MLB Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers (Wednesday, September 3 at 07:40 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | PHI | MIL |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +100 | -118 |
| Total (O/U) | 9.0 | |
| Run Line | -1.5 (155) | +1.5 (-190) |
| Last 5 RPG | 7.0 | 5.4 |
| Record | 80–58 | 85–54 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: Philadelphia Phillies · Milwaukee Brewers
Philadelphia has surged with a 4-1 mark over its last five contests, generating 7.0 runs per game in that stretch, yet this matchup analysis points firmly toward Milwaukee Brewers’ edge. The Brewers’ season-long consistency at 85-54 and their 45-25 home record underscore why they are positioned to impose control. With both sides combining for double-digit run production in recent weeks, the offensive rhythm suggests bettors should target the Over as well as Milwaukee on the moneyline.
Game Time
Taking place at Wednesday, September 3 at 07:40 PM ET inside American Family Field, indoor air keeps offense lively.
Odds & Spread Line
- Philadelphia Phillies: +100
- Milwaukee Brewers: -118
Total: 9
- Run Line — Philadelphia Phillies: -1.5 (+155)
- Run Line — Milwaukee Brewers: +1.5 (-190)
Latest Team Records
Philadelphia Phillies: 80-58 (Win %: 0.58)
Milwaukee Brewers: 85-54 (Win %: 0.612)
Injury Report
Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
Philadelphia Phillies
- Kyle Schwarber: 0.245 AVG, 49 HR, 119 RBI
- Trea Turner: 0.301 AVG, 14 HR, 66 RBI
- Bryce Harper: 0.269 AVG, 23 HR, 64 RBI
Milwaukee Brewers
- Christian Yelich: 0.268 AVG, 27 HR, 92 RBI
- Brice Turang: 0.289 AVG, 17 HR, 69 RBI
- Jackson Chourio: 0.282 AVG, 18 HR, 69 RBI
Team Analysis
Philadelphia Phillies
The Phillies carry an 80-58 record and have shown renewed energy with a 4-1 surge in their last five games, averaging 7.0 runs per outing over that stretch. Despite that uptick, their 35-35 road split highlights inconsistency when traveling, which limits their reliability in tough environments. Kyle Schwarber’s power has been central to their run surge, but relying heavily on long balls makes them vulnerable against teams with disciplined pitching and defense.
Over their last 10 games, a 6-4 mark with 5.2 runs per game indicates stability but not dominance, especially compared to Milwaukee Brewers’ home efficiency. Trea Turner’s ability to get on base adds balance, though the Phillies have struggled to translate road opportunities into consistent scoring. With Bryce Harper offering production yet still needing more lineup support away from home, Philadelphia remains a dangerous but less dependable betting option here.
- Batting Average: 0.258
- Total Runs Scored: 660
- Home Runs: 171
- OBP: 0.327
- SLG: 0.424
- OPS: 0.752
- ERA: 3.83
- WHIP: 1.24
Away Record: 35-35 • Home Record: 45-23
Last 5 Games: 4-1 (7.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (5.2 RPG)
Milwaukee Brewers
The Brewers stand at 85-54 with a 45-25 home record, a clear indicator of their strength inside American Family Field. Even with a 2-3 mark in their last five games, they’ve maintained 5.4 runs per game, which reflects consistent offensive pressure. Christian Yelich’s ability to drive in runs at a steady clip ensures Milwaukee remains dangerous in high-leverage moments.
Over their last 10 contests, the Brewers are 4-6 but still producing nearly five runs per game, showing the lineup’s resilience even when results don’t tilt their way. Brice Turang’s reliable hitting complements Jackson Chourio’s emerging power, giving Milwaukee multiple options to generate offense. Combined with their superior home form, these factors make them the sharper side to back against Philadelphia.
- Batting Average: 0.259
- Total Runs Scored: 711
- Home Runs: 151
- OBP: 0.333
- SLG: 0.409
- OPS: 0.742
- ERA: 3.65
- WHIP: 1.24
Away Record: 40-29 • Home Record: 45-25
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (5.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (4.9 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Milwaukee Brewers lead 3–1 (Last 4 games)
- September 01, 2025: PHI 10 @ MIL 8
- June 01, 2025: MIL 5 @ PHI 2
- May 31, 2025: MIL 17 @ PHI 7
- May 30, 2025: MIL 6 @ PHI 2
Over/Under Trends
Philadelphia Phillies’ last 10 games have averaged 10.1 total runs, with 5 games that would have cleared today’s total of 9.
Milwaukee Brewers’ last 10 games have averaged 10.3 combined runs, with 5 games clearing the same number of 9.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Milwaukee Brewers’ 45-25 home record, their head-to-head dominance with three wins in the last four meetings, and steady run creation led by Christian Yelich establish them as the superior betting side. The Phillies have boosted their scoring recently, but Milwaukee Brewers’ balance and home-field edge make them the more dependable pick to secure the win.
Data supports the Milwaukee Brewers as the right side.
Over/Under Prediction
In their last five, the Milwaukee Brewers have produced 5.4 RPG and the Philadelphia Phillies 7.0. That output frames how this total sets up.
These teams are combining for 12.4 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 9.0. That points toward the Over 9.0.
Bookmakers
Find these odds at: FanDuel, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, MyBookie.ag, DraftKings, BetMGM, BetUS, Fanatics, Bovada, BetRivers.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
How does Parlamaz make Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers MLB predictions?
We use trusted data feeds and real-time odds to model each matchup. We weight the numbers that move lines—team form, matchup history, injuries, park factors, totals trends, and betting momentum—then compare our price to the market to find value. All signal, no noise. No paywalls.
What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?
Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.
