Introduction

Strap in for an exciting National League showdown as the Philadelphia Phillies take on the Cincinnati Reds. With the Phillies displaying a strong road record and the Reds looking to capitalize on their home advantage, this MLB prediction promises to be an engaging contest. The Phillies are riding a recent wave of success, having won 4 of their last 5 games. Meanwhile, the Reds are eager to bounce back from their slightly inconsistent form. This matchup is set to be a classic tug-of-war between the Phillies’ road resilience and the Reds’ home comfort.

Game Time

Matchup set for Monday, August 11 at 06:10 PM ET in Great American Ball Park, where fly balls leave the yard in a hurry.

Odds & Spread Line

Philadelphia Phillies: +105
Cincinnati Reds: -125
Over/Under Line: 9.5
Spread Line:
Philadelphia Phillies: +1.5 (-196)
Cincinnati Reds: -1.5 (+162)

Latest Team Records

Philadelphia Phillies: 68-49 (Win %: 0.581)
Cincinnati Reds: 62-57 (Win %: 0.521)

Injury Report

Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

Philadelphia Phillies

• Kyle Schwarber: 0.253 AVG, 41 HR, 95 RBI
• Nick Castellanos: 0.263 AVG, 15 HR, 60 RBI
• Trea Turner: 0.284 AVG, 12 HR, 51 RBI

Cincinnati Reds

• Elly De La Cruz: 0.276 AVG, 19 HR, 73 RBI
• TJ Friedl: 0.274 AVG, 10 HR, 38 RBI
• Miguel Andujar: 0.299 AVG, 6 HR, 27 RBI

Team Analysis

Philadelphia Phillies

The Philadelphia Phillies, currently boasting an impressive road record, have found their rhythm away from home. Their recent form has been remarkable, with key players such as Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos delivering standout moments. Their recent winning streak is a testament to their scoring consistency, and they will be aiming to maintain this momentum in the upcoming game.

Despite playing away frome home, the Phillies, backed by a strong lineup, have shown consistent scoring punch. Their road record is a testament to their ability to perform under pressure, and they will be looking to exploit any gaps in the Reds’ defense. With Trea Turner also in good form, the Phillies pose a serious threat to the Reds.

• Batting Average: 0.255
• Total Runs Scored: 547
• Home Runs: 140
• OPS: 0.745
• ERA: 3.72
• WHIP: 1.23

Away Record: 31-28 • Home Record: 37-21
Last 5 Games: 4-1 (4.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 7-3 (5.0 RPG)

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Cincinnati Reds

The Cincinnati Reds are looking to leverage their home advantage in this matchup. Despite experiencing a slight dip in form, they still remain a formidable force at home. Players like Elly De La Cruz and TJ Friedl have shown their offensive potential, which could play a key role in this matchup.

The Reds will be banking on this home-field advantage to counter the Phillies’ road resilience. With Miguel Andujar also in the mix, the Reds have the firepower to challenge the Phillies.

• Batting Average: 0.245
• Total Runs Scored: 525
• Home Runs: 117
• OPS: 0.706
• ERA: 3.86
• WHIP: 1.24

Away Record: 29-31 • Home Record: 33-26
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (3.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (4.3 RPG)

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Head-to-Head History

Philadelphia Phillies lead 2–1 (Last 3 games)

• July 06, 2025: CIN 1 @ PHI 3
• July 05, 2025: CIN 1 @ PHI 5
• July 04, 2025: CIN 9 @ PHI 6

Over/Under Trends

Philadelphia Phillies’ last 10 games have averaged 8.3 total runs per game, with 4 of those going over the posted total of 9.5.

Cincinnati Reds’ last 10 games have seen an average of 8.9 combined runs, with 2 games clearing the same line of 9.5.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Despite a strong challenge from the Phillies, the Cincinnati Reds are expected to capitalize on their home advantage. With their key players in good form and a desire to bounce back from their recent dip, the Reds are poised to put up a solid performance. This matchup is set to be a true test of the Reds’ resilience at home against the Phillies’ road prowess.

We’re backing the Cincinnati Reds to get the job done.

Over/Under Prediction

The Cincinnati Reds are scoring 3.8 runs per game across their last five, and the Philadelphia Phillies are at 4.4. Recent form suggests where this total might land.

These teams are combining for 8.2 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 9.5, a crucial pivot point in betting markets. Our pick is Under 9.5.

Bookmakers

Find these odds at: FanDuel, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, Caesars, MyBookie.ag, Bovada, BetUS, DraftKings, BetMGM, BetRivers, Fanatics.

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