MLB Prediction: Boston Red Sox vs Oakland Athletics (Tuesday, September 9 at 10:05 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | BOS | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -110 | -110 |
| Total (O/U) | 10.5 | |
| Run Line | -1.5 (140) | +1.5 (-170) |
| Last 5 RPG | 4.2 | 6.2 |
| Record | 79–65 | 66–78 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: Boston Red Sox · Oakland Athletics
Boston’s recent 2-3 mark across the last five games, paired with Oakland Athletics’ 3-7 stretch over their last ten, sets the stage for a sharp MLB prediction that leans heavily toward the visiting side. The Red Sox have kept their season win percentage above .540, while the Athletics continue to sit below .460 overall. With both teams’ recent combined scoring averaging just over ten runs per game, the matchup points directly to Boston’s consistency and an edge on the moneyline while signaling value on the Under.
Game Time
Set for Tuesday, September 9 at 10:05 PM ET at pitcher-friendly Oakland Coliseum with spacious foul territory.
Odds & Spread Line
- Boston Red Sox: -110
- Oakland Athletics: -110
Total: 10.5
- Run Line — Boston Red Sox: -1.5 (+140)
- Run Line — Oakland Athletics: +1.5 (-170)
Latest Team Records
Boston Red Sox: 79-65 (Win %: 0.549)
Oakland Athletics: 66-78 (Win %: 0.458)
Injury Report
Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
Boston Red Sox
- Trevor Story: 0.262 AVG, 23 HR, 89 RBI
- Wilyer Abreu: 0.253 AVG, 22 HR, 69 RBI
- Jarren Duran: 0.257 AVG, 14 HR, 77 RBI
Oakland Athletics
- Tyler Soderstrom: 0.276 AVG, 24 HR, 86 RBI
- Brent Rooker: 0.268 AVG, 27 HR, 82 RBI
- Shea Langeliers: 0.264 AVG, 29 HR, 67 RBI
Team Analysis
Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox enter with a 79-65 record and a balanced offensive profile, but their 2-3 mark across the last five games highlights recent inconsistency. Despite that, their road form has remained competitive, and averaging 4.2 runs per game in that stretch shows they are still generating enough offense to stay ahead of weaker opponents. Trevor Story’s production has been a steadying force, ensuring Boston maintains scoring pressure even when overall rhythm dips.
Over the last 10 games at 5-5, Boston has shown that while they are not streaking, they are avoiding prolonged slumps and maintaining a .500 pace that reflects resilience. Wilyer Abreu has emerged as a reliable secondary contributor, complementing Story’s consistency and keeping the lineup from being overly reliant on one bat. With Jarren Duran adding balance, this offense remains capable of outpacing Oakland Athletics’ weaker pitching metrics, making Boston the stronger side.
- Batting Average: 0.254
- Total Runs Scored: 716
- Home Runs: 171
- OBP: 0.324
- SLG: 0.425
- OPS: 0.749
- ERA: 3.75
- WHIP: 1.29
Away Record: 36-37 • Home Record: 44-28
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (4.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (4.8 RPG)
Oakland Athletics
At 66-78, the Athletics remain below .500 and their 2-3 mark across the last five games reflects continued inconsistency despite averaging 6.2 runs during that span. Brent Rooker’s power has been a bright spot, but the team’s inability to string together wins at home has kept them from gaining traction. Their 29-41 home record makes clear the lack of reliability when playing in their own ballpark.
Over their last 10 games, Oakland has stumbled to a 3-7 record, showing that their offensive bursts are not translating into results. Tyler Soderstrom has provided steady production, yet the supporting cast has not delivered enough to offset pitching shortcomings. Even with Shea Langeliers contributing, the Athletics’ struggles at home and lack of consistent run prevention make them vulnerable against a steadier Boston lineup.
- Batting Average: 0.254
- Total Runs Scored: 668
- Home Runs: 199
- OBP: 0.32
- SLG: 0.434
- OPS: 0.753
- ERA: 4.81
- WHIP: 1.36
Away Record: 37-38 • Home Record: 29-41
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (6.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 3-7 (5.4 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Boston Red Sox lead 1–0 (Most recent game)
- September 08, 2025: BOS 7 @ OAK 0
Over/Under Trends
Boston Red Sox’s last 10 games have averaged 10.2 total runs, with 4 games that would have cleared today’s total of 10.5.
Oakland Athletics’ last 10 games have averaged 10.6 combined runs, with 5 games clearing the same number of 10.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Boston’s steadier performance across the season, combined with a superior win percentage and balanced offensive contributors like Trevor Story and Wilyer Abreu, gives them the edge. With Oakland struggling at home and showing a 3-7 collapse in their last 10, the Red Sox’s consistency and head-to-head dominance make them the sharper investment.
Data supports the Boston Red Sox as the right side.
Over/Under Prediction
In their last five, the Oakland Athletics have produced 6.2 RPG and the Boston Red Sox 4.2. That output frames how this total sets up.
These teams are combining for 10.4 runs per game recently — right around the posted total of 10.5. That points toward the Under 10.5.
Bookmakers
Current MLB odds sourced from: FanDuel, LowVig.ag, MyBookie.ag, BetOnline.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, Bovada, BetMGM, BetRivers, BetUS, Fanatics.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
How often are picks updated?
Daily. We update for confirmed lineups, injuries, and market moves. Check back near first pitch for final notes.
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