Prediction Details

MLB Prediction: New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays (Monday, July 21 at 07:10 PM ET)

Introduction

Major League Baseball is set to showcase another captivating encounter on the diamond, as the New York Yankees gear up to take on the Toronto Blue Jays. This American League showdown is shaping up to be a thrilling battle, with both teams boasting formidably balanced rosters enriched by top-tier talent.

Game Time

The game kicks off at Monday, July 21 at 07:10 PM ET under the roof at Rogers Centre, a hitter-leaning environment.

Moneyline Odds

New York Yankees: -115
Toronto Blue Jays: -105
Over/Under Line: 8.5

Latest Team Records

New York Yankees have a record of 54-44 with a win percentage of 0.551, while the Toronto Blue Jays hold a record of 57-41 with a win percentage of 0.582.

Injury Report

Key injuries for the New York Yankees include:

  • Clarke Schmidt (Elbow) – Status: 15-Day-IL. Schmidt shared on a personal social media account that the Tommy John surgery he underwent July 11 was successful, Gary Phillips of the New York Daily News reports.
  • Mark Leiter Jr. (Leg) – Status: 15-Day-IL. Yankees manager Aaron Boone said Thursday that he’s hopeful Leiter (leg) can resume a throwing program this weekend, Greg Joyce of the New York Post reports.
  • Oswaldo Cabrera (Ankle) – Status: 60-Day-IL. Yankees manager Aaron Boone said Thursday that there is a “small possibility” that Cabrera (ankle) could return to action this season, Bryan Hoch of MLB.com reports.

The Toronto Blue Jays are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

New York Yankees

  • Aaron Judge: 0.353 AVG, 35 HR, 81 RBI
  • Cody Bellinger: 0.284 AVG, 17 HR, 56 RBI
  • Paul Goldschmidt: 0.289 AVG, 8 HR, 36 RBI

Toronto Blue Jays

  • George Springer: 0.276 AVG, 16 HR, 53 RBI
  • Bo Bichette: 0.28 AVG, 12 HR, 53 RBI
  • Alejandro Kirk: 0.306 AVG, 7 HR, 45 RBI

Team Analysis

New York Yankees

The New York Yankees arrive at this encounter drawing from an impressive past performance. Their key trio, Aaron Judge, Cody Bellinger, and Paul Goldschmidt, have proven capable of sparking their offensive engine into life. Despite some recent setbacks, the Yankees continue to show resilience and have the lineup strength to rebound against strong competition.

While they’ve experienced fluctuation between success and challenge, their perseverance and potential for upward correction remain encouraging. Their road performance has been balanced, and that consistency away from home could play a vital role in keeping this matchup competitive.

  • Batting Average: 0.256
  • Total Runs Scored: 516
  • Home Runs: 155
  • OPS: 0.793
  • ERA: 3.92
  • WHIP: 1.23

Away Record: 25-25 • Home Record: 30-19


Toronto Blue Jays

The Blue Jays boast a solid batting lineup featuring George Springer, Bo Bichette, and Alejandro Kirk — players capable of dictating the pace of play when they find their rhythm. Their offensive foundation remains a strong asset and gives them the edge to compete in high-stakes matchups like this one.

Their home record is notably stronger than their results on the road, suggesting comfort and confidence when playing in front of the home crowd. If their top hitters find early momentum, the Blue Jays have every reason to push forward and take control of this contest.

  • Batting Average: 0.26
  • Total Runs Scored: 450
  • Home Runs: 102
  • OPS: 0.737
  • ERA: 4.1
  • WHIP: 1.26

Away Record: 23-25 • Home Record: 35-16


Head-to-Head History

Toronto Blue Jays 4–1 New York Yankees (Last 5 games)

  • 2025-07-03: NYY 5 @ TOR 8
  • 2025-07-02: NYY 9 @ TOR 11
  • 2025-07-01: NYY 5 @ TOR 12
  • 2025-06-30: NYY 4 @ TOR 5
  • 2025-04-27: TOR 1 @ NYY 5

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Choosing the New York Yankees as the moneyline pick is a decision laced with significant value. Despite their oscillating form, their demonstrated ability for improvement should be a pivotal factor. By leveraging their key players and experience, the Yankees have the potential to seize control of this matchup and offer excellent value to bettors.

The New York Yankees at -115 look like a strong bet to handle business.

Bookmakers

Lines retrieved from: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Bovada, Caesars, BetUS, DraftKings, BetMGM, BetRivers, Fanatics.

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