Introduction

Get ready for an enticing American League showdown as the New York Yankees prepare to take on the Toronto Blue Jays. Both teams are eyeing to build on their impressive records and will be looking to leverage their key players for an edge.

Game Time

First pitch will be thrown at Tuesday, July 22 at 07:10 PM ET under the roof at Rogers Centre, a hitter-leaning environment.

Moneyline Odds

New York Yankees: +100
Toronto Blue Jays: -120
Over/Under Line: 9.5

Latest Team Records

New York Yankees have a record of 55-44 with a win percentage of 0.556, while the Toronto Blue Jays hold a record of 58-41 with a win percentage of 0.586.

Injury Report

Key injuries for the New York Yankees include:

• Oswaldo Cabrera (Ankle) – Status: 60-Day-IL. Yankees manager Aaron Boone said Thursday that there is a “small possibility” that Cabrera (ankle) could return to action this season, Bryan Hoch of MLB.com reports.
• Gerrit Cole (Elbow) – Status: 60-Day-IL. Cole (elbow) said that he plans to begin a throwing program in August, Pete Caldera of The Bergen Record reports.

The Toronto Blue Jays are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

New York Yankees

• Aaron Judge: 0.352 AVG, 36 HR, 82 RBI
• Cody Bellinger: 0.28 AVG, 17 HR, 56 RBI
• Paul Goldschmidt: 0.289 AVG, 8 HR, 37 RBI

Toronto Blue Jays

• George Springer: 0.279 AVG, 17 HR, 54 RBI
• Bo Bichette: 0.282 AVG, 12 HR, 55 RBI
• Alejandro Kirk: 0.306 AVG, 7 HR, 46 RBI

Team Analysis

New York Yankees

The New York Yankees, with their recent form, appear to be settling into a somewhat inconsistent rhythm. Despite this, they still possess a formidable offensive potential. Their roster boasts a lineup of hard-hitters like Aaron Judge, Cody Bellinger, and Paul Goldschmidt, all of whom can turn the game on its head. With the substantial power they bring to the plate, they will undoubtedly pose a considerable offensive threat to the Blue Jays.

That said, the Yankees are coming off a 2-3 run on their last 5 games. They have been remarkably even on the road, maintaining a balanced away record of 25-25. Despite this apparent volatility in terms of recent form, their performance in their last 10 games shines a more hopeful light, seeing a positive scoreline of 7-3. The Yankees will unquestionably aim to tap into this drive to steady their form and tip the scales in their favor.

• Batting Average: 0.256
• Total Runs Scored: 520
• Home Runs: 156
• OPS: 0.791
• ERA: 3.9
• WHIP: 1.22

Away Record: 25-25 • Home Record: 30-19
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (4.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 7-3 (6.4 RPG)

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Toronto Blue Jays

The Toronto Blue Jays present a commanding form boasting a positive scoreline of 3-2 in their Last 5 Games. This is a team that is definitely trending upward, and with key players like George Springer, Bo Bichette, and Alejandro Kirk in their ranks, their offensive potential can’t be understated. These players have consistently delivered, lending the team’s batting lineup a considerable edge.

What’s promising about the Blue Jays is their exceptional home record of 35-16, seen as an indication of how comfortable they are in their own park, boding well for this particular match-up. Their steady form in the recent games, coupled with their capacity to put runs on the board, should leave the Yankees on their toes.

• Batting Average: 0.261
• Total Runs Scored: 458
• Home Runs: 105
• OPS: 0.741
• ERA: 4.12
• WHIP: 1.26

Away Record: 23-25 • Home Record: 35-16
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (4.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 7-3 (4.9 RPG)

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Head-to-Head History

Toronto Blue Jays 4–1 New York Yankees (Last 5 games)

• 2025-07-03: NYY 5 @ TOR 8
• 2025-07-02: NYY 9 @ TOR 11
• 2025-07-01: NYY 5 @ TOR 12
• 2025-06-30: NYY 4 @ TOR 5
• 2025-04-27: TOR 1 @ NYY 5

Over/Under Trends

New York Yankees‘s recent games have seen an average of 14.2 total runs scored per game over their last 6 matchups, with 4 games going over the total line.

Toronto Blue Jays‘s recent games have averaged 9.0 total runs per game over their last 7 matchups, with 3 games going over the total of 9.5.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Given their positive trend, scoring consistency, and a stellar home record, the Toronto Blue Jays seem like the prudent bet here. Their key players have been consistently contributing to the team’s offensive drive, and if the team continues on their current trajectory, they’ll pose an intimidating challenge for the Yankees.

Our lean lands on the Toronto Blue Jays at -120 to cover their edge.

Over/Under Prediction

The Toronto Blue Jays are scoring 4.8 runs per game across their last five, and the New York Yankees are at 4.4. Recent form suggests where this total might land.

These teams are combining for 9.2 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 9.5, a key benchmark in MLB betting markets. Our pick is Under 9.5.

Bookmakers

Odds courtesy of: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, Bovada, BetRivers, BetMGM.

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