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MLB Prediction: St. Louis Cardinals vs San Diego Padres (Sunday, August 03 at 04:10 PM ET)
Introduction
As the dog days of summer dwindle and the playoff chase tightens, two teams in the thick of it lay it down in their MLB showdown. The gritty St. Louis Cardinals will be locking horns against the hot hitters from San Diego Padres in an American League and National League matchup that betting enthusiasts have been eagerly anticipating.
Game Time
Come Sunday, August 03 at 04:10 PM ET, Petco Park will be the sight of what is expected to be a pitcher’s duel, given the stadium’s history of favoring strong bullpens and dominant arms.
Moneyline Odds
St. Louis Cardinals: +154
San Diego Padres: -175
Over/Under Line: 8.0
Latest Team Records
St. Louis Cardinals: 56-56 (Win %: 0.5)
San Diego Padres: 61-50 (Win %: 0.55)
Injury Report
At this critical juncture, both the Cardinals and the Padres are healthy, with none of their pivotal players on the injury list.
Key Player Stats
St. Louis Cardinals
- Alec Burleson: 0.284 AVG, 14 HR, 49 RBI
- Willson Contreras: 0.257 AVG, 15 HR, 63 RBI
- Ivan Herrera: 0.301 AVG, 9 HR, 39 RBI
San Diego Padres
- Manny Machado: 0.301 AVG, 20 HR, 72 RBI
- Ramon Laureano: 0.285 AVG, 15 HR, 47 RBI
- Ryan O’Hearn: 0.279 AVG, 13 HR, 43 RBI
Team Analysis
St. Louis Cardinals
The Cardinals are on a bit of a roller coaster ride currently. A mixed bag of results in their recent outings (2-3 over the last five games) reflects their inconsistent form. Despite the recent lack of momentum, Cardinals’ trio of Alec Burleson, Willson Contreras, and Ivan Herrera have shown signs of brilliance at the plate, providing sparks of hope for shaking up the Cardinals’ offensive rhythm.
As the Cardinals hit the road, their away performance will be under the microscope. Hovering just under 0.5 on away grounds with a record of 24-32, the Cardinals will have to step up their game to overcome their problems on the road and notch up a crucial win in the stretch.
- Batting Average: 0.249
- Total Runs Scored: 492
- Home Runs: 107
- OPS: 0.709
- ERA: 4.16
- WHIP: 1.28
Away Record: 24-32 • Home Record: 32-24
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (3.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (3.1 RPG)
San Diego Padres
The Padres have the wind in their sails, in stark contrast to the Cardinals. Winning 4 out of their last 5 games, scoring an average of 5.6 runs a game, the Padres have found the rhythm and confidence that has been missing in the Cardinals’ camp. Offensive strength led by Manny Machado, Ramon Laureano, and Ryan O’Hearn has been instrumental in gaining the edge.
The Padres also boast a promising home record, standing at 35-19. With the game to be held at the Petco Park, the Padres will fancy their chances to harness the home advantage that they have relished all season, and continue their soaring run.
- Batting Average: 0.25
- Total Runs Scored: 454
- Home Runs: 93
- OPS: 0.697
- ERA: 3.56
- WHIP: 1.21
Away Record: 26-31 • Home Record: 35-19
Last 5 Games: 4-1 (5.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (4.9 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Tied 3–3 (Last 6 games)
- August 03, 2025: STL 8 @ SD 5
- August 02, 2025: STL 1 @ SD 4
- July 27, 2025: SD 9 @ STL 2
- July 26, 2025: SD 3 @ STL 1
- July 25, 2025: SD 0 @ STL 3
- July 24, 2025: SD 7 @ STL 9
Over/Under Trends
St. Louis Cardinals’ last 10 games have averaged 7.3 total runs per game, with 3 of those going over the posted total of 8.0.
San Diego Padres’ last 10 games have seen an average of 8.3 combined runs, with 4 games clearing the same line of 8.0.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Given the upward trend of the Padres, bolstered by their solid home record and high runs per game ratio, momentum is certainly on their side. The Cardinals’ struggles on the road combined with their inconsistency of runs per game, further tilt the balance in favor of the Padres. We believe the San Diego Padres will step up to the plate and secure a victory in this matchup of titans.
We’re backing the San Diego Padres to get the job done.
Over/Under Prediction
The San Diego Padres are scoring 5.6 runs per game across their last five, while the St. Louis Cardinals are at 3.2. The teams have been consistently pushing the total towards the Over during their previous meetings, and the present form suggests a similar outcome.
These teams are combining for 8.8 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 8.0. Our pick is Over 8.0.
Bookmakers
Fancy backing our picks? Explore the best odds at FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, Caesars, Bovada, DraftKings, BetMGM, Fanatics, BetRivers, BetUS.
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