MLB Prediction: Chicago White Sox vs Atlanta Braves (Monday, August 18 at 07:15 PM ET)
Introduction
More MLB picks: Chicago White Sox · Atlanta Braves
Atlanta enters this interleague matchup analysis riding a 5-0 surge with 6.4 runs per game in that span, while Chicago has stumbled to a 1-4 mark at just 2.8 RPG. That stark contrast in form lays bare the direction of this MLB prediction, with the Braves’ offensive rhythm overwhelming the White Sox’s inconsistent attack. With Atlanta Braves’ lineup consistently producing multi-run innings and Chicago’s road record exposing weakness, the betting edge is clear on both the side and the total.
Game Time
Coverage starts at Monday, August 18 at 07:15 PM ET inside Truist Park, hot bats can move the number.
Odds & Spread Line
- Chicago White Sox: +168
- Atlanta Braves: -208
Total: 8.5
- Run Line — Chicago White Sox: +1.5 (-114)
- Run Line — Atlanta Braves: -1.5 (-105)
Latest Team Records
Chicago White Sox: 44-79 (Win %: 0.358)
Atlanta Braves: 55-68 (Win %: 0.447)
Injury Report
Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
Chicago White Sox
- Lenyn Sosa: 0.274 AVG, 15 HR, 49 RBI
- Mike Tauchman: 0.269 AVG, 8 HR, 31 RBI
- Andrew Benintendi: 0.226 AVG, 14 HR, 47 RBI
Atlanta Braves
- Matt Olson: 0.264 AVG, 19 HR, 72 RBI
- Michael Harris II: 0.254 AVG, 14 HR, 64 RBI
- Marcell Ozuna: 0.241 AVG, 20 HR, 60 RBI
Team Analysis
Chicago White Sox
The White Sox’s 1-4 record in their last five games reflects a team stuck in a slump, scoring only 2.8 runs per game during that stretch. Away from home, their struggles are amplified, with an 18-44 road mark that highlights their inability to string together consistent offensive pressure. Lenyn Sosa has provided some stability in the lineup, but the lack of collective run production has left Chicago vulnerable in nearly every series.
Andrew Benintendi’s occasional power has not been enough to offset the broader inconsistency, particularly when Mike Tauchman’s contributions are isolated rather than part of sustained rallies. Chicago’s inability to sustain innings against stronger pitching staffs has kept them from breaking through, and the numbers show little evidence of a turnaround on the road. Against a surging Atlanta lineup, their offensive rhythm is outmatched.
- Batting Average: 0.228
- Total Runs Scored: 465
- Home Runs: 119
- OBP: 0.299
- SLG: 0.367
- OPS: 0.666
- ERA: 4.13
- WHIP: 1.36
Away Record: 18-44 • Home Record: 26-36
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (2.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 2-8 (3.0 RPG)
Atlanta Braves
The Braves have surged with a 5-0 record across their last five games, fueled by an offense producing 6.4 runs per game. At home, their balanced 30-30 record is trending upward thanks to consistent run support from Matt Olson and Marcell Ozuna. That production has lifted Atlanta from a middling season record into a position of confidence entering this interleague matchup.
Michael Harris II has added depth by driving in runs at key moments, giving the Braves lineup multiple threats capable of extending innings. With 137 home runs on the season, Atlanta has shown the ability to apply pressure early and sustain it throughout games. Their 8-2 mark over the last 10 contests confirms momentum, making this team a reliable side in both moneyline and total markets.
- Batting Average: 0.243
- Total Runs Scored: 531
- Home Runs: 137
- OBP: 0.32
- SLG: 0.393
- OPS: 0.712
- ERA: 4.22
- WHIP: 1.28
Away Record: 26-38 • Home Record: 30-30
Last 5 Games: 5-0 (6.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 8-2 (6.0 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
No recent matchups between these teams in 2025.
Over/Under Trends
Chicago White Sox’s last 10 games have averaged 7.4 total runs, with 3 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.5.
Atlanta Braves’ last 10 games have averaged 10.0 combined runs, with 5 games clearing the same number of 8.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Atlanta Braves’ recent dominance, highlighted by an 8-2 run over their last 10 games and a surging offense averaging 6.0 runs in that span, makes them the superior side. Their home form is stabilizing while Chicago’s 18-44 road mark and 2-8 skid show no signs of resistance. With Matt Olson and Marcell Ozuna driving run production, the Braves’ balance is simply too much for the White Sox to counter, making Atlanta the unequivocal moneyline play.
Markets point to the Atlanta Braves as the correct angle.
Over/Under Prediction
Recent five-game scoring: the Atlanta Braves are at 6.4 RPG and the Chicago White Sox at 2.8 — a useful baseline against the total.
These teams are combining for 9.2 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 8.5. That points toward a Over 8.5.
Bookmakers
Data pulled from: BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, FanDuel, Bovada, BetUS, MyBookie.ag, DraftKings.
Parlamaz may earn affiliate commissions from links in this article.
MLB Predictions FAQ
How does Parlamaz make Chicago White Sox vs Atlanta Braves MLB predictions?
We use trusted data feeds and real-time odds to model each matchup. We weight the numbers that move lines—team form, matchup history, injuries, park factors, totals trends, and betting momentum—then compare our price to the market to find value. All signal, no noise. No paywalls.
What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?
Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.
What’s a good price range for today’s pick (Aug 18, 2025)?
We list a target price in the post. If the market moves past that number, reduce stake size or pass instead of chasing worse odds.
How should I size my bets?
Use a consistent unit (about 1–2% of bankroll). Singles should be most of your volume. We like parlays — smart ones. Build them from real edges, keep legs tight (2–3), cap risk to 0.25–0.5u, and pass when the price isn’t there.
How often are picks updated?
Daily. We update for confirmed lineups, injuries, and market moves. Check back near first pitch for final notes.
