Introduction

More MLB picks: Colorado Rockies · San Francisco Giants

The Giants enter this matchup analysis with a clear upper hand, having dominated the Rockies in recent meetings and holding a 7–1 series edge across the last eight games. Colorado has dropped five straight and averaged just 2.6 runs per game over that stretch, while San Francisco has produced 5.4 runs per contest in its last five. That scoring gap emphasizes why the Giants’ consistency at the plate and superior form establish them as the sharper side, with the total leaning toward an Over outcome given both teams’ recent combined output.

Game Time

This one goes at Sunday, September 28 at 03:05 PM ET inside Oracle Park, fly balls die quickly.

Odds & Spread Line

• Colorado Rockies: +240
• San Francisco Giants: -333

Total: 7.5

• Run Line — Colorado Rockies: +1.5 (+118)
• Run Line — San Francisco Giants: -1.5 (-140)

Latest Team Records

Colorado Rockies: 43-118 (Win %: 0.267)
San Francisco Giants: 80-81 (Win %: 0.497)

Injury Report

Colorado Rockies are missing Tyler Freeman (Back), listed as Day-To-Day; Roansy Contreras (Hand), listed as 15-Day-IL; Chase Dollander (Knee), listed as 15-Day-IL. No other significant injuries are reported.

The San Francisco Giants are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

Colorado Rockies

• Hunter Goodman: 0.276 AVG, 30 HR, 90 RBI
• Mickey Moniak: 0.27 AVG, 24 HR, 68 RBI
• Jordan Beck: 0.26 AVG, 15 HR, 52 RBI

San Francisco Giants

• Rafael Devers: 0.252 AVG, 34 HR, 107 RBI
• Willy Adames: 0.226 AVG, 29 HR, 86 RBI
• Heliot Ramos: 0.258 AVG, 21 HR, 69 RBI

Team Analysis

Colorado Rockies

The Rockies enter this contest with a 0-5 mark over their last five games (2.6 RPG), highlighting a prolonged slump that has crushed confidence. Their road record of 18-62 reinforces how ineffective they have been away from home, failing to generate consistent offense in hostile environments. Even with power bats like Hunter Goodman capable of driving runs, the lineup has not translated potential into results during this stretch.

Over the last 10 games, Colorado is 2-8 while averaging 3.4 runs, reflecting an offense that remains inconsistent at best. Mickey Moniak and Jordan Beck have shown flashes of production, but the lack of sustained scoring pressure has left the pitching staff exposed. With such poor road form and a struggling attack, the Rockies lack the profile of a team capable of pulling an upset in San Francisco.

• Batting Average: 0.238
• Total Runs Scored: 594
• Home Runs: 157
• OBP: 0.293
• SLG: 0.386
• OPS: 0.679
• ERA: 6.0
• WHIP: 1.59

Away Record: 18-62 • Home Record: 25-56
Last 5 Games: 0-5 (2.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 2-8 (3.4 RPG)

San Francisco Giants

The Giants have steadied their form, going 3-2 over the last five games while averaging 5.4 runs per contest. That level of production is driven by consistent contributions from Rafael Devers, whose power bat has anchored the middle of the order. Their home record of 41-39 shows they have been reliable on this field, particularly against weaker opposition like Colorado.

Over the past 10 games, San Francisco sits at 5-5 with 4.4 RPG, reflecting a balanced profile that has kept them competitive. Willy Adames and Heliot Ramos add depth to the lineup, ensuring the Giants can string together offense beyond their top hitter. With a strong pitching baseline and better scoring rhythm than the Rockies, San Francisco enters this game with the clear upper hand.

• Batting Average: 0.235
• Total Runs Scored: 697
• Home Runs: 170
• OBP: 0.312
• SLG: 0.386
• OPS: 0.698
• ERA: 3.87
• WHIP: 1.3

Away Record: 39-42 • Home Record: 41-39
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (5.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (4.4 RPG)

Head-to-Head History

San Francisco Giants lead 7–1 (Last 8 games)

• September 27, 2025: COL 3 @ SF 4
• September 26, 2025: COL 3 @ SF 6
• September 03, 2025: SF 10 @ COL 8
• September 02, 2025: SF 7 @ COL 4
• September 01, 2025: SF 8 @ COL 2
• June 12, 2025: SF 7 @ COL 8
• June 11, 2025: SF 10 @ COL 7
• June 10, 2025: SF 6 @ COL 5

Over/Under Trends

Colorado Rockies’ last 10 games have averaged 9.0 total runs, with 6 games that would have cleared today’s total of 7.5.

San Francisco Giants’ last 10 games have averaged 8.5 combined runs, with 5 games clearing the same number of 7.5.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

San Francisco Giants’ recent scoring edge, superior home record, and overwhelming 7–1 head-to-head advantage create a decisive angle. With Rafael Devers driving production and complementary bats like Willy Adames and Heliot Ramos backing him up, the Giants’ lineup has the depth to outclass a Rockies team mired in a slump. Expect the home side to enforce control and extend Colorado Rockies’ losing streak.

Form and matchup edges favor the San Francisco Giants — back them.

Over/Under Prediction

Recent five-game scoring: the San Francisco Giants are at 5.4 RPG and the Colorado Rockies at 2.6 — a useful baseline against the total.

These teams are combining for 8.0 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 7.5. That points toward the Over 7.5.

Bookmakers

MLB Lines retrieved from: BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, FanDuel, Caesars, DraftKings, MyBookie.ag, Fanatics, BetMGM, Bovada, BetRivers.

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John TamburinoVerified

Lead Analyst — data-first, former college baseball.

John Tamburino grew up on travel baseball and three years of varsity basketball, then played college baseball before shifting to analytics. He still watches everything—from weekday tennis to all major league sports—and will never forget the Diamondbacks’ World Series run. At Parlamaz, John blends trusted data feeds with matchup context to find real value—no fluff, no paywalls.

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