Introduction

The clash between the Philadelphia Phillies and the San Diego Padres promises to be a clash of the titans that could sway the dynamics of the current MLB season. With both teams boasting impressive records and star-studded lineups, this game is surely a showdown that baseball fans and bettors alike won’t want to miss.

Game Time

Matchup set for Sunday, July 13 at 04:10 PM ET within the pitcher-friendly Petco Park.

Moneyline Odds

Philadelphia Phillies: -125
San Diego Padres: +114

Over/Under Line: 7.5

Latest Team Records

Philadelphia Phillies have a record of 54-40 with a win percentage of 0.574, while the San Diego Padres hold a record of 51-43 with a win percentage of 0.543.

Injury Report

Key injuries for the Philadelphia Phillies include:

• Aaron Nola (Ribs) – Status: 60-Day-IL. Nola (ankle, rib) threw a bullpen session prior to Sunday’s series finale against the Reds, per MLB.com.

The San Diego Padres are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

Philadelphia Phillies

• Kyle Schwarber: 0.254 AVG, 30 HR, 69 RBI
• Nick Castellanos: 0.276 AVG, 12 HR, 51 RBI
• Trea Turner: 0.292 AVG, 11 HR, 40 RBI

San Diego Padres

• Manny Machado: 0.292 AVG, 17 HR, 55 RBI
• Gavin Sheets: 0.265 AVG, 14 HR, 50 RBI
• Fernando Tatis Jr.: 0.266 AVG, 16 HR, 42 RBI

Team Analysis

Philadelphia Phillies

The Philadelphia Phillies have shown their resilience this season with notable performances from key players like Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos. The offense has maintained a steady rhythm at the plate, led by these power hitters. However, their recent form has been inconsistent, with the team going 2-3 in their last five games.

Despite this, the Phillies have demonstrated an ability to bounce back after setbacks. Trea Turner’s consistent showings at the plate have provided a solid foundation for the team, bringing both runs and confidence to the squad.

• Batting Average: 0.256
• Total Runs Scored: 432
• Home Runs: 102
• OPS: 0.735
• ERA: 3.65
• WHIP: 1.25

Home Record: 30-16 • Road Record: 24-24

Last 5 Games: L-W-L-L-W (4.4 runs per game)

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San Diego Padres

Despite some recent hiccups, the San Diego Padres have continued to show their competitive edge. The backbone to their success has been the combined offensive power from Manny Machado, Gavin Sheets, and Fernando Tatis Jr.

The Padres have shown they can maintain scoring consistency, even amidst challenges. With their remarkable home record and positive momentum from key wins in their last five games, the Padres have proven they possess both the talent and teamwork it takes to bring home victories.

• Batting Average: 0.245
• Total Runs Scored: 377
• Home Runs: 81
• OPS: 0.689
• ERA: 3.67
• WHIP: 1.24

Home Record: 30-17 • Road Record: 21-26

Last 5 Games: W-W-L-W-L (2.8 runs per game)

Head-to-Head History

San Diego Padres 2–2 Philadelphia Phillies (Last 4 games)

• 2025-07-12: PHI 2 @ SD 4
• 2025-07-02: SD 1 @ PHI 5
• 2025-07-02: SD 6 @ PHI 4
• 2025-06-30: SD 0 @ PHI 4

Over/Under Trends

Philadelphia Phillies‘s recent games have seen an average of 8.3 total runs scored per game over their last 6 matchups, with 2 games going over the total line.

San Diego Padres‘s recent games have averaged 6.7 total runs per game over their last 7 matchups, with 2 games going over the total of 7.5.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Given the San Diego Padres’ strong momentum, solid home record, and the exceptional performances from key players Machado, Sheets, and Tatis, they present excellent value at +114. Despite some recent stumbles, their capacity for high-scoring games, combined with a bullish over/under trend, makes the Padres the smart moneyline pick to deliver in this high-stakes matchup.

Back the San Diego Padres at +114 to deliver when it matters most.

Over/Under Betting Prediction

With the Phillies’ recent form averaging 4.4 RPG and the Padres posting just 2.8 RPG over their last five, the total of 7.5 seems to be a bit high. Combining the Phillies’ strong ERA and the Padres’ tendency to play low-scoring games, the under appears to be the most likely outcome.

Pick: Under

Bookmakers

Data pulled from: FanDuel, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, Caesars, Bovada, DraftKings, Fanatics, BetMGM, BetUS.

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