MLB Prediction: Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles (Tuesday, August 26 at 06:35 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | BOS | BAL |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -110 | +100 |
| Total (O/U) | 9.0 | |
| Run Line | -1.5 (140) | +1.5 (-165) |
| Last 5 RPG | 5.0 | 4.6 |
| Record | 71–60 | 60–70 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetUS, Bovada +6 more | ||
More MLB picks: Boston Red Sox · Baltimore Orioles
Boston’s 4-1 surge across the last five games provides clear momentum heading into this matchup analysis against Baltimore. The Red Sox are averaging 5.0 runs per game in that span, while the Orioles have stumbled to a 1-4 mark despite 4.6 RPG. With Boston’s sharper form and Baltimore Orioles’ uneven results, this MLB prediction leans firmly toward the visitors asserting control in a game that profiles toward higher scoring.
Game Time
First pitch is set for Tuesday, August 26 at 06:35 PM ET inside Camden Yards, aggressive lineups find extra bases.
Odds & Spread Line
- Boston Red Sox: -110
- Baltimore Orioles: +100
Total: 9
- Run Line — Boston Red Sox: -1.5 (+140)
- Run Line — Baltimore Orioles: +1.5 (-165)
Latest Team Records
Boston Red Sox: 71-60 (Win %: 0.542)
Baltimore Orioles: 60-70 (Win %: 0.462)
Injury Report
Boston Red Sox are missing Triston Casas (Knee), listed as 60-Day-IL.
Baltimore Orioles are missing Jorge Mateo (Hamstring), listed as 60-Day-IL; Albert Suarez (Shoulder), listed as 60-Day-IL.
Key Player Stats
Boston Red Sox
- Trevor Story: 0.26 AVG, 20 HR, 82 RBI
- Alex Bregman: 0.305 AVG, 16 HR, 53 RBI
- Wilyer Abreu: 0.253 AVG, 22 HR, 69 RBI
Baltimore Orioles
- Gunnar Henderson: 0.283 AVG, 16 HR, 59 RBI
- Jordan Westburg: 0.276 AVG, 15 HR, 34 RBI
- Jackson Holliday: 0.246 AVG, 15 HR, 49 RBI
Team Analysis
Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox’s 71-60 record reflects a team executing with rhythm, and their 4-1 stretch over the last five games underlines that momentum. Averaging 5.0 runs in that span shows an offense capable of sustaining pressure, especially when Trevor Story’s run production and Alex Bregman’s on-base ability keep innings alive. Their 31-35 road mark is offset by current form, which signals they are traveling with confidence at the plate.
Boston’s last 10 games at 6-4 with 4.3 RPG further highlight consistency, and Wilyer Abreu’s power adds another layer to their scoring profile. The combination of reliable contact and timely power makes them less vulnerable to dry spells, particularly against a Baltimore staff struggling with a 4.70 ERA. With sharper execution and depth across the lineup, this is a team entering the series with a betting edge.
- Batting Average: 0.253
- Total Runs Scored: 653
- Home Runs: 155
- OBP: 0.325
- SLG: 0.425
- OPS: 0.75
- ERA: 3.72
- WHIP: 1.29
Away Record: 31-35 • Home Record: 41-25
Last 5 Games: 4-1 (5.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (4.3 RPG)
Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles sit at 60-70 overall and their 1-4 mark in the last five games reflects a team struggling to sustain results. Even with 4.6 RPG in that stretch, they have failed to translate offense into wins, an issue compounded by pitching inconsistency. Gunnar Henderson provides production, but the supporting cast has not carried enough weight to tilt outcomes in their favor.
Over the last 10 games, Baltimore is 5-5 with 5.6 RPG, which shows some offensive capability but not the consistency needed against Boston’s sharper form. Jordan Westburg and Jackson Holliday offer flashes of extra-base impact, yet defensive and pitching lapses have undermined their progress. At 31-34 at home, their environment has not provided the decisive edge they need to offset Boston’s current surge.
- Batting Average: 0.241
- Total Runs Scored: 567
- Home Runs: 158
- OBP: 0.307
- SLG: 0.405
- OPS: 0.712
- ERA: 4.7
- WHIP: 1.38
Away Record: 29-37 • Home Record: 31-34
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (4.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (5.6 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Tied 4–4 (Last 8 games)
- August 25, 2025: BOS 4 @ BAL 3
- August 19, 2025: BAL 4 @ BOS 3
- August 18, 2025: BAL 6 @ BOS 3
- May 25, 2025: BAL 5 @ BOS 1
- May 24, 2025: BAL 2 @ BOS 1
- May 24, 2025: BAL 5 @ BOS 6
- May 23, 2025: BAL 5 @ BOS 19
- April 03, 2025: BOS 8 @ BAL 4
Over/Under Trends
Boston Red Sox’s last 10 games have averaged 7.8 total runs, with 2 games that would have cleared today’s total of 9.
Baltimore Orioles’ last 10 games have averaged 9.9 combined runs, with 3 games clearing the same number of 9.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Boston’s 4-1 surge with 5.0 RPG in their last five directly contrasts Baltimore Orioles’ 1-4 slump, making the visitors the stronger side. With consistent production from Trevor Story, Alex Bregman, and Wilyer Abreu, plus recent head-to-head success including a win on August 25, the Red Sox enter this matchup with superior form and reliability.
Markets point to the Boston Red Sox as the correct angle.
Over/Under Prediction
Last five form shows the Baltimore Orioles at 4.6 RPG and the Boston Red Sox at 5.0, giving context for the number.
These teams are combining for 9.6 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 9.0. That points toward the Over 9.0.
Bookmakers
Odds courtesy of:FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, BetUS, BetMGM, Fanatics.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
What’s a good price range for today’s pick (Aug 26, 2025)?
We list a target price in the post. If the market moves past that number, reduce stake size or pass instead of chasing worse odds.
What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?
Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.
How does Parlamaz make Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles MLB predictions?
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