MLB Prediction: Washington Nationals vs New York Yankees (Tuesday, August 26 at 07:05 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | WSH | NYY |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +155 | -189 |
| Total (O/U) | 9.0 | |
| Run Line | +1.5 (-140) | -1.5 (119) |
| Last 5 RPG | 5.0 | 4.2 |
| Record | 53–77 | 70–60 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetUS, Bovada +6 more | ||
More MLB picks: Washington Nationals · New York Yankees
The Nationals enter this interleague matchup against the Yankees with a 2-3 mark over their last five games, producing 5.0 runs per contest, while New York has averaged just 4.2 runs in the same span. This MLB prediction highlights a betting edge: Washington Nationals’ offense has been steadier in recent outings, and their ability to generate consistent scoring keeps them viable against a Yankees club that has struggled for rhythm at home. With both sides combining for just over nine runs per game, the data signals a tighter contest that leans toward the Nationals and a lower-scoring finish.
Game Time
First pitch comes at Tuesday, August 26 at 07:05 PM ET at Yankee Stadium, the short porch in right boosts pull-side power.
Odds & Spread Line
- Washington Nationals: +155
- New York Yankees: -189
Total: 9
- Run Line — Washington Nationals: +1.5 (-140)
- Run Line — New York Yankees: -1.5 (+119)
Latest Team Records
Washington Nationals: 53-77 (Win %: 0.408)
New York Yankees: 70-60 (Win %: 0.538)
Injury Report
The Washington Nationals are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
New York Yankees are missing Fernando Cruz (Oblique), listed as 15-Day-IL; Jonathan Loaisiga (Elbow), listed as 15-Day-IL.
Key Player Stats
Washington Nationals
- James Wood: 0.258 AVG, 26 HR, 83 RBI
- CJ Abrams: 0.262 AVG, 17 HR, 51 RBI
- Luis Garcia Jr.: 0.264 AVG, 11 HR, 54 RBI
New York Yankees
- Aaron Judge: 0.324 AVG, 40 HR, 92 RBI
- Cody Bellinger: 0.27 AVG, 24 HR, 75 RBI
- Giancarlo Stanton: 0.306 AVG, 16 HR, 41 RBI
Team Analysis
Washington Nationals
The Nationals’ 2-3 record over their last five games reflects uneven results, but their 5.0 runs per game in that span show the lineup has been competitive. Away from home, Washington has struggled for consistency across the season, yet their recent ability to put runs on the board suggests they can pressure New York Yankees’ pitching staff. James Wood’s power production has been a stabilizing factor, and his presence gives them a legitimate threat in the middle of the order.
Over their last 10 contests, the Nationals are 4-6 while averaging 4.4 runs, which points to a steady if not dominant offensive pace. CJ Abrams has chipped in timely production, while Luis Garcia Jr. has added balance to the lineup with run creation. Washington Nationals’ offense is not explosive, but their current scoring clip positions them to capitalize on the Yankees’ inconsistency at home.
- Batting Average: 0.244
- Total Runs Scored: 557
- Home Runs: 124
- OBP: 0.308
- SLG: 0.388
- OPS: 0.697
- ERA: 5.31
- WHIP: 1.44
Away Record: 27-39 • Home Record: 26-39
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (5.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (4.4 RPG)
New York Yankees
The Yankees are 2-3 over their last five games, scoring just 4.2 runs per outing, which signals a lull in their offensive rhythm. Despite their 39-28 home record, inconsistency at the plate has kept them from converting favorable spots into wins. Aaron Judge remains the centerpiece of the offense, but recent production from the supporting cast has not matched his pace.
Across their last 10 games, the Yankees are 7-3 and averaging 6.4 runs, yet their most recent stretch shows regression. Cody Bellinger has contributed power, while Giancarlo Stanton’s contact has provided occasional sparks, but the group has lacked cohesion in key situations. At home, they remain dangerous, though the variance in scoring suggests Washington can exploit gaps if New York fails to string together sustained rallies.
- Batting Average: 0.25
- Total Runs Scored: 666
- Home Runs: 215
- OBP: 0.33
- SLG: 0.452
- OPS: 0.781
- ERA: 4.02
- WHIP: 1.26
Away Record: 32-32 • Home Record: 39-28
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (4.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 7-3 (6.4 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
New York Yankees lead 1–0 (Most recent game)
- August 25, 2025: WSH 5 @ NYY 10
Over/Under Trends
Washington Nationals’ last 10 games have averaged 9.9 total runs, with 4 games that would have cleared today’s total of 9.
New York Yankees’ last 10 games have averaged 11.2 combined runs, with 6 games clearing the same number of 9.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
The Washington Nationals’ recent scoring consistency at 5.0 runs per game over their last five makes them the sharper side against a Yankees team that has stalled at just 4.2 runs in the same stretch. With balanced contributions from James Wood, CJ Abrams, and Luis Garcia Jr., Washington is positioned to exploit New York Yankees’ uneven home form and deliver an assertive win.
Mismatch vs perception: the Washington Nationals at +155 are the sharper angle.
Over/Under Prediction
In their last five, the New York Yankees have produced 4.2 RPG and the Washington Nationals 5.0. That output frames how this total sets up.
These teams are combining for 9.2 runs per game recently — right around the posted total of 9.0. That points toward the Over 9.0.
Bookmakers
Lines retrieved from: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, Bovada, BetUS, Fanatics, BetMGM.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
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Use a consistent unit (about 1–2% of bankroll). Singles should be most of your volume. We like parlays—smart ones. Keep legs tight (2–3), cap risk to 0.25–0.5u, and pass when the price isn’t there.
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