Introduction

We’re all set for an intriguing MLB matchup as the San Diego Padres prepare to take on the Washington Nationals. This game presents a notable contrast in season trajectories, with the Padres currently experiencing a solid run of form while the Nationals look to bounce back from a challenging period.

Game Time

The game kicks off at Friday, July 18 at 06:45 PM ET at Nationals Park, a fairly neutral venue.

Moneyline Odds

San Diego Padres: -149
Washington Nationals: +134

Over/Under Line: 8.5

Latest Team Records

San Diego Padres have a record of 52-44 with a win percentage of 0.542, while the Washington Nationals hold a record of 38-58 with a win percentage of 0.396.

Injury Report

Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

San Diego Padres

• Manny Machado: 0.292 AVG, 17 HR, 56 RBI
• Gavin Sheets: 0.265 AVG, 14 HR, 50 RBI
• Fernando Tatis Jr.: 0.269 AVG, 16 HR, 42 RBI

Washington Nationals

• James Wood: 0.278 AVG, 24 HR, 69 RBI
• CJ Abrams: 0.287 AVG, 12 HR, 33 RBI
• Nathaniel Lowe: 0.227 AVG, 14 HR, 61 RBI

Team Analysis

San Diego Padres

The San Diego Padres are bringing a decent form to the table with their promising record. With players like Manny Machado and Gavin Sheets in their lineup, the Padres have demonstrated considerable offensive rhythm and power hitting. Fernando Tatis Jr. also brings his dynamism to bolster the Padres’ scoring consistency.

The Padres are currently riding a wave of confidence, having won three out of their last five games. This momentum points to solid odds for the Padres as they hope to capitalize on the Nationals’ recent struggles and potentially notch another win.

The Padres have demonstrated a commendable performance on home grounds with a dominant home record. The team will look to translate this performance into their road ventures, aiming to improve on their slightly weaker road record.

• Batting Average: 0.246
• Total Runs Scored: 383
• Home Runs: 83
• OPS: 0.69
• ERA: 3.64
• WHIP: 1.24

Home Record: 31-18 • Road Record: 21-26
Last 5 Games: L-W-W-W-L (3.2 runs per game)

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Washington Nationals

The Washington Nationals have shown moments of great potential this season, with players like James Wood and CJ Abrams demonstrating their hitting abilities. However, they need to find a way to turn that potential into consistent performance.

The team is on a bit of a slump recently, losing four out of their last five games. Nonetheless, in their last win, the Nationals scored three runs more than their game average, indicating a potential resurgence in offensive performance.

The Nationals do boast a higher Total Runs Scored and Home Runs than the Padres, signifying significant power at the plate. The challenge remains in harnessing this offensive potential consistently.

• Batting Average: 0.245
• Total Runs Scored: 417
• Home Runs: 94
• OPS: 0.7
• ERA: 5.21
• WHIP: 1.41

Home Record: 18-28 • Road Record: 20-30
Last 5 Games: L-L-L-L-W (3.6 runs per game)

Head-to-Head History

Washington Nationals 1–2 San Diego Padres (Last 3 games)

• 2025-06-25: WSH 0 @ SD 1
• 2025-06-25: WSH 3 @ SD 4
• 2025-06-24: WSH 10 @ SD 6

Over/Under Trends

San Diego Padres‘s recent games have seen an average of 6.7 total runs scored per game over their last 7 matchups, with 2 games going over the total line.

Washington Nationals‘s recent games have averaged 9.0 total runs per game over their last 6 matchups, with 2 games going over the total of 8.5.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Consistency has been the name of the game for the San Diego Padres. Their strong recent form, coupled with the high performance of key players like Manny Machado and Gavin Sheets, make the Padres the smarter pick in this matchup. Despite the Nationals’ potential, the Padres’ sustained momentum is expected to give them the upper hand in this encounter.

Given their form and matchup edge, we’re siding with the San Diego Padres at -149.

Over/Under Betting Prediction

Our pick is Under 8.5. While the Nationals have averaged 9.0 runs per game over their last six, the Padres have seen a much lower 6.7 average across their last seven. That puts the combined recent run rate at approximately 7.8 — notably below the posted total of 8.5. Given the Padres’ stronger pitching (3.64 ERA vs 5.21), this matchup may lean toward a more contained scoreline unless the Nationals’ bats unexpectedly surge.

Pick: Under

Bookmakers

Current odds sourced from: DraftKings, MyBookie.ag, BetMGM, BetRivers, Bovada, Caesars, FanDuel, Fanatics, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, BetUS.

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