MLB Prediction: Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates (Sunday, August 24 at 12:05 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | COL | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +280 | -345 |
| Total (O/U) | 7.5 | |
| Run Line | +1.5 (132) | -1.5 (-155) |
| Last 5 RPG | 3.6 | 4.8 |
| Record | 37–93 | 56–74 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, Caesars +4 more | ||
More MLB picks: Colorado Rockies · Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh enters this matchup analysis with momentum after winning four of its last five games at 4.8 runs per contest, while Colorado has dropped four of five with only 3.6 runs per outing. That gap in recent efficiency, combined with Pittsburgh Pirates’ stronger season record, sets up a clear edge for bettors. With both lineups capable of contributing to higher totals, this MLB prediction points toward a Pirates win and an Over on the total.
Game Time
Set for Sunday, August 24 at 12:05 PM ET at PNC Park, a slight under lean from the park profile.
Odds & Spread Line
- Colorado Rockies: +280
- Pittsburgh Pirates: -345
Total: 7.5
- Run Line — Colorado Rockies: +1.5 (+132)
- Run Line — Pittsburgh Pirates: -1.5 (-155)
Latest Team Records
Colorado Rockies: 37-93 (Win %: 0.285)
Pittsburgh Pirates: 56-74 (Win %: 0.431)
Injury Report
Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
Colorado Rockies
- Hunter Goodman: 0.277 AVG, 25 HR, 73 RBI
- Mickey Moniak: 0.259 AVG, 18 HR, 49 RBI
- Jordan Beck: 0.276 AVG, 14 HR, 44 RBI
Pittsburgh Pirates
- Bryan Reynolds: 0.245 AVG, 13 HR, 62 RBI
- Tommy Pham: 0.267 AVG, 7 HR, 38 RBI
- Andrew McCutchen: 0.24 AVG, 11 HR, 45 RBI
Team Analysis
Colorado Rockies
The Rockies’ 1-4 mark in their last five games reflects a lineup struggling to generate consistent production, averaging only 3.6 runs in that stretch. On the road, their 16-48 record highlights how poorly they travel, rarely putting together sustained rallies. Hunter Goodman has provided some power, but isolated contributions have not translated into team-level momentum.
Across a broader 10-game sample at 5-5 with 4.4 runs per contest, Colorado has been closer to average, yet the inconsistency remains glaring. Mickey Moniak and Jordan Beck have delivered flashes of offensive spark, but the Rockies’ inability to string together scoring innings keeps them from capitalizing on these individual performances. Their pitching staff’s inflated ERA has only compounded the issues, making them a vulnerable side in this matchup.
- Batting Average: 0.24
- Total Runs Scored: 490
- Home Runs: 132
- OBP: 0.297
- SLG: 0.395
- OPS: 0.692
- ERA: 6.02
- WHIP: 1.61
Away Record: 16-48 • Home Record: 21-45
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (3.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (4.4 RPG)
Pittsburgh Pirates
The Pirates’ 4-1 record in their last five outings at 4.8 runs per game highlights their current rhythm, especially at home where they stand at 38-30. Bryan Reynolds has been central to their recent offensive push, consistently driving in runs to support a more reliable lineup. This surge is significant against a Rockies team that has faltered both offensively and on the mound.
Over the last 10 games, Pittsburgh has split at 5-5 while averaging 3.6 runs, but their recent uptick suggests a team finding balance. Tommy Pham and Andrew McCutchen have added depth to the order, giving the Pirates multiple avenues to score. Coupled with a stable pitching staff anchored by a sub-4.00 ERA, Pittsburgh has both the situational edge at home and the recent form to control this contest.
- Batting Average: 0.233
- Total Runs Scored: 458
- Home Runs: 91
- OBP: 0.305
- SLG: 0.349
- OPS: 0.653
- ERA: 3.99
- WHIP: 1.23
Away Record: 18-44 • Home Record: 38-30
Last 5 Games: 4-1 (4.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (3.6 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Pittsburgh Pirates lead 3–2 (Last 5 games)
- August 23, 2025: COL 1 @ PIT 5
- August 22, 2025: COL 0 @ PIT 9
- August 03, 2025: PIT 9 @ COL 5
- August 02, 2025: PIT 5 @ COL 8
- August 01, 2025: PIT 16 @ COL 17
Over/Under Trends
Colorado Rockies’ last 10 games have averaged 10.7 total runs, with 7 games that would have cleared today’s total of 7.5.
Pittsburgh Pirates’ last 10 games have averaged 8.2 combined runs, with 4 games clearing the same number of 7.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Pittsburgh Pirates’ superior home record, recent 4-1 surge, and back-to-back dominant wins over Colorado make them the clear side. Their offensive depth led by Bryan Reynolds and the recent contributions from Tommy Pham and Andrew McCutchen give them an edge against a Rockies team that has struggled on the road. The Pirates’ consistency at PNC Park and sharper recent form make them the confident moneyline play.
Form and matchup edges favor the Pittsburgh Pirates — back them.
Over/Under Prediction
Recent five-game scoring: the Pittsburgh Pirates are at 4.8 RPG and the Colorado Rockies at 3.6 — a useful baseline against the total.
These teams are combining for 8.4 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 7.5. That points toward the Over 7.5.
Bookmakers
Find these odds at: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, Fanatics, BetRivers, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, BetMGM.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
How does Parlamaz make Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates MLB predictions?
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Daily. We update for confirmed lineups, injuries, and market moves. Check back near first pitch for final notes.
