Prediction Details

MLB Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays vs Cincinnati Reds (Friday, July 25 at 07:10 PM ET)

Introduction

Get ready for a compelling interleague showdown as the Tampa Bay Rays visit the Cincinnati Reds. Both teams are looking to gain ground in the playoff race, with the Rays bringing explosive offense and the Reds relying on home-field grit.

Game Time

The action begins at Friday, July 25 at 07:10 PM ET inside Great American Ball Park, one of MLB’s most hitter-friendly venues.

Moneyline Odds

Tampa Bay Rays: -110
Cincinnati Reds: -110
Over/Under Line: 9.5

Latest Team Records

Tampa Bay Rays have a record of 53-50 with a win percentage of 0.515, while the Cincinnati Reds hold a record of 53-50 with a win percentage of 0.515.

Injury Report

Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

Tampa Bay Rays

  • Junior Caminero: 0.262 AVG, 26 HR, 68 RBI
  • Yandy Diaz: 0.29 AVG, 17 HR, 60 RBI
  • Jonathan Aranda: 0.318 AVG, 11 HR, 50 RBI

Cincinnati Reds

  • Elly De La Cruz: 0.276 AVG, 18 HR, 65 RBI
  • Austin Hays: 0.278 AVG, 10 HR, 40 RBI
  • Gavin Lux: 0.275 AVG, 4 HR, 40 RBI

Team Analysis

Tampa Bay Rays

The Tampa Bay Rays have produced mixed results on the road, reflected in their 22-22 away record. While their most recent form has been rattled with a 2-3 record in their last five games, Yandy Diaz and Junior Caminero have proven to be adept at shaking off poor strings of outcomes with their striking prowess. Jonathan Aranda’s ability to drive in runs could also tip the scales in the Rays’ favor.

Avoiding a slump and regaining consistency will be critical for the Rays. A win here would boost Tampa Bay’s morale and potentially shift their momentum heading into a tough stretch. With the offense clicking, they have the tools to control this matchup. They appear to have all the necessary components for a spectacular performance, and if their offensive stars align just right, the Reds might find themselves in trouble.

  • Batting Average: 0.258
  • Total Runs Scored: 483
  • Home Runs: 113
  • OPS: 0.728
  • ERA: 3.85
  • WHIP: 1.2

Away Record: 22-22 • Home Record: 31-28
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (4.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 3-7 (4.2 RPG)


Cincinnati Reds

The Cincinnati Reds have a solid record at home, boasting a 28-22 performance. Their core lineup, including Elly De La Cruz, Austin Hays, and Gavin Lux, have repeatedly demonstrated an ability to perform under pressure, which works in their favor as they face the robust Rays. While their recent form is lukewarm with a 2-3 record in the last five games, their on-field chemistry and stellar defense are not to be underestimated.

The Reds will need to capitalize on their home advantage if they hope to counter the dangerous Rays. They’ll need their big hitters to step up, but also smart fielding and disciplined pitching. This matchup will demand sharp execution on the mound and in the field — but the Reds have shown flashes of poise in big moments at home.

  • Batting Average: 0.246
  • Total Runs Scored: 470
  • Home Runs: 107
  • OPS: 0.714
  • ERA: 3.91
  • WHIP: 1.24

Away Record: 25-28 • Home Record: 28-22
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (4.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (4.5 RPG)


Head-to-Head History

No recent matchups between these teams in 2025.

Over/Under Trends

Tampa Bay Rays’ last 10 games have averaged 8.7 total runs per game, with 3 of those going over the posted total of 9.5.

Cincinnati Reds’ last 10 games have seen an average of 7.8 combined runs, with 2 games clearing the same line of 9.5.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Given the Rays’ offensive might and the Reds’ wavering home form, Tampa Bay looks primed for the win. The explosive batting power of Junior Caminero and Yandy Diaz provides the Rays a dominating presence at the plate. Even with the Reds’ home advantage, it’s doubtful if they’ll be able to match the raw firepower of the Rays. The underdog value is evident here.

We’re backing the Tampa Bay Rays at -110 to get the job done.

Over/Under Prediction

In their last five games, the Cincinnati Reds have posted 4.2 runs per game, while the Tampa Bay Rays have averaged 4.6. This recent output is key to judging the total.

These teams are combining for 8.8 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 9.5, a crucial pivot point in betting markets. Recent totals signal a lean toward the Under 9.5, with both teams combining for just 8.8 RPG across their last five.

Bookmakers

Shop the odds at: FanDuel, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, MyBookie.ag, BetMGM, Bovada, BetRivers, BetUS, Fanatics.

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