Introduction

Major League Baseball is set to showcase another captivating encounter on the diamond, as the New York Yankees gear up to take on the Toronto Blue Jays. This American League showdown is shaping up to be a thrilling battle, with both teams boasting formidably balanced rosters enriched by top-tier talent.

Game Time

The game kicks off at Monday, July 21 at 07:10 PM ET under the roof at Rogers Centre, a hitter-leaning environment.

Moneyline Odds

New York Yankees: -115
Toronto Blue Jays: -105
Over/Under Line: 8.5

Latest Team Records

New York Yankees have a record of 54-44 with a win percentage of 0.551, while the Toronto Blue Jays hold a record of 57-41 with a win percentage of 0.582.

Injury Report

Key injuries for the New York Yankees include:

• Clarke Schmidt (Elbow) – Status: 15-Day-IL. Schmidt shared on a personal social media account that the Tommy John surgery he underwent July 11 was successful, Gary Phillips of the New York Daily News reports.
• Mark Leiter Jr. (Leg) – Status: 15-Day-IL. Yankees manager Aaron Boone said Thursday that he’s hopeful Leiter (leg) can resume a throwing program this weekend, Greg Joyce of the New York Post reports.
• Oswaldo Cabrera (Ankle) – Status: 60-Day-IL. Yankees manager Aaron Boone said Thursday that there is a “small possibility” that Cabrera (ankle) could return to action this season, Bryan Hoch of MLB.com reports.

The Toronto Blue Jays are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

New York Yankees

• Aaron Judge: 0.353 AVG, 35 HR, 81 RBI
• Cody Bellinger: 0.284 AVG, 17 HR, 56 RBI
• Paul Goldschmidt: 0.289 AVG, 8 HR, 36 RBI

Toronto Blue Jays

• George Springer: 0.276 AVG, 16 HR, 53 RBI
• Bo Bichette: 0.28 AVG, 12 HR, 53 RBI
• Alejandro Kirk: 0.306 AVG, 7 HR, 45 RBI

Team Analysis

New York Yankees

The New York Yankees arrive at this encounter drawing from an impressive past performance. Their key trio, Aaron Judge, Cody Bellinger, and Paul Goldschmidt, have proven capable of sparking their offensive engine into life. However, the Yankees’ recent form has suggested a slight decline as they come off having a 2-3 in their last 5 games.

This record suggests a team trying to steady their form, with a fluctuation between success and setbacks. Despite this apparent inconsistency, their perseverance amidst tough times and capability for improvement is encouraging. Their statistics on the road invite optimism, given the context of this matchup.

• Batting Average: 0.256
• Total Runs Scored: 516
• Home Runs: 155
• OPS: 0.793
• ERA: 3.92
• WHIP: 1.23

Away Record: 25-25 • Home Record: 30-19
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (4.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 7-3 (6.4 RPG)

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Toronto Blue Jays

On the Blue Jays front, the team possesses a solid batting lineup, featuring George Springer, Bo Bichette, and Alejandro Kirk. The Blue Jays’ recent form is suggestive, coming off a 3-2 in their last five games, indicating they are slowly climbing the ladder to attaining steadier form.

Their home record is notably better than their away performance, which may challenge them in this encounter. Nonetheless, their slight upward trajectory and the powerhouses in their lineup could spur them on to assert control in the approaching showdown.

• Batting Average: 0.26
• Total Runs Scored: 450
• Home Runs: 102
• OPS: 0.737
• ERA: 4.1
• WHIP: 1.26

Away Record: 23-25 • Home Record: 35-16
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (4.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 7-3 (4.9 RPG)

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Head-to-Head History

Toronto Blue Jays 4–1 New York Yankees (Last 5 games)

• 2025-07-03: NYY 5 @ TOR 8
• 2025-07-02: NYY 9 @ TOR 11
• 2025-07-01: NYY 5 @ TOR 12
• 2025-06-30: NYY 4 @ TOR 5
• 2025-04-27: TOR 1 @ NYY 5

Over/Under Trends

New York Yankees‘s recent games have seen an average of 14.2 total runs scored per game over their last 6 matchups, with 4 games going over the total line.

Toronto Blue Jays‘s recent games have averaged 9.0 total runs per game over their last 7 matchups, with 3 games going over the total of 8.5.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Choosing the New York Yankees as the moneyline pick is a decision laced with significant value. Despite their oscillating form, their demonstrated ability for improvement should be a pivotal factor. By leveraging their key players and experience, the Yankees have the potential to seize control of this matchup and offer excellent value to bettors.

The New York Yankees at -115 look like a strong bet to handle business.

Over/Under Prediction

The Toronto Blue Jays are scoring 4.8 runs per game across their last five, and the New York Yankees are at 4.4. Recent form suggests where this total might land.

Recent matchups between these teams have averaged 9.2 total runs, slightly above the posted line of 8.5, which is a key number in MLB betting markets. Given that scoring trend, our pick is Over 8.5.

Bookmakers

Lines retrieved from: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Bovada, Caesars, BetUS, DraftKings, BetMGM, BetRivers, Fanatics.

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