MLB Prediction: Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers (Sunday, August 24 at 01:40 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | KC | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +132 | -159 |
| Total (O/U) | 8.5 | |
| Run Line | +1.5 (-165) | -1.5 (140) |
| Last 5 RPG | 4.2 | 5.8 |
| Record | 66–64 | 78–53 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: Kansas City Royals · Detroit Tigers
The Royals enter this matchup analysis having averaged 4.7 runs across their last 10 games, while the Tigers have surged with a 9-1 stretch in the same span. Kansas City Royals’ bats have been steady enough to keep them competitive, and that offensive rhythm gives them a realistic path to outpace Detroit despite the Tigers’ recent dominance. With both lineups generating consistent scoring pressure, this MLB prediction leans toward Kansas City delivering value alongside a total that projects higher than the market line.
Game Time
The action begins at Sunday, August 24 at 01:40 PM ET inside Comerica Park, pitchers get support from the park size.
Odds & Spread Line
- Kansas City Royals: +132
- Detroit Tigers: -159
Total: 8.5
- Run Line — Kansas City Royals: +1.5 (-165)
- Run Line — Detroit Tigers: -1.5 (+140)
Latest Team Records
Kansas City Royals: 66-64 (Win %: 0.508)
Detroit Tigers: 78-53 (Win %: 0.595)
Injury Report
Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
Kansas City Royals
- Vinnie Pasquantino: 0.263 AVG, 27 HR, 89 RBI
- Bobby Witt Jr.: 0.294 AVG, 18 HR, 70 RBI
- Salvador Perez: 0.247 AVG, 22 HR, 73 RBI
Detroit Tigers
- Riley Greene: 0.263 AVG, 30 HR, 94 RBI
- Spencer Torkelson: 0.242 AVG, 26 HR, 68 RBI
- Kerry Carpenter: 0.261 AVG, 22 HR, 50 RBI
Team Analysis
Kansas City Royals
Kansas City sits narrowly above .500 and has gone 2-3 in its last five games, producing 4.2 runs per contest during that stretch. That slight dip contrasts with their stronger 6-4 mark over the last 10, where the offense lifted to 4.7 runs per game. Vinnie Pasquantino’s power presence continues to keep pitchers honest, and his production helps stabilize the lineup in road environments where the Royals have been competitive.
Bobby Witt Jr. has been a consistent on-base threat, giving Kansas City balance in the top half of the order, while Salvador Perez adds run-driving reliability in middle innings. The Royals’ road record of 30-34 lays bare their ability to steal games away from home, especially when their offense sustains pressure. Their recent output shows enough consistency to challenge Detroit Tigers’ pitching, making them a live underdog with upward momentum in scoring.
- Batting Average: 0.246
- Total Runs Scored: 494
- Home Runs: 123
- OBP: 0.307
- SLG: 0.393
- OPS: 0.7
- ERA: 3.61
- WHIP: 1.25
Away Record: 30-34 • Home Record: 36-30
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (4.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (4.7 RPG)
Detroit Tigers
Detroit has surged with a 5-0 record in its last five games, averaging 5.8 runs during that stretch. Their 9-1 mark over the last 10 confirms that their offense is clicking, with Riley Greene leading the way as their most consistent power source. Spencer Torkelson’s ability to add depth with extra-base hits has given Detroit a balanced lineup at home, where they have been dominant with a 44-24 record.
Kerry Carpenter adds another layer of production, keeping pressure on opposing pitchers throughout the order. However, while Detroit Tigers’ bats have been strong, Kansas City Royals’ pitching has been stingy enough to limit damage, and the Royals’ offense has shown the ability to match pace. The Tigers’ current form is impressive, but it sets up a scenario where Kansas City Royals’ undervalued lineup has an edge against a favorite that has already banked significant wins.
- Batting Average: 0.25
- Total Runs Scored: 629
- Home Runs: 165
- OBP: 0.319
- SLG: 0.423
- OPS: 0.742
- ERA: 3.77
- WHIP: 1.22
Away Record: 34-29 • Home Record: 44-24
Last 5 Games: 5-0 (5.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 9-1 (5.0 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Detroit Tigers lead 4–1 (Last 5 games)
- August 23, 2025: KC 2 @ DET 4
- August 22, 2025: KC 5 @ DET 7
- June 01, 2025: DET 1 @ KC 0
- May 31, 2025: DET 0 @ KC 1
- May 30, 2025: DET 7 @ KC 5
Over/Under Trends
Kansas City Royals’ last 10 games have averaged 8.6 total runs, with 4 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.5.
Detroit Tigers’ last 10 games have averaged 7.5 combined runs, with 5 games clearing the same number of 8.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Kansas City Royals’ recent 6-4 stretch, combined with steady contributions from Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez, positions them to capitalize on scoring opportunities even against Detroit Tigers’ hot streak. Their ability to generate runs on the road and keep games within reach gives them the profile of a team ready to flip the head-to-head narrative. The Royals’ balance of timely hitting and resilient pitching makes them the sharper moneyline side in this matchup.
Trend and context support the Kansas City Royals at +132 as the bet.
Over/Under Prediction
In their last five, the Detroit Tigers have produced 5.8 RPG and the Kansas City Royals 4.2. That output frames how this total sets up.
These teams are combining for 10.0 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 8.5. That points toward the Over 8.5.
Bookmakers
Lines retrieved from: FanDuel, Fanatics, MyBookie.ag, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, BetMGM, Bovada, BetUS, BetRivers.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
How should I size my bets?
Use a consistent unit (about 1–2% of bankroll). Singles should be most of your volume. We like parlays—smart ones. Keep legs tight (2–3), cap risk to 0.25–0.5u, and pass when the price isn’t there.
What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?
Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.
