MLB Prediction: Kansas City Royals vs Philadelphia Phillies (Saturday, September 13 at 06:05 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | KC | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +125 | -152 |
| Total (O/U) | 9.0 | |
| Run Line | +1.5 (-169) | -1.5 (140) |
| Last 5 RPG | 2.0 | 7.0 |
| Record | 74–74 | 88–60 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: Kansas City Royals · Philadelphia Phillies
The Philadelphia Phillies enter this interleague matchup against the Kansas City Royals riding a perfect 5-0 stretch while averaging 7.0 runs per game, a stark contrast to the Royals’ 1-4 skid at just 2.0 RPG. This gap in recent output defines the betting preview, with Philadelphia Phillies’ balanced attack proving too efficient for a Kansas City lineup stuck in a slump. With both clubs trending toward lower-scoring totals, the sharper MLB prediction leans toward Phillies control and a total that falls short of the number.
Game Time
Set for Saturday, September 13 at 06:05 PM ET inside Citizens Bank Park, short porches boost extra-base damage.
Odds & Spread Line
- Kansas City Royals: +125
- Philadelphia Phillies: -152
Total: 9
- Run Line — Kansas City Royals: +1.5 (-169)
- Run Line — Philadelphia Phillies: -1.5 (+140)
Latest Team Records
Kansas City Royals: 74-74 (Win %: 0.5)
Philadelphia Phillies: 88-60 (Win %: 0.595)
Injury Report
Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
Kansas City Royals
- Vinnie Pasquantino: 0.262 AVG, 30 HR, 102 RBI
- Bobby Witt Jr.: 0.293 AVG, 21 HR, 77 RBI
- Maikel Garcia: 0.29 AVG, 16 HR, 68 RBI
Philadelphia Phillies
- Kyle Schwarber: 0.242 AVG, 50 HR, 123 RBI
- Trea Turner: 0.305 AVG, 15 HR, 69 RBI
- Bryce Harper: 0.265 AVG, 25 HR, 70 RBI
Team Analysis
Kansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals’ recent 1-4 record in their last 5 games, paired with just 2.0 RPG, reflects a lineup that has lost rhythm. On the road, their 34-39 mark shows how difficult it has been to consistently generate offense away from home. Vinnie Pasquantino and Bobby Witt Jr. remain reliable bats, yet the lack of depth around them has limited scoring opportunities.
Over the last 10 games, the Royals have averaged only 3.1 runs, underscoring an offense that has struggled to sustain rallies. Maikel Garcia has added some stability, but the broader issue has been timely hitting in pressure situations. Against a Philadelphia team thriving at home, Kansas City Royals’ inconsistency leaves them at a clear disadvantage.
- Batting Average: 0.243
- Total Runs Scored: 559
- Home Runs: 139
- OBP: 0.305
- SLG: 0.389
- OPS: 0.694
- ERA: 3.67
- WHIP: 1.25
Away Record: 34-39 • Home Record: 40-35
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (2.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (3.1 RPG)
Philadelphia Phillies
The Phillies have surged with a 5-0 run in their last 5 games, producing 7.0 RPG to overwhelm opponents. At home, their 50-23 record underlines a decisive advantage, fueled by consistent production from Kyle Schwarber’s power bat. The lineup’s depth has been a difference-maker, with Trea Turner adding balance and speed to complement the long ball.
Across the last 10 games, Philadelphia Phillies’ 8-2 record with 5.7 RPG confirms a team in full command of its offensive rhythm. Bryce Harper’s steady run production has kept pressure on opposing pitchers, while the overall approach has been disciplined and effective. With both form and venue strength aligning, the Phillies are poised to extend their dominance.
- Batting Average: 0.26
- Total Runs Scored: 709
- Home Runs: 184
- OBP: 0.33
- SLG: 0.429
- OPS: 0.759
- ERA: 3.78
- WHIP: 1.24
Away Record: 38-37 • Home Record: 50-23
Last 5 Games: 5-0 (7.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 8-2 (5.7 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Philadelphia Phillies lead 1–0 (Most recent game)
- September 12, 2025: KC 2 @ PHI 8
Over/Under Trends
Kansas City Royals’ last 10 games have averaged 7.2 total runs, with 3 games that would have cleared today’s total of 9.
Philadelphia Phillies’ last 10 games have averaged 8.5 combined runs, with 5 games clearing the same number of 9.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Philadelphia Phillies’ elite home record, paired with a 5-0 surge and 7.0 RPG over that stretch, makes them the clear moneyline side against a Royals team stuck in a scoring slump. With head-to-head dominance already established and offensive anchors like Kyle Schwarber and Trea Turner driving production, the Phillies hold every meaningful edge to secure another win.
Form and matchup edges favor the Philadelphia Phillies — back them.
Over/Under Prediction
Last five form shows the Philadelphia Phillies at 7.0 RPG and the Kansas City Royals at 2.0, giving context for the number.
These teams are combining for 9.0 runs per game recently — right around the posted total of 9.0. That points toward the Under 9.0.
Bookmakers
These lines come from: BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, DraftKings, Bovada, BetMGM, Fanatics, BetUS, BetRivers.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
How often are picks updated?
Daily. We update for confirmed lineups, injuries, and market moves. Check back near first pitch for final notes.
What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?
Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.
