- July 12, 2025
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MLB Prediction: Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros (Saturday, July 12 at 07:35 PM ET)
Introduction
Prepared for another classic Lone Star State showdown, the Texas Rangers face off against the Houston Astros this Saturday evening. With a rivalry as heated as any Texas barbecue, this matchup promises intense competition and big-game plays, making it a priority watch for baseball fans and a thrilling opportunity for bettors.
Game Time
The first pitch is slated to be thrown at 07:35 PM Eastern Time. As the sun sets, expect the competitive fire of these Texan titans to illuminate the field.
Moneyline Odds
Texas Rangers: +109
Houston Astros: -120
Over/Under Line: 6.5
Latest Team Records
Texas Rangers have a record of 46-48 with a win percentage of 0.489, while the Houston Astros hold a record of 55-38 with a win percentage of 0.591.
Injury Report
Key injuries for the Texas Rangers include:
- Joc Pederson (Hand) – Status: 10-Day-IL. Pederson (hand) will resume batting practice in 2-to-3 weeks, Shawn McFarland of The Dallas Morning News reports.
- Tyler Mahle (Shoulder) – Status: 60-Day-IL. Mahle (shoulder) will resume throwing in one week, Shawn McFarland of The Dallas Morning News reports.
- Jon Gray (Forearm) – Status: 60-Day-IL. Gray (forearm) will make his next rehab start with Triple-A Round Rock on Saturday, Shawn McFarland of The Dallas Morning News reports.
Key injuries for the Houston Astros include:
- Chas McCormick (Oblique) – Status: 10-Day-IL. McCormick (oblique) will begin a rehab assignment with Triple-A Sugar Land on Friday, Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle reports.
- Yordan Alvarez (Hand) – Status: 60-Day-IL. Alvarez was administered two injections in his right hand after a hand specialist determined Wednesday that the Alvarez is dealing with inflammation, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.
- Luis Guillorme (Hamstring) – Status: 10-Day-IL. The Astros selected Guillorme’s contract from Triple-A Sugar Land on Saturday, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports.
- Pedro Leon (Knee) – Status: 60-Day-IL. Leon was pulled off his rehab assignment at Triple-A Sugar Land on Wednesday after aggravating his left knee sprain, Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle reports.
- Shawn Dubin (Forearm) – Status: 15-Day-IL. The Astros placed Dubin on the 15-day injured list Tuesday with a right forearm strain, Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle reports.
Key Player Stats
Texas Rangers
- Josh Smith: 0.284 AVG, 8 HR, 24 RBI
- Adolis Garcia: 0.231 AVG, 11 HR, 53 RBI
- Marcus Semien: 0.239 AVG, 10 HR, 47 RBI
Houston Astros
- Jeremy Pena: 0.322 AVG, 11 HR, 40 RBI
- Jose Altuve: 0.272 AVG, 16 HR, 51 RBI
- Isaac Paredes: 0.255 AVG, 19 HR, 49 RBI
Team Analysis
Texas Rangers
Despite recent performance hiccups, the Texas Rangers’ offensive fire is undeniable. The powerful combo of Marcus Semien and Adolis Garcia’s power-hitting pedigree has proven capable of disrupting any opposing pitching staff. However, finding scoring consistency has been a struggle for the Rangers, who need to capitalize on their on-base opportunities. Josh Smith’s steady bat can be credited for keeping the Rangers’ offensive rhythm alive, despite their mixed results in the last five games. The Rangers will come into this game looking for a significant turnaround.
- Batting Average: 0.231
- Total Runs Scored: 377
- Home Runs: 97
- OPS: 0.672
- ERA: 3.31
- WHIP: 1.17
Home Record: 26-19 • Road Record: 20-29
Last 5 Games: W-L-W-L-L (7.6 runs per game)
Houston Astros
The Houston Astros are known for their stellar offensive performance, with power hitters like Jose Altuve and Isaac Paredes regularly contributing monumental runs. Fresh face Jeremy Pena’s impressive batting average adds fuel to their fiery lineup. Coming off a pair of victories in their last five games, the Astros are building momentum and asserting their dominance on the field. Despite some recent losses, their high-level performance and scoring consistency will be key factors in the Saturday matchup.
- Batting Average: 0.26
- Total Runs Scored: 409
- Home Runs: 105
- OPS: 0.736
- ERA: 3.58
- WHIP: 1.16
Home Record: 32-17 • Road Record: 23-21
Last 5 Games: L-L-L-W-W (4.8 runs per game)
Head-to-Head History
Houston Astros 2–2 Texas Rangers (Last 4 games)
- 2025-05-18: HOU 4 @ TEX 3
- 2025-05-17: HOU 1 @ TEX 5
- 2025-05-17: HOU 6 @ TEX 3
- 2025-05-16: HOU 0 @ TEX 1
Over/Under Trends
Texas Rangers have averaged 6.1 runs per game over their last 7 games, with 3 games going over the total.
Houston Astros have averaged 5.7 runs per game over their last 7 games, with 3 games going over the total of 6.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Considering their superior record, the potency of their lineup, and the momentum from their latest victories, the smart bet lands on the Houston Astros. Although the Rangers have potential to upset, the overall clout of the Astros, supplemented by their recent scoring trends, gives them the edge in this matchup. Place your bets with confidence on the Houston Astros at -120.
Over/Under Betting Prediction
Facing off against each other, both teams have shown a robust offensive capacity lately, averaging a combined total of over 8 runs per game. Taking into account these scoring patterns and the over trends, our pick is Over 6.5.
Pick: Over
Bookmakers
These lines come from: FanDuel, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, BetMGM, Fanatics, BetRivers, BetUS.
Parlamaz may earn affiliate commissions from links in this article.
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