MLB Prediction: Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros (Wednesday, August 27 at 08:10 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | COL | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +266 | -312 |
| Total (O/U) | 8.0 | |
| Run Line | +1.5 (118) | -1.5 (-140) |
| Last 5 RPG | 2.4 | 5.8 |
| Record | 37–94 | 72–59 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +6 more | ||
More MLB picks: Colorado Rockies · Houston Astros
Houston Astros’ consistency at home contrasts sharply with Colorado Rockies’ road struggles, making this interleague matchup analysis straightforward for bettors. The Rockies have dropped 4 of their last 5 while averaging just 2.4 RPG, signaling a slump that limits their ability to keep pace. With Houston scoring 5.8 RPG over that same span, this MLB prediction leans heavily toward the Astros controlling tempo while the total trends toward a lower-scoring finish.
Game Time
The action begins at Wednesday, August 27 at 08:10 PM ET inside Minute Maid Park, pull-side power plays up.
Odds & Spread Line
- Colorado Rockies: +266
- Houston Astros: -312
Total: 8
- Run Line — Colorado Rockies: +1.5 (+118)
- Run Line — Houston Astros: -1.5 (-140)
Latest Team Records
Colorado Rockies: 37-94 (Win %: 0.282)
Houston Astros: 72-59 (Win %: 0.55)
Injury Report
The Colorado Rockies are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Houston Astros are missing Brendan Rodgers (Concussion), listed as 60-Day-IL; Bennett Sousa (Elbow), listed as 15-Day-IL.
Key Player Stats
Colorado Rockies
- Hunter Goodman: 0.274 AVG, 25 HR, 73 RBI
- Mickey Moniak: 0.256 AVG, 18 HR, 49 RBI
- Jordan Beck: 0.274 AVG, 14 HR, 44 RBI
Houston Astros
- Jose Altuve: 0.276 AVG, 22 HR, 64 RBI
- Jeremy Pena: 0.306 AVG, 14 HR, 50 RBI
- Christian Walker: 0.237 AVG, 19 HR, 72 RBI
Team Analysis
Colorado Rockies
The Rockies’ 1-4 record across their last 5 games reflects a lineup struggling to generate offense, with just 2.4 RPG in that stretch. Hunter Goodman’s power has not been enough to offset the lack of consistent run support, and the team’s inability to string together quality road performances has them in a prolonged rut. Their 17-49 road mark emphasizes a lack of competitiveness away from home, making them a fade in this spot.
Jordan Beck offers occasional production, but the Rockies’ lineup lacks the balance needed to sustain rallies against strong pitching staffs. Mickey Moniak’s contributions have been sporadic, and the Rockies’ inability to elevate run totals consistently has left them vulnerable against higher-caliber opponents. With an ERA north of 6.0, their pitching staff compounds those offensive issues, leaving little betting appeal on the moneyline or total.
- Batting Average: 0.239
- Total Runs Scored: 491
- Home Runs: 133
- OBP: 0.296
- SLG: 0.393
- OPS: 0.688
- ERA: 6.0
- WHIP: 1.61
Away Record: 17-49 • Home Record: 21-45
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (2.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (4.4 RPG)
Houston Astros
The Astros have steadied their form with a 3-2 mark in their last 5 games, producing 5.8 RPG and showing the offensive balance that keeps them dangerous. Jose Altuve remains a central figure, consistently setting the table and driving in runs, which has elevated Houston Astros’ overall rhythm at home. Their 38-28 home record demonstrates a reliable edge at Minute Maid Park, particularly against weaker National League competition.
Jeremy Pena’s ability to sustain a high-contact approach has given Houston a dependable middle-order spark, while Christian Walker’s power production adds depth to their run-scoring potential. Even with a 4-6 record in their last 10, their recent scoring profile suggests stability rather than prolonged struggles. Supported by a pitching staff carrying a sub-4.00 ERA, Houston Astros’ balance across both sides of the game positions them as the clear betting side.
- Batting Average: 0.254
- Total Runs Scored: 560
- Home Runs: 145
- OBP: 0.318
- SLG: 0.401
- OPS: 0.72
- ERA: 3.91
- WHIP: 1.23
Away Record: 34-32 • Home Record: 38-28
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (5.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (3.6 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Tied 2–2 (Last 4 games)
- August 26, 2025: COL 6 @ HOU 1
- July 03, 2025: HOU 6 @ COL 7
- July 02, 2025: HOU 5 @ COL 3
- July 01, 2025: HOU 6 @ COL 5
Over/Under Trends
Colorado Rockies’ last 10 games have averaged 10.1 total runs, with 6 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.
Houston Astros’ last 10 games have averaged 9.6 combined runs, with 7 games clearing the same number of 8.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Houston Astros’ superior home record, steadier run production, and proven contributors like Jose Altuve and Jeremy Pena create a decisive edge against a Rockies team that collapses on the road. With Colorado averaging just 2.4 RPG in their last 5, the Astros’ balance of offense and pitching makes them the only logical moneyline side.
Form and matchup edges favor the Houston Astros — back them.
Over/Under Prediction
In their last five, the Houston Astros have produced 5.8 RPG and the Colorado Rockies 2.4. That output frames how this total sets up.
These teams are combining for 8.2 runs per game recently — right around the posted total of 8.0. That points toward the Under 8.0.
Bookmakers
Data pulled from: FanDuel, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, MyBookie.ag, Bovada, BetMGM, BetRivers, BetUS.
Parlamaz may earn affiliate commissions from links in this article.
MLB Predictions FAQ
How does Parlamaz make Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros MLB predictions?
We use trusted data feeds and real-time odds to model each matchup. We weight the numbers that move lines—team form, matchup history, injuries, park factors, totals trends, and betting momentum—then compare our price to the market to find value. All signal, no noise. No paywalls.
How often are picks updated?
Daily. We update for confirmed lineups, injuries, and market moves. Check back near first pitch for final notes.
What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?
Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.
