Introduction

On Friday, July 11th, the Philadelphia Phillies clash with the San Diego Padres in a highly anticipated match-up. The Phillies are heading into the game boasting a strong record, but the Padres are nipping at their heels with their tenacious gameplay. This shakedown will surely be a nail-biter.

Game Time

The showdown is scheduled to kick-off at 09:40 PM ET.

Moneyline Odds

Philadelphia Phillies: -154
San Diego Padres: +130

Over/Under Line: 8.0

Latest Team Records

Philadelphia Phillies have a record of 54-39 with a win percentage of 0.581, while the San Diego Padres hold a record of 49-43 with a win percentage of 0.533.

Injury Report

Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

Philadelphia Phillies

• Kyle Schwarber: 0.253 AVG, 29 HR, 68 RBI
• Trea Turner: 0.294 AVG, 11 HR, 40 RBI
• Nick Castellanos: 0.276 AVG, 11 HR, 50 RBI

San Diego Padres

• Manny Machado: 0.287 AVG, 15 HR, 53 RBI
• Gavin Sheets: 0.261 AVG, 14 HR, 50 RBI
• Fernando Tatis Jr.: 0.259 AVG, 15 HR, 40 RBI

Team Analysis

Philadelphia Phillies

The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game riding high on recent success, with major contributors like Kyle Schwarber, Trea Turner, and Nick Castellanos firing on all cylinders. Their run-scoring machine has been consistent and they’ve displayed a tendency to explode offensively, placing opposing pitching lineups under immense strain. With a win-loss ratio that strongly favors them in the last five games, they are looking to continue their rhythm and mark more victories.

• Batting Average: 0.257
• Total Runs Scored: 430
• Home Runs: 100
• OPS: 0.737
• ERA: 3.66
• WHIP: 1.25

Home Record: 30-16 • Road Record: 24-23

Last 5 Games: W-L-L-W-W (5.0 runs per game)

---

San Diego Padres

The San Diego Padres hold a decent performance record, seeking a momentum shift to climb the rungs. With players like Manny Machado, Gavin Sheets, and Fernando Tatis Jr. providing significant contributions, the Padres have shown glimpses of their potent offensive prowess. However, they are looking to break their hot and cold sequence in their last five games. With this match against the Phillies, the Padres need to iron out their inconsistencies and bring their A-Game to secure a much-needed victory.

• Batting Average: 0.244
• Total Runs Scored: 369
• Home Runs: 78
• OPS: 0.684
• ERA: 3.69
• WHIP: 1.24

Home Record: 28-17 • Road Record: 21-26

Last 5 Games: L-W-L-W-L (2.8 runs per game)

Head-to-Head History

Head-to-Head History

San Diego Padres 1–2 Philadelphia Phillies (Last 3 games)

• 2025-07-02: SD 1 @ PHI 5
• 2025-07-02: SD 6 @ PHI 4
• 2025-06-30: SD 0 @ PHI 4

Over/Under Trends

Philadelphia Phillies have averaged 8.3 runs per game over their last 6 games, with 2 games going over the total.

San Diego Padres have averaged 6.7 runs per game over their last 7 games, with 2 games going over the total of 8.0.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Though the Phillies stand favorite with stronger recent form, the Padres, priced at +130, can’t be brushed aside. Teams with high-value odds can often surprise, and recent fluctuations in the Padres’ performance hint at the possibility of an upswing. With capable sluggers on their side who can turn the tides in a single inning, betting on the underdog could pay high dividends. For those betting on value, it’s the San Diego Padres that should command attention.

All signs point to a victory for the San Diego Padres at +130.

Over/Under Betting Prediction

Considering the run rate of both teams, this match looks set to be a low-scoring affair. Given that both teams have been working hard to check their opponent’s offensive moves, the game might turn out to be a battle of the pitchers. Our pick is Under 8.0.

Pick: Under

Bookmakers

Odds courtesy of: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, BetMGM, Caesars, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, DraftKings, Fanatics.

Parlamaz may earn affiliate commissions from links in this article.