MLB Prediction: Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers (Friday, August 22 at 07:10 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | KC | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +138 | -167 |
| Total (O/U) | 8.5 | |
| Run Line | +1.5 (-152) | -1.5 (130) |
| Last 5 RPG | 4.8 | 5.4 |
| Record | 65–62 | 76–53 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: Kansas City Royals · Detroit Tigers
Detroit has surged with an 8-2 record across its last 10 outings, and that consistency sets the tone for this MLB prediction against Kansas City. The Tigers’ balanced attack has been generating 5.4 runs per game in their last five, while the Royals have also been scoring at a 4.8 clip, creating a matchup that leans toward offensive production. With Detroit holding the stronger overall record and recent edge in head-to-head play, the value tilts toward the home side and an Over on the total.
Game Time
Game time: Friday, August 22 at 07:10 PM ET inside Comerica Park, pitchers get support from the park size.
Odds & Spread Line
- Kansas City Royals: +138
- Detroit Tigers: -167
Total: 8.5
- Run Line — Kansas City Royals: +1.5 (-152)
- Run Line — Detroit Tigers: -1.5 (+130)
Latest Team Records
Kansas City Royals: 65-62 (Win %: 0.512)
Detroit Tigers: 76-53 (Win %: 0.589)
Injury Report
Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
Kansas City Royals
- Vinnie Pasquantino: 0.262 AVG, 25 HR, 86 RBI
- Bobby Witt Jr.: 0.294 AVG, 18 HR, 69 RBI
- Maikel Garcia: 0.3 AVG, 12 HR, 56 RBI
Detroit Tigers
- Riley Greene: 0.263 AVG, 29 HR, 92 RBI
- Spencer Torkelson: 0.241 AVG, 26 HR, 68 RBI
- Kerry Carpenter: 0.264 AVG, 22 HR, 50 RBI
Team Analysis
Kansas City Royals
Kansas City enters this contest with a 65-62 mark, and their recent surge is highlighted by a 4-1 record over the last five games. That stretch has seen them average 4.8 runs per game, a notable jump in production compared to earlier inconsistencies. Vinnie Pasquantino has been central to their offensive push, giving the lineup a reliable run producer in key spots.
On the road, the Royals are just 30-32, and that middling away performance tempers the optimism from their 8-2 record across the last 10 games. Bobby Witt Jr. has provided steady offensive balance, while Maikel Garcia has added timely contributions, but the challenge of sustaining this output away from home remains. Against a Detroit team that thrives in its own park, Kansas City Royals’ road form signals vulnerability.
- Batting Average: 0.246
- Total Runs Scored: 483
- Home Runs: 120
- OBP: 0.306
- SLG: 0.392
- OPS: 0.697
- ERA: 3.58
- WHIP: 1.24
Away Record: 30-32 • Home Record: 36-30
Last 5 Games: 4-1 (4.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 8-2 (5.5 RPG)
Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers’ 76-53 record reflects a team playing at a consistently high level, and their 42-24 home mark points to their strength at Comerica Park. Over the last five games, the Tigers have gone 4-1 while averaging 5.4 runs per outing, showcasing a lineup that delivers across multiple bats. Riley Greene has been a centerpiece of that production, driving in runs and setting the tone offensively.
The Tigers’ 8-2 record in their last 10 games reinforces their momentum, particularly with Spencer Torkelson and Kerry Carpenter both contributing power and run support. This balance allows Detroit to pressure opposing pitchers consistently, and their recent head-to-head edge over Kansas City further cements their advantage. With a home field edge and reliable scoring, Detroit projects as the superior side in this matchup.
- Batting Average: 0.249
- Total Runs Scored: 622
- Home Runs: 163
- OBP: 0.318
- SLG: 0.421
- OPS: 0.74
- ERA: 3.76
- WHIP: 1.21
Away Record: 34-29 • Home Record: 42-24
Last 5 Games: 4-1 (5.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 8-2 (4.7 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Detroit Tigers lead 3–2 (Last 5 games)
- June 01, 2025: DET 1 @ KC 0
- May 31, 2025: DET 0 @ KC 1
- May 30, 2025: DET 7 @ KC 5
- April 20, 2025: KC 4 @ DET 3
- April 19, 2025: KC 1 @ DET 3
Over/Under Trends
Kansas City Royals’ last 10 games have averaged 9.2 total runs, with 5 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.5.
Detroit Tigers’ last 10 games have averaged 7.5 combined runs, with 5 games clearing the same number of 8.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Detroit Tigers’ combination of a strong 42-24 home record, a 4-1 run over their last five, and an 8-2 surge in their last 10 games makes them the clear side to back. Their lineup has been consistently producing, supported by Riley Greene’s run creation and Spencer Torkelson’s power, while recent head-to-head results also favor them. Kansas City Royals’ road mediocrity further tilts the balance, making Detroit the smart moneyline play in this matchup.
Data supports the Detroit Tigers as the right side.
Over/Under Prediction
In their last five, the Detroit Tigers have produced 5.4 RPG and the Kansas City Royals 4.8. That output frames how this total sets up.
These teams are combining for 10.2 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 8.5. That points toward the Over 8.5.
Bookmakers
Lines retrieved from: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, BetUS, Bovada, BetMGM, Fanatics, BetRivers.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
What’s a good price range for today’s pick (Aug 22, 2025)?
We list a target price in the post. If the market moves past that number, reduce stake size or pass instead of chasing worse odds.
How often are picks updated?
Daily. We update for confirmed lineups, injuries, and market moves. Check back near first pitch for final notes.
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Use a consistent unit (about 1–2% of bankroll). Singles should be most of your volume. We like parlays—smart ones. Keep legs tight (2–3), cap risk to 0.25–0.5u, and pass when the price isn’t there.
