Introduction

As the heat of summer rises, the heat of the MLB season ramps up as well, with divisional rivals the Texas Rangers and Houston Astros set to face off this Friday night. Both teams have had their ups and downs this season, but the upcoming clash promises fans and bettors alike a tight contest of strong offensive plays and heated competition.

Game Time

This thrilling face-off between the Texas Rangers and Houston Astros is slated to take place on Friday, July 11, 2025, with a starting bell scheduled for 08:10 PM ET.

Moneyline Odds

Texas Rangers: +112
Houston Astros: -123

Over/Under Line: 8.5

Latest Team Records

Texas Rangers have a record of 45-48 with a win percentage of 0.484, while the Houston Astros hold a record of 55-38 with a win percentage of 0.591.

Injury Report

Key injuries for the Texas Rangers include:

• Jon Gray (Forearm) – Status: 60-Day-IL. Gray (forearm) allowed one run on one hit and struck out one over two innings for Triple-A Round Rock on Wednesday.
• Joc Pederson (Hand) – Status: 10-Day-IL. Rangers manager Bruce Bochy said Wednesday that Pederson (hand) is likely to return from the 10-day injured list in about three weeks, Jeff Wilson of AllDLLS.com reports.

Key injuries for the Houston Astros include:

• Chas McCormick (Oblique) – Status: 10-Day-IL. McCormick (oblique) will begin a rehab assignment with Triple-A Sugar Land on Friday, Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle reports.
• Yordan Alvarez (Hand) – Status: 60-Day-IL. Alvarez was administered two injections in his right hand after a hand specialist determined Wednesday that the Alvarez is dealing with inflammation, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.
• Luis Guillorme (Hamstring) – Status: 10-Day-IL. The Astros selected Guillorme’s contract from Triple-A Sugar Land on Saturday, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports.

Key Player Stats

Texas Rangers

• Josh Smith: 0.287 AVG, 8 HR, 24 RBI
• Adolis Garcia: 0.228 AVG, 10 HR, 50 RBI
• Marcus Semien: 0.231 AVG, 10 HR, 46 RBI

Houston Astros

• Jeremy Pena: 0.322 AVG, 11 HR, 40 RBI
• Jose Altuve: 0.272 AVG, 16 HR, 51 RBI
• Isaac Paredes: 0.255 AVG, 19 HR, 49 RBI

Team Analysis

Texas Rangers

With a record approaching the .500 mark, the Texas Rangers have been exhibiting mixed performances recently. While they boast a respectable home record, their away form has been less than stellar. Players like Josh Smith, Adolis Garcia, and Marcus Semien have been key contributors on offense, but will need to elevate their performances to turn the tide in favor of the Rangers.

The team has shown periodic flashes of offensive rhythm, and moments of power hitting. However, consistency has been a lacking factor in their game. Even though they have demonstrated the ability to put up runs on the board, they would benefit from more regular scoring displays to build team confidence and momentum.

Despite suffering a couple of losses in their last five games, the Rangers have managed to put up a commendable 6.8 runs per game, suggesting that a scoring surge might just be around the corner.

However, with key injuries affecting their roster, the Rangers will be seeking a boost in form, hopefully leveraging their previous head-to-head history with the Astros, which has been evenly matched.

• Batting Average: 0.23
• Total Runs Scored: 366
• Home Runs: 96
• OPS: 0.67
• ERA: 3.3
• WHIP: 1.17

Home Record: 26-19 • Road Record: 19-29

Last 5 Games: L-W-L-L-W (6.8 runs per game)

---

Houston Astros

The Houston Astros find themselves in a better spot than their upcoming opponents, boasting a stronger overall record, with slightly better form at both home and on the road. Spearheaded offensively by Jeremy Pena, Jose Altuve, and Isaac Paredes, the Astros exhibit a commendable batting average and have a knack for hitting home runs.

The team is reeling from a three-game losing streak, but their last two wins hint at a potential rebound. The team’s overall scoring consistency and power are among the prime factors contributing to the Astros’ current position. Despite a few key injuries, they continue to pose a significant threat to any opposition.

The Astros don’t hold a clear advantage in head-to-head history against the Rangers, but they’ll be looking to leverage their recent scoring bursts and overall better form to tip the scales in their favor.

Provided they can maintain their scoring consistency and capitalize on their power-hitting capabilities, the Astros are in a good position to edge ahead of the Texas Rangers in their upcoming clash.

• Batting Average: 0.26
• Total Runs Scored: 409
• Home Runs: 105
• OPS: 0.736
• ERA: 3.58
• WHIP: 1.16

Home Record: 32-17 • Road Record: 23-21

Last 5 Games: L-L-L-W-W (4.8 runs per game)

Head-to-Head History

Houston Astros 2–2 Texas Rangers (Last 4 games)

• 2025-05-18: HOU 4 @ TEX 3
• 2025-05-17: HOU 1 @ TEX 5
• 2025-05-17: HOU 6 @ TEX 3
• 2025-05-16: HOU 0 @ TEX 1

Over/Under Trends

Texas Rangers have averaged 6.1 runs per game over their last 7 games, with 1 games going over the total.

Houston Astros have averaged 5.7 runs per game over their last 7 games, with 2 games going over the total of 8.5.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Taking into account recent form, the strengths of both teams, and their head-to-head history, the smart bet leans in favor of the Houston Astros. Although they’ve had their struggles, their stronger overall record, current momentum from recent victories, and home field advantage make them the optimal pick. Despite the Texas Rangers’ attempts to break out of their slump, they’ll face a formidable challenge in tackling the Astros at their peak form.

Wager wisely — this is a prime spot for the Houston Astros at -123.

Over/Under Betting Prediction

Our pick is Under 8.5

Parlamaz may earn affiliate commissions from links in this article.