MLB Prediction: Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros (Thursday, August 28 at 02:10 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | COL | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +210 | -250 |
| Total (O/U) | 9.0 | |
| Run Line | +1.5 (-105) | -1.5 (-115) |
| Last 5 RPG | 1.4 | 5.2 |
| Record | 38–94 | 72–60 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: Colorado Rockies · Houston Astros
The Rockies enter this interleague matchup with a 1-4 record in their last 5 games, averaging just 1.4 runs per contest, while Houston has steadied at 3-2 with 5.2 runs per outing. That stark offensive contrast frames this MLB prediction clearly: the Astros are trending stronger at the plate, while Colorado Rockies’ bats remain in a slump. With Houston surging at home and Colorado struggling on the road, the betting edge tilts decisively toward the American League side.
Game Time
Set for Thursday, August 28 at 02:10 PM ET at Minute Maid Park, the short left-field porch changes the math.
Odds & Spread Line
- Colorado Rockies: +210
- Houston Astros: -250
Total: 9
- Run Line — Colorado Rockies: +1.5 (-105)
- Run Line — Houston Astros: -1.5 (-115)
Latest Team Records
Colorado Rockies: 38-94 (Win %: 0.288)
Houston Astros: 72-60 (Win %: 0.545)
Injury Report
The Colorado Rockies are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Houston Astros are missing Jake Meyers (Calf), listed as 10-Day-IL.
Key Player Stats
Colorado Rockies
- Hunter Goodman: 0.274 AVG, 26 HR, 75 RBI
- Mickey Moniak: 0.259 AVG, 18 HR, 52 RBI
- Jordan Beck: 0.271 AVG, 14 HR, 44 RBI
Houston Astros
- Jose Altuve: 0.273 AVG, 22 HR, 64 RBI
- Jeremy Pena: 0.307 AVG, 14 HR, 50 RBI
- Christian Walker: 0.235 AVG, 19 HR, 72 RBI
Team Analysis
Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies’ 1-4 record over the last 5 games, paired with just 1.4 runs per game, highlights a lineup that has fallen into a slump. The Rockies’ overall body of work shows little consistency, as their away form has been poor with only 17 wins away from home. While Hunter Goodman provides some power, the lack of sustained run production has left this offense unreliable for bettors.
In the bigger 10-game sample, Colorado sits at 4-6 with 3.4 runs per game, still below league-average output. Mickey Moniak and Jordan Beck have flashed occasional production, yet the supporting cast has not lifted the run totals. Against a disciplined Houston pitching staff, that inconsistency on the road projects as a liability rather than an advantage.
- Batting Average: 0.238
- Total Runs Scored: 497
- Home Runs: 134
- OBP: 0.295
- SLG: 0.392
- OPS: 0.687
- ERA: 5.96
- WHIP: 1.61
Away Record: 17-50 • Home Record: 21-45
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (1.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (3.4 RPG)
Houston Astros
Houston Astros’ 3-2 record across the last 5 games, with 5.2 runs per outing, drives home a steady offense at home. Their 39-28 home record reinforces the edge, as the Astros have consistently produced in front of their fans. Jeremy Pena’s contact skills and Jose Altuve’s power-sparked contributions have stabilized the top of the order, keeping pressure on opposing pitchers.
Over the last 10 games, Houston sits at 4-6 with 3.5 runs per game, showing some fluctuation but still outperforming Colorado Rockies’ recent output. Christian Walker adds another bat capable of driving in runs, giving this lineup depth even when the pace slows. With their pitching staff limiting damage and the lineup showing more balance, Houston has the clear upper hand in this matchup.
- Batting Average: 0.253
- Total Runs Scored: 561
- Home Runs: 146
- OBP: 0.318
- SLG: 0.401
- OPS: 0.719
- ERA: 3.9
- WHIP: 1.22
Away Record: 34-32 • Home Record: 39-28
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (5.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (3.5 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Houston Astros lead 3–2 (Last 5 games)
- August 27, 2025: COL 0 @ HOU 4
- August 26, 2025: COL 6 @ HOU 1
- July 03, 2025: HOU 6 @ COL 7
- July 02, 2025: HOU 5 @ COL 3
- July 01, 2025: HOU 6 @ COL 5
Over/Under Trends
Colorado Rockies’ last 10 games have averaged 8.8 total runs, with 4 games that would have cleared today’s total of 9.
Houston Astros’ last 10 games have averaged 9.1 combined runs, with 4 games clearing the same number of 9.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Houston Astros’ stronger home record, steadier run production, and recent head-to-head edge make them the clear side. With Jose Altuve and Jeremy Pena anchoring a lineup that has outperformed Colorado Rockies’ slumping bats, the Astros project as the dominant team in this matchup.
The Houston Astros are the sharp side on form and splits.
Over/Under Prediction
In their last five, the Houston Astros have produced 5.2 RPG and the Colorado Rockies 1.4. That output frames how this total sets up.
These teams are combining for 6.6 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 9.0. That points toward the Under 9.0.
Bookmakers
Available at: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, Fanatics, Caesars, DraftKings, Bovada, BetMGM, BetUS, BetRivers.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
What’s a good price range for today’s pick (Aug 28, 2025)?
We list a target price in the post. If the market moves past that number, reduce stake size or pass instead of chasing worse odds.
How should I size my bets?
Use a consistent unit (about 1–2% of bankroll). Singles should be most of your volume. We like parlays—smart ones. Keep legs tight (2–3), cap risk to 0.25–0.5u, and pass when the price isn’t there.
