MLB Prediction: Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres (Saturday, September 13 at 08:40 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | COL | SD |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +295 | -400 |
| Total (O/U) | 8.5 | |
| Run Line | +1.5 (144) | -1.5 (-172) |
| Last 5 RPG | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| Record | 40–107 | 80–67 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, Caesars +5 more | ||
More MLB picks: Colorado Rockies · San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies’ recent stretch of 1-4 with just 1.4 runs per game lays bare an offense in a slump, while San Diego Padres’ steadier 45-28 home mark brings a clear edge into this MLB prediction. The Rockies’ inability to generate scoring on the road contrasts sharply with the Padres’ balanced attack, where multiple hitters sustain run production even when totals dip. With San Diego Padres’ pitching holding opponents in check and Colorado struggling to reach base consistently, the matchup tilts firmly toward a low-scoring Padres victory.
Game Time
Slated for Saturday, September 13 at 08:40 PM ET inside Petco Park, conservative scoring is typical.
Odds & Spread Line
- Colorado Rockies: +295
- San Diego Padres: -400
Total: 8.5
- Run Line — Colorado Rockies: +1.5 (+144)
- Run Line — San Diego Padres: -1.5 (-172)
Latest Team Records
Colorado Rockies: 40-107 (Win %: 0.272)
San Diego Padres: 80-67 (Win %: 0.544)
Injury Report
Colorado Rockies are missing Chase Dollander (Knee), listed as Out; Luis Peralta (Hip), listed as 15-Day-IL; Zachary Agnos (Elbow), listed as 15-Day-IL. No other significant injuries are reported.
The San Diego Padres are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
Colorado Rockies
- Hunter Goodman: 0.28 AVG, 30 HR, 87 RBI
- Mickey Moniak: 0.262 AVG, 19 HR, 57 RBI
- Jordan Beck: 0.267 AVG, 15 HR, 50 RBI
San Diego Padres
- Ramon Laureano: 0.292 AVG, 23 HR, 71 RBI
- Manny Machado: 0.272 AVG, 23 HR, 84 RBI
- Fernando Tatis Jr.: 0.26 AVG, 21 HR, 63 RBI
Team Analysis
Colorado Rockies
The Rockies’ last 5 games at 1-4 with just 1.4 runs per game highlight a clear offensive slump, and their 18-55 road record confirms that struggles intensify away from home. Hunter Goodman’s power numbers stand out, but the lack of consistent support from the lineup has left those contributions isolated. With Mickey Moniak unable to spark rallies on the road, the Rockies’ scoring profile remains thin against quality pitching.
Jordan Beck offers some stability in the order, yet his production has not translated into sustained run output during the team’s 2-8 slide over the last 10 games. Low on-base rates and an inflated ERA mean the Rockies often fall behind early, further limiting offensive rhythm. The betting angle is clear: Colorado lacks the form and efficiency to threaten San Diego in this spot.
- Batting Average: 0.238
- Total Runs Scored: 545
- Home Runs: 144
- OBP: 0.295
- SLG: 0.388
- OPS: 0.684
- ERA: 5.98
- WHIP: 1.6
Away Record: 18-55 • Home Record: 23-52
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (1.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 2-8 (3.1 RPG)
San Diego Padres
The Padres’ 2-3 mark in their last 5 games with 2.2 runs per game shows recent inconsistency, but their 45-28 home record demonstrates a reliable edge at Petco Park. Manny Machado continues to drive in runs that stabilize the offense even when totals are modest. With Fernando Tatis Jr. adding balance, San Diego has the higher ceiling in close, low-scoring contests.
Ramon Laureano has been a steady contributor, and his ability to produce in key spots complements Machado’s run production. Despite a 4-6 record across the last 10, the Padres’ pitching staff remains reliable, keeping run totals manageable and giving their lineup more margin for error. The combination of home strength and superior talent across the order makes San Diego the sharper betting side.
- Batting Average: 0.251
- Total Runs Scored: 619
- Home Runs: 129
- OBP: 0.32
- SLG: 0.385
- OPS: 0.706
- ERA: 3.62
- WHIP: 1.2
Away Record: 35-40 • Home Record: 45-28
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (2.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (3.6 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
San Diego Padres lead 5–3 (Last 8 games)
- September 12, 2025: COL 4 @ SD 2
- September 11, 2025: COL 0 @ SD 2
- September 07, 2025: SD 8 @ COL 1
- September 06, 2025: SD 10 @ COL 8
- September 05, 2025: SD 0 @ COL 3
- May 11, 2025: SD 3 @ COL 9
- May 10, 2025: SD 21 @ COL 0
- May 09, 2025: SD 13 @ COL 9
Over/Under Trends
Colorado Rockies’ last 10 games have averaged 8.9 total runs, with 6 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.5.
San Diego Padres’ last 10 games have averaged 7.4 combined runs, with 3 games clearing the same number of 8.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
San Diego Padres’ superior 45-28 home record, combined with steady contributions from Manny Machado and Fernando Tatis Jr., gives them a decisive advantage over a Colorado team slumping at the plate. With the Rockies producing just 1.4 runs per game across their last 5, the Padres’ pitching control and lineup depth make them the clear moneyline side.
Form and matchup edges favor the San Diego Padres — back them.
Over/Under Prediction
Recent five-game scoring: the San Diego Padres are at 2.2 RPG and the Colorado Rockies at 1.4 — a useful baseline against the total.
These teams are combining for 3.6 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 8.5. That points toward the Under 8.5.
Bookmakers
Lines retrieved from: FanDuel.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
How often are picks updated?
Daily. We update for confirmed lineups, injuries, and market moves. Check back near first pitch for final notes.
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