MLB Prediction: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red Sox (Friday, August 29 at 07:10 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | PIT | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -110 | -110 |
| Total (O/U) | 8.5 | |
| Run Line | -1.5 (152) | +1.5 (-187) |
| Last 5 RPG | 4.2 | 3.4 |
| Record | 59–75 | 74–60 |
| Lines: Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel, Fanatics | ||
More MLB picks: Pittsburgh Pirates · Boston Red Sox
Pittsburgh Pirates’ recent stretch of 7-3 across their last 10 games signals a team gaining confidence, while Boston’s 7-3 mark has leaned on tighter run production at just 3.4 RPG over the last five. This interleague matchup analysis between the National League Pirates and American League Red Sox highlights a contrast in run-scoring efficiency, with Pittsburgh showing steadier offensive rhythm. With both clubs trending toward lower totals, this MLB prediction leans firmly on the Pirates’ momentum and the Under.
Game Time
Scheduled for Friday, August 29 at 07:10 PM ET at Fenway Park, quirky angles shape extra-base hit potential.
Odds & Spread Line
- Pittsburgh Pirates: -110
- Boston Red Sox: -110
Total: 8.5
- Run Line — Pittsburgh Pirates: -1.5 (+152)
- Run Line — Boston Red Sox: +1.5 (-187)
Latest Team Records
Pittsburgh Pirates: 59-75 (Win %: 0.44)
Boston Red Sox: 74-60 (Win %: 0.552)
Injury Report
Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
Pittsburgh Pirates
- Bryan Reynolds: 0.246 AVG, 14 HR, 66 RBI
- Andrew McCutchen: 0.239 AVG, 12 HR, 49 RBI
- Tommy Pham: 0.264 AVG, 7 HR, 40 RBI
Boston Red Sox
- Trevor Story: 0.257 AVG, 21 HR, 83 RBI
- Alex Bregman: 0.298 AVG, 16 HR, 53 RBI
- Wilyer Abreu: 0.253 AVG, 22 HR, 69 RBI
Team Analysis
Pittsburgh Pirates
The Pirates enter with a 3-2 record over their last 5 games, producing 4.2 runs per game in that span, which reflects stable offensive balance. Their 7-3 mark across the last 10 confirms a team trending upward despite a season-long losing record. Bryan Reynolds has been central to that steadiness, anchoring key run production that has allowed Pittsburgh to stay competitive in tighter contests.
On the road, where they sit at 20-46, Pittsburgh has struggled overall, but the recent uptick suggests improved resilience away from home. Andrew McCutchen’s timely contributions and Tommy Pham’s ability to extend innings add depth to a lineup that has finally found rhythm. With steadier contact and a capable pitching staff, the Pirates present sharper betting value than their record would indicate.
- Batting Average: 0.234
- Total Runs Scored: 483
- Home Runs: 97
- OBP: 0.305
- SLG: 0.352
- OPS: 0.657
- ERA: 3.93
- WHIP: 1.21
Away Record: 20-46 • Home Record: 39-30
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (4.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 7-3 (4.5 RPG)
Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox have gone 4-1 in their last 5 games, yet their run production sits at just 3.4 per game in that stretch. Despite a solid 41-25 home record, their offense has leaned on sporadic bursts rather than sustained pressure. Trevor Story’s power numbers highlight their ability to change a game quickly, but overall consistency has been lacking.
Boston’s 7-3 record in their last 10 points to their ability to grind out wins, though the margins have been narrow. Alex Bregman’s contact skills and Wilyer Abreu’s run-driving capacity provide balance, but the lineup has not consistently cleared scoring thresholds. With diminished offensive output at home recently, the Red Sox’s edge is limited when matched against Pittsburgh Pirates’ current upward trajectory.
- Batting Average: 0.252
- Total Runs Scored: 665
- Home Runs: 161
- OBP: 0.324
- SLG: 0.425
- OPS: 0.749
- ERA: 3.67
- WHIP: 1.28
Away Record: 34-35 • Home Record: 41-25
Last 5 Games: 4-1 (3.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 7-3 (4.2 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
No recent matchups between these teams in 2025.
Over/Under Trends
Pittsburgh Pirates’ last 10 games have averaged 7.1 total runs, with 4 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.5.
Boston Red Sox’s last 10 games have averaged 7.0 combined runs, with 4 games clearing the same number of 8.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Pittsburgh Pirates’ 7-3 surge over the last 10 games shows a team outperforming expectations, while Boston’s limited scoring efficiency at 3.4 RPG over the last five makes them vulnerable despite home strength. With Reynolds steadying the lineup and McCutchen adding situational production, the Pirates carry sharper momentum and are the clear side to back here.
This sets up cleanly for the Pittsburgh Pirates to finish on top.
Over/Under Prediction
Last five form shows the Boston Red Sox at 3.4 RPG and the Pittsburgh Pirates at 4.2, giving context for the number.
These teams are combining for 7.6 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 8.5. That points toward the Under 8.5.
Bookmakers
These lines come from: FanDuel, Fanatics, Caesars, DraftKings.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?
Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.
How does Parlamaz make Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red Sox MLB predictions?
We use trusted data feeds and real-time odds to model each matchup. We weight the numbers that move lines—team form, matchup history, injuries, park factors, totals trends, and betting momentum—then compare our price to the market to find value. All signal, no noise. No paywalls.
