MLB Prediction: Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates (Friday, August 22 at 06:40 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | COL | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +163 | -204 |
| Total (O/U) | 8.5 | |
| Run Line | +1.5 (-130) | -1.5 (110) |
| Last 5 RPG | 5.4 | 2.8 |
| Record | 37–91 | 54–74 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: Colorado Rockies · Pittsburgh Pirates
Colorado has surged with a 7-3 mark in its last 10 games while averaging 5.2 runs per outing, a sharp contrast to Pittsburgh Pirates’ 3-7 stretch. That recent efficiency gives this matchup analysis a clear tilt toward the Rockies, who are outperforming expectations despite a poor season record. Pittsburgh Pirates’ inconsistent run production at home makes this a prime spot for bettors to target the road underdog with confidence.
Game Time
The action begins at Friday, August 22 at 06:40 PM ET inside PNC Park, scoring tends to flatten.
Odds & Spread Line
- Colorado Rockies: +163
- Pittsburgh Pirates: -204
Total: 8.5
- Run Line — Colorado Rockies: +1.5 (-130)
- Run Line — Pittsburgh Pirates: -1.5 (+110)
Latest Team Records
Colorado Rockies: 37-91 (Win %: 0.289)
Pittsburgh Pirates: 54-74 (Win %: 0.422)
Injury Report
Colorado Rockies are missing Warming Bernabel (Face), listed as Day-To-Day.
The Pittsburgh Pirates are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
Colorado Rockies
- Hunter Goodman: 0.276 AVG, 25 HR, 72 RBI
- Mickey Moniak: 0.259 AVG, 18 HR, 49 RBI
- Jordan Beck: 0.276 AVG, 14 HR, 44 RBI
Pittsburgh Pirates
- Bryan Reynolds: 0.245 AVG, 13 HR, 62 RBI
- Oneil Cruz: 0.207 AVG, 18 HR, 51 RBI
- Tommy Pham: 0.263 AVG, 6 HR, 36 RBI
Team Analysis
Colorado Rockies
The Rockies’ 3-2 mark across their last five games, supported by 5.4 runs per game, highlights an offense finding rhythm against inconsistent opponents. Hunter Goodman has been a steady source of production, and Mickey Moniak’s balanced output adds depth to the lineup. On the road, Colorado has been poor overall, yet their ability to string together wins recently makes them a dangerous underdog in this spot.
Jordan Beck’s consistency further strengthens a lineup that has been outperforming expectations despite a season-long struggle. The Rockies’ 7-3 record in their last 10 contests signals confidence and a clear offensive edge against a Pittsburgh side that has struggled to score. With momentum trending upward, Colorado Rockies’ lineup has the right mix of contributors to keep pressure on the Pirates and extend their recent winning form.
- Batting Average: 0.24
- Total Runs Scored: 485
- Home Runs: 131
- OBP: 0.298
- SLG: 0.396
- OPS: 0.694
- ERA: 5.96
- WHIP: 1.6
Away Record: 16-46 • Home Record: 21-45
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (5.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 7-3 (5.2 RPG)
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh has stumbled to a 2-3 record in its last five games, averaging just 2.8 runs per contest. Bryan Reynolds has shown flashes of run production, but the lineup around him has been erratic. At home, the Pirates have been steadier across the season, yet their recent lack of scoring continuity undermines that advantage.
Oneil Cruz’s power is offset by inconsistency, and Tommy Pham’s contact hitting has not been enough to lift the team during this 3-7 stretch over the last 10 games. The Pirates’ offensive struggles create pressure on their pitching staff, which has been serviceable but not enough to cover for a lineup averaging barely over three runs. That lack of firepower leaves them vulnerable against a Colorado side that has been far more reliable at the plate recently.
- Batting Average: 0.232
- Total Runs Scored: 449
- Home Runs: 88
- OBP: 0.303
- SLG: 0.345
- OPS: 0.648
- ERA: 4.02
- WHIP: 1.23
Away Record: 18-44 • Home Record: 36-30
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (2.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 3-7 (3.1 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Colorado Rockies lead 2–1 (Last 3 games)
- August 03, 2025: PIT 9 @ COL 5
- August 02, 2025: PIT 5 @ COL 8
- August 01, 2025: PIT 16 @ COL 17
Over/Under Trends
Colorado Rockies’ last 10 games have averaged 10.6 total runs, with 7 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.5.
Pittsburgh Pirates’ last 10 games have averaged 9.7 combined runs, with 4 games clearing the same number of 8.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Colorado Rockies’ recent 7-3 surge with over five runs per game highlights a lineup in superior form compared to a Pirates squad stuck in a 3-7 skid. Head-to-head, the Rockies have already taken two of the last three meetings, showing they can match up effectively against Pittsburgh Pirates’ pitching. Given the Pirates’ stagnant offense and Colorado Rockies’ balanced contributions from Goodman, Moniak, and Beck, the Rockies are the sharper side to back straight up.
The Colorado Rockies at +163 fit a live underdog profile on recent numbers.
Over/Under Prediction
Recent five-game scoring: the Pittsburgh Pirates are at 2.8 RPG and the Colorado Rockies at 5.4 — a useful baseline against the total.
These teams are combining for 8.2 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 8.5. That points toward the Under 8.5.
Bookmakers
Data pulled from: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, Bovada, BetUS, BetMGM, Fanatics, BetRivers.
Parlamaz may earn affiliate commissions from links in this article.
MLB Predictions FAQ
How should I size my bets?
Use a consistent unit (about 1–2% of bankroll). Singles should be most of your volume. We like parlays—smart ones. Keep legs tight (2–3), cap risk to 0.25–0.5u, and pass when the price isn’t there.
How often are picks updated?
Daily. We update for confirmed lineups, injuries, and market moves. Check back near first pitch for final notes.
What’s a good price range for today’s pick (Aug 22, 2025)?
We list a target price in the post. If the market moves past that number, reduce stake size or pass instead of chasing worse odds.
