MLB Prediction: Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers (Monday, August 25 at 10:10 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | CIN | LAD |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +120 | -145 |
| Total (O/U) | 8.5 | |
| Run Line | +1.5 (-170) | -1.5 (145) |
| Last 5 RPG | 3.8 | 4.4 |
| Record | 67–63 | 73–57 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +6 more | ||
More MLB picks: Cincinnati Reds · Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers enter this matchup analysis with a stronger overall record and a clear edge at home, where they are 41-24 this season. The Reds are just 32-34 on the road and have averaged only 3.8 runs per game across their last five contests, signaling inconsistency away from home. With Los Angeles producing 5.0 runs per game over their last 10 and recent head-to-head success, this MLB prediction leans firmly toward the home side controlling tempo in a lower-scoring contest.
Game Time
First pitch comes at Monday, August 25 at 10:10 PM ET inside Dodger Stadium, totals often track with starting pitching.
Odds & Spread Line
- Cincinnati Reds: +120
- Los Angeles Dodgers: -145
Total: 8.5
- Run Line — Cincinnati Reds: +1.5 (-170)
- Run Line — Los Angeles Dodgers: -1.5 (+145)
Latest Team Records
Cincinnati Reds: 67-63 (Win %: 0.515)
Los Angeles Dodgers: 73-57 (Win %: 0.562)
Injury Report
The Cincinnati Reds are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Los Angeles Dodgers are missing Roki Sasaki (Shoulder), listed as 60-Day-IL; Hyeseong Kim (Shoulder), listed as 10-Day-IL; Tommy Edman (Ankle), listed as 10-Day-IL; Max Muncy (Oblique), listed as 10-Day-IL. No other significant injuries are reported.
Key Player Stats
Cincinnati Reds
- Elly De La Cruz: 0.276 AVG, 19 HR, 77 RBI
- Miguel Andujar: 0.31 AVG, 9 HR, 38 RBI
- Noelvi Marte: 0.298 AVG, 10 HR, 40 RBI
Los Angeles Dodgers
- Shohei Ohtani: 0.28 AVG, 44 HR, 83 RBI
- Freddie Freeman: 0.301 AVG, 16 HR, 72 RBI
- Andy Pages: 0.271 AVG, 21 HR, 71 RBI
Team Analysis
Cincinnati Reds
The Reds’ 2-3 record across their last five games highlights a team struggling to build consistency, especially on the road where they sit below .500. While Elly De La Cruz has been a steady contributor, the offense overall has averaged just 3.8 runs per game in that span, underscoring a lack of firepower away from home. That inconsistency makes it difficult to trust them against a Dodgers team that thrives at home.
Miguel Andujar and Noelvi Marte provide offensive support, but the Reds’ recent 5-5 mark over their last 10 games further illustrates their inability to separate from mediocrity. Their road record of 32-34 reinforces the same theme: capable of keeping games competitive but rarely dictating terms. Against a disciplined Dodgers lineup, Cincinnati Reds’ margin for error becomes razor-thin.
- Batting Average: 0.247
- Total Runs Scored: 587
- Home Runs: 127
- OBP: 0.317
- SLG: 0.39
- OPS: 0.707
- ERA: 3.82
- WHIP: 1.24
Away Record: 32-34 • Home Record: 36-29
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (3.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (4.7 RPG)
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers enter with a 41-24 home record, a reliable foundation that reflects their ability to control games at this venue. Their 2-3 mark over the last five may look ordinary, but with 4.4 runs per game in that span, they’ve maintained offensive stability. Shohei Ohtani’s power presence continues to anchor the lineup, ensuring that even in tighter games, Los Angeles keeps pressure on opposing pitchers.
Over their last 10 games, the Dodgers are 6-4 with 5.0 runs per game, reinforcing their edge in consistency compared to the Reds. Freddie Freeman and Andy Pages add depth behind Ohtani, giving Los Angeles multiple threats capable of delivering in key spots. With superior home form and a more balanced attack, the Dodgers remain positioned as the clear side to back.
- Batting Average: 0.253
- Total Runs Scored: 668
- Home Runs: 192
- OBP: 0.33
- SLG: 0.438
- OPS: 0.767
- ERA: 4.16
- WHIP: 1.31
Away Record: 33-33 • Home Record: 41-24
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (4.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (5.0 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Los Angeles Dodgers lead 2–1 (Last 3 games)
- July 30, 2025: LAD 2 @ CIN 5
- July 29, 2025: LAD 5 @ CIN 4
- July 28, 2025: LAD 5 @ CIN 2
Over/Under Trends
Cincinnati Reds’ last 10 games have averaged 8.9 total runs, with 5 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.5.
Los Angeles Dodgers’ last 10 games have averaged 8.6 combined runs, with 5 games clearing the same number of 8.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
The Dodgers’ superior home record, steadier offensive output, and recent head-to-head edge give them the clear advantage in this matchup. With Ohtani, Freeman, and Pages providing consistent production, Los Angeles has the depth and proven track record to outlast a Cincinnati team that falters on the road. Expect the Dodgers to assert control and secure another home victory.
Confidence sits with the Los Angeles Dodgers based on recent profiles.
Over/Under Prediction
Recent five-game scoring: the Los Angeles Dodgers are at 4.4 RPG and the Cincinnati Reds at 3.8 — a useful baseline against the total.
These teams are combining for 8.2 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 8.5. That points toward the Under 8.5.
Bookmakers
These lines come from: BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, MyBookie.ag, FanDuel, BetUS, BetRivers, Bovada, BetMGM.
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What’s a good price range for today’s pick (Aug 25, 2025)?
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Daily. We update for confirmed lineups, injuries, and market moves. Check back near first pitch for final notes.
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