MLB Prediction: Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees (Sunday, August 24 at 07:10 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | BOS | NYY |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +145 | -182 |
| Total (O/U) | 8.5 | |
| Run Line | +1.5 (-145) | -1.5 (124) |
| Last 5 RPG | 5.0 | 4.6 |
| Record | 71–59 | 69–60 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +6 more | ||
More MLB picks: Boston Red Sox · New York Yankees
Boston enters this matchup with a 3-2 record over its last five games while averaging 5.0 runs per contest, but the sharper betting preview points toward the Yankees’ offensive ceiling. New York has produced 5.7 runs per game across its past 10, showing more consistent firepower at home. With the Red Sox carrying a losing road record and the Yankees’ lineup anchored by elite power, the numbers clearly frame this as a high‑scoring environment where New York holds the advantage.
Game Time
Coverage starts at Sunday, August 24 at 07:10 PM ET at Yankee Stadium, the short porch in right boosts pull-side power.
Odds & Spread Line
- Boston Red Sox: +145
- New York Yankees: -182
Total: 8.5
- Run Line — Boston Red Sox: +1.5 (-145)
- Run Line — New York Yankees: -1.5 (+124)
Latest Team Records
Boston Red Sox: 71-59 (Win %: 0.546)
New York Yankees: 69-60 (Win %: 0.535)
Injury Report
The Boston Red Sox are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
New York Yankees are missing Oswaldo Cabrera (Ankle), listed as 60-Day-IL; Gerrit Cole (Elbow), listed as 60-Day-IL.
Key Player Stats
Boston Red Sox
- Alex Bregman: 0.309 AVG, 16 HR, 52 RBI
- Trevor Story: 0.257 AVG, 19 HR, 79 RBI
- Wilyer Abreu: 0.253 AVG, 22 HR, 69 RBI
New York Yankees
- Aaron Judge: 0.327 AVG, 40 HR, 92 RBI
- Cody Bellinger: 0.27 AVG, 24 HR, 75 RBI
- Giancarlo Stanton: 0.301 AVG, 15 HR, 40 RBI
Team Analysis
Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox have pieced together a 3-2 record across their last five games, scoring at a steady 5.0 runs per outing. That production has kept them competitive, but their 30-34 road record reflects a team that struggles to translate offense away from Fenway. Alex Bregman continues to be a steady contributor, yet the lack of consistent road dominance leaves Boston vulnerable against top-tier lineups.
Trevor Story’s run production has been valuable, and Wilyer Abreu has provided additional punch, but the team’s away form tells the real story. Despite a respectable 6-4 record over their last 10 games, the Red Sox remain inconsistent when asked to win on the road. Against a power-driven Yankees offense in a hitter-friendly park, Boston’s profile suggests they are more likely to chase from behind than dictate tempo.
- Batting Average: 0.252
- Total Runs Scored: 639
- Home Runs: 153
- OBP: 0.324
- SLG: 0.424
- OPS: 0.747
- ERA: 3.71
- WHIP: 1.29
Away Record: 30-34 • Home Record: 41-25
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (5.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (5.2 RPG)
New York Yankees
The Yankees’ last five games have been uneven at 2-3, but their 5.7 runs per game over the last 10 highlight a lineup capable of breaking open contests. Aaron Judge’s elite power production remains the centerpiece, with Cody Bellinger adding balance from the left side. At home, where they hold a 37-28 record, New York Yankees’ bats have consistently played up, making them a stronger bet in this spot.
Giancarlo Stanton’s ability to drive runs adds another layer of depth, ensuring opposing pitchers cannot focus solely on Judge. While recent head-to-head results have favored Boston, the Yankees’ offensive metrics and home consistency project a rebound performance. This team’s power profile combined with favorable park dimensions points squarely toward New York asserting control.
- Batting Average: 0.25
- Total Runs Scored: 658
- Home Runs: 210
- OBP: 0.33
- SLG: 0.451
- OPS: 0.781
- ERA: 3.97
- WHIP: 1.26
Away Record: 32-32 • Home Record: 37-28
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (4.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (5.7 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Boston Red Sox lead 5–0 (Last 5 games)
- August 23, 2025: BOS 12 @ NYY 1
- August 22, 2025: BOS 1 @ NYY 0
- August 21, 2025: BOS 6 @ NYY 3
- June 15, 2025: NYY 0 @ BOS 2
- June 14, 2025: NYY 3 @ BOS 4
Over/Under Trends
Boston Red Sox’s last 10 games have averaged 8.2 total runs, with 5 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.5.
New York Yankees’ last 10 games have averaged 10.3 combined runs, with 7 games clearing the same number of 8.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
The Yankees’ reliable home scoring pace, supported by Aaron Judge’s elite power and Giancarlo Stanton’s run-driving presence, sets them apart from Boston’s inconsistent road profile. Despite recent head-to-head struggles, New York Yankees’ offensive balance and 37-28 home record position them to exploit the Red Sox’s road weakness. The data signals a clear lean toward the Yankees reasserting control in this matchup.
Confidence sits with the New York Yankees based on recent profiles.
Over/Under Prediction
Recent five-game scoring: the New York Yankees are at 4.6 RPG and the Boston Red Sox at 5.0 — a useful baseline against the total.
These teams are combining for 9.6 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 8.5. That points toward the Over 8.5.
Bookmakers
Current odds sourced from: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, BetMGM, BetUS, Fanatics, BetRivers.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
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Use a consistent unit (about 1–2% of bankroll). Singles should be most of your volume. We like parlays—smart ones. Keep legs tight (2–3), cap risk to 0.25–0.5u, and pass when the price isn’t there.
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