Runs Scored: 526
- Home Runs: 130
- OBP: 0.308
- SLG: 0.395
- OPS: 0.703
- ERA: 3.67
- WHIP: 1.25
Away Record: 33-35 • Home Record: 37-31
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (4.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (4.9 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Detroit Tigers lead 5–3 (Last 8 games)
- August 30, 2025: DET 1 @ KC 3
- August 29, 2025: DET 5 @ KC 3
- August 24, 2025: KC 10 @ DET 8
- August 23, 2025: KC 2 @ DET 4
- August 22, 2025: KC 5 @ DET 7
- June 01, 2025: DET 1 @ KC 0
- May 31, 2025: DET 0 @ KC 1
- May 30, 2025: DET 7 @ KC 5
Over/Under Trends
Detroit Tigers’ last 10 games have averaged 8.9 total runs, with 6 games that would have cleared today’s total of 7.5.
Kansas City Royals’ last 10 games have averaged 9.6 combined runs, with 7 games clearing the same number of 7.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Detroit Tigers’ season-long offensive output and superior head-to-head track record give them the edge despite a brief slump. With power bats like Riley Greene and Spencer Torkelson capable of flipping momentum, the Tigers project as the more reliable side to control this matchup from start to finish.
The Detroit Tigers are the sharp side on form and splits.
Over/Under Prediction
In their last five, the Kansas City Royals have produced 4.6 RPG and the Detroit Tigers 3.0. That output frames how this total sets up.
These teams are combining for 7.6 runs per game recently — right around the posted total of 7.5. That points toward the Under 7.5.
Bookmakers
Find these odds at: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, Fanatics, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, Bovada, BetUS, BetMGM, BetRivers.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
How does Parlamaz make Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals MLB predictions?
We use trusted data feeds and real-time odds to model each matchup. We weight the numbers that move lines—team form, matchup history, injuries, park factors, totals trends, and betting momentum—then compare our price to the market to find value. All signal, no noise. No paywalls.
What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?
Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.
