MLB Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets (Tuesday, August 26 at 07:10 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | PHI | NYM |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -110 | -110 |
| Total (O/U) | 8.5 | |
| Run Line | -1.5 (151) | +1.5 (-179) |
| Last 5 RPG | 5.4 | 8.0 |
| Record | 76–54 | 69–61 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetUS, Bovada +6 more | ||
More MLB picks: Philadelphia Phillies · New York Mets
The Phillies enter this MLB prediction riding a 7-3 stretch over their last 10, averaging 6.2 runs per game, while the Mets have been scoring 7.1 per game in the same span. That offensive pace sets the tone for a high-scoring contest, with both lineups producing above the market’s posted number. Philadelphia Phillies’ recent rhythm and ability to generate runs on the road positions them as the sharper side despite New York Mets’ home edge.
Game Time
First pitch comes at Tuesday, August 26 at 07:10 PM ET inside Citi Field, stronger arms often set the tone.
Odds & Spread Line
- Philadelphia Phillies: -110
- New York Mets: -110
Total: 8.5
- Run Line — Philadelphia Phillies: -1.5 (+151)
- Run Line — New York Mets: +1.5 (-179)
Latest Team Records
Philadelphia Phillies: 76-54 (Win %: 0.585)
New York Mets: 69-61 (Win %: 0.531)
Injury Report
Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
Philadelphia Phillies
- Kyle Schwarber: 0.248 AVG, 45 HR, 109 RBI
- Trea Turner: 0.3 AVG, 14 HR, 61 RBI
- Bryce Harper: 0.263 AVG, 21 HR, 60 RBI
New York Mets
- Pete Alonso: 0.26 AVG, 29 HR, 103 RBI
- Juan Soto: 0.25 AVG, 32 HR, 77 RBI
- Francisco Lindor: 0.265 AVG, 25 HR, 72 RBI
Team Analysis
Philadelphia Phillies
The Phillies have shown balance with a 76-54 record and a 3-2 mark across their last 5 games, producing 5.4 runs per outing. That neutral form is underpinned by a stronger 7-3 run across the last 10 games, where they elevated to 6.2 runs per game. Kyle Schwarber’s power surge has been central to sustaining scoring pressure, with Trea Turner complementing him by consistently getting on base.
On the road, the Phillies sit nearly even at 34-33, which underlines their ability to compete away from home against quality opponents. Bryce Harper’s presence adds another dimension, giving the lineup multiple threats who can change a game in one swing. With their current scoring rhythm and recent offensive consistency, Philadelphia carries the sharper edge heading into this matchup.
- Batting Average: 0.257
- Total Runs Scored: 617
- Home Runs: 160
- OBP: 0.327
- SLG: 0.423
- OPS: 0.75
- ERA: 3.75
- WHIP: 1.23
Away Record: 34-33 • Home Record: 42-22
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (5.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 7-3 (6.2 RPG)
New York Mets
The Mets sit at 69-61 overall and have been steady at home with a 42-24 record, reinforcing their strength at Citi Field. Over their last 5 outings, they’ve gone 3-2 while averaging 8.0 runs per game, showing that their lineup has been in strong rhythm. Pete Alonso’s run production has anchored this stretch, with Juan Soto providing additional power to elevate scoring totals.
Across their last 10, New York has posted a 6-4 record with 7.1 runs per game, confirming that their offense has been driving recent success. Francisco Lindor continues to add balance, making the Mets dangerous in any inning. However, despite their scoring pace at home, the Phillies’ more consistent form and ability to match runs make them the sharper betting angle.
- Batting Average: 0.246
- Total Runs Scored: 593
- Home Runs: 175
- OBP: 0.324
- SLG: 0.423
- OPS: 0.747
- ERA: 3.82
- WHIP: 1.31
Away Record: 28-37 • Home Record: 42-24
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (8.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (7.1 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
New York Mets lead 5–2 (Last 7 games)
- August 25, 2025: PHI 3 @ NYM 13
- June 22, 2025: NYM 1 @ PHI 7
- June 21, 2025: NYM 11 @ PHI 4
- June 20, 2025: NYM 2 @ PHI 10
- April 23, 2025: PHI 3 @ NYM 4
- April 22, 2025: PHI 1 @ NYM 5
- April 21, 2025: PHI 4 @ NYM 5
Over/Under Trends
Philadelphia Phillies’ last 10 games have averaged 11.2 total runs, with 7 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.5.
New York Mets’ last 10 games have averaged 11.7 combined runs, with 8 games clearing the same number of 8.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Philadelphia Phillies’ 7-3 surge across their last 10 games, combined with consistent run production, positions them as the sharper side despite New York Mets’ home strength. With Kyle Schwarber driving power, Trea Turner setting the table, and Bryce Harper adding balance, the Phillies’ lineup is built to outlast the Mets’ offense and deliver the win here.
This sets up cleanly for the Philadelphia Phillies to finish on top.
Over/Under Prediction
Last five form shows the New York Mets at 8.0 RPG and the Philadelphia Phillies at 5.4, giving context for the number.
These teams are combining for 13.4 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 8.5. That points toward the Over 8.5.
Bookmakers
These lines come from: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, Bovada, BetUS, Fanatics, BetMGM.
Parlamaz may earn affiliate commissions from links in this article.
MLB Predictions FAQ
What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?
Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.
How often are picks updated?
Daily. We update for confirmed lineups, injuries, and market moves. Check back near first pitch for final notes.
