Prediction Details

MLB Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees (Monday, July 28 at 07:05 PM ET)

Introduction

In the heat of an exciting season, we’re about to witness a thrilling American League showdown as the razor-sharp Tampa Bay Rays prepare to face off against the steadfast New York Yankees. Both teams have been battling hard all season, and this matchup promises to deliver plenty of action. With the Rays’ potent offense and the Yankees’ time-tested resilience, this game is set to be a true test of skill, strategy, and determination. Get ready for a clash that could have a big impact on both teams’ playoff aspirations.

Game Time

First pitch for this fiery encounter will be thrown on Monday, July 28 at 07:05 PM ET inside Yankee Stadium, one of the league’s most iconic venues.

Moneyline Odds

Tampa Bay Rays: -108
New York Yankees: -120
Over/Under Line: 8.5

Latest Team Records

Tampa Bay Rays: 53-52 (Win %: 0.505)
New York Yankees: 56-48 (Win %: 0.538)

Injury Report

Tampa Bay Rays: No major injuries reported.
New York Yankees: 2 major injuries reported.

Key Player Stats

Tampa Bay Rays

  • Junior Caminero: 0.26 AVG, 26 HR, 68 RBI
  • Yandy Diaz: 0.286 AVG, 18 HR, 61 RBI
  • Jonathan Aranda: 0.315 AVG, 11 HR, 51 RBI

New York Yankees

  • Aaron Judge: 0.342 AVG, 37 HR, 85 RBI
  • Cody Bellinger: 0.281 AVG, 19 HR, 58 RBI
  • Jazz Chisholm Jr.: 0.254 AVG, 18 HR, 48 RBI

Team Analysis

Tampa Bay Rays

The Rays come into this away game having struggled in their recent performances, losing four of their previous five matches. Despite this slump, their offensive firepower remains a big threat for any opponent. Offensive potency from players like Junior Caminero and Yandy Diaz, matched with Jonathan Aranda’s impressive batting average, adds a dangerous edge to their lineup.

The Rays are known to show flashes of brilliance on the road. Recapturing this brilliance, along with leveraging their key players’ capabilities, could be crucial in changing the tide of their recent form.

  • Batting Average: 0.256
  • Total Runs Scored: 487
  • Home Runs: 114
  • OPS: 0.724
  • ERA: 3.89
  • WHIP: 1.22

Away Record: 22-25 • Home Record: 31-28
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (3.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 3-7 (4.0 RPG)


New York Yankees

The Yankees have posted a slightly better recent record compared to the Rays, winning two out of their last five matchups. Despite their mixed form, their overall season record remains solid. High offensive charts from players like Aaron Judge, Cody Bellinger, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. hint at their consistency in scoring and challenging any opposition.

As the Yankees enjoy the home advantage for this matchup, their morale and familiarity with game environs can be anticipated to give a significant boost to their performance. Depending on their strong home record and the prowess of their hitters, the Yankees are a tough nut to crack in their own backyard.

  • Batting Average: 0.254
  • Total Runs Scored: 539
  • Home Runs: 168
  • OPS: 0.787
  • ERA: 4.01
  • WHIP: 1.25

Away Record: 26-27 • Home Record: 31-21
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (4.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (4.3 RPG)


Head-to-Head History

Tampa Bay Rays lead 3–2 (Last 5 games)

  • 2025-05-04: TB 7 @ NYY 5
  • 2025-05-03: TB 3 @ NYY 2
  • 2025-05-02: TB 0 @ NYY 3
  • 2025-04-20: NYY 4 @ TB 0
  • 2025-04-19: NYY 8 @ TB 10

Over/Under Trends

Tampa Bay Rays’ last 10 games have averaged 9.0 total runs per game, with 4 of those going over the posted total of 8.5.

New York Yankees’ last 10 games have seen an average of 10.5 combined runs, with 6 games clearing the same line of 8.5.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Riding on their home advantage, solid batting narratives, and a relatively better recent form, the New York Yankees present an enticing proposition for this matchup. The potency of their hitters, especially Aaron Judge, provides them with enough firepower to overwhelm the Rays, consequently placing them as the favorable pick in this MLB showdown.

We’re siding with the New York Yankees to finish on top.

Over/Under Prediction

In their last five games, the New York Yankees have posted 4.4 runs per game, while the Tampa Bay Rays have averaged 3.6. These teams are combining for 8.0 runs per game recently, falling below the posted total of 8.5. So, we’re expecting an Under 8.5 finish.

Bookmakers

Available at: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, BetUS, Bovada, BetMGM, Fanatics, BetRivers.

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