Prediction Details

MLB Prediction: New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants (Friday, July 25 at 10:15 PM ET)

Introduction

A definitive National League showdown awaits as the New York Mets square off against the San Francisco Giants. With both teams pushing to stay in the postseason race, this matchup offers sharp bettors a stats-rich opportunity. The Mets bring recent road momentum, while the Giants aim to capitalize on home-field advantages in what should be a tightly contested clash.

Game Time

The first pitch is scheduled for Friday, July 25 at 10:15 PM ET in Oracle Park, a challenging park for home run hitters.

Moneyline Odds

New York Mets: +115
San Francisco Giants: -141
Over/Under Line: 7.5

Latest Team Records

New York Mets have a record of 59-44 with a winning percentage of 0.573, while the San Francisco Giants hold a record of 54-49 with a win percentage of 0.524.

Injury Report

The New York Mets are currently healthy without any significant injury concerns.

Key injuries for the San Francisco Giants include:

  • Christian Koss (Hamstring) – Status: 10-Day-IL. Koss (hamstring) is expected to initiate his minor-league rehab assignment next week, as reported by Shayna Rubin of the San Francisco Chronicle.

Key Player Stats

New York Mets

  • Pete Alonso: 0.272 AVG, 22 HR, 80 RBI
  • Juan Soto: 0.253 AVG, 24 HR, 59 RBI
  • Brandon Nimmo: 0.264 AVG, 19 HR, 57 RBI

San Francisco Giants

  • Rafael Devers: 0.264 AVG, 19 HR, 73 RBI
  • Heliot Ramos: 0.267 AVG, 14 HR, 50 RBI
  • Wilmer Flores: 0.245 AVG, 12 HR, 59 RBI

Team Analysis

New York Mets

Coming into this matchup, the New York Mets have been performing exceptionally on the road, riding on a wave of recent victories. Notably, the powerful trio of Pete Alonso, Juan Soto, and Brandon Nimmo have been consistently producing runs with their commanding performances. Their batting techniques and high scoring potential have kept the Mets on a favorable end of the betting coin.

The recent record of the Mets and their high-octane offense signifies an upward trend. Computing a streak of four wins in their last five away games, the team seems geared up to improve their road record further. The Mets’ dominant show on the road suggests a strong probability of them causing an upset against the Giants.

  • Batting Average: 0.242
  • Total Runs Scored: 451
  • Home Runs: 130
  • OPS: 0.733
  • ERA: 3.57
  • WHIP: 1.3

Away Record: 22-28 • Last 5 Games: 4-1 (4.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (4.1 RPG)


San Francisco Giants

On the flip side, the San Francisco Giants enjoy the comfort of home field advantage in this all-important clash. With outfielder Heliot Ramos and infielder Rafael Devers leading the scoring charge, the team will look to capitalize on their overall rhythm. It’s seminal to mention that Wilmer Flores’s home field prowess has been a differentiator, consistently driving the Giants’ offensive momentum.

However, off late, the Giants are having a bit of a rough stretch, owing to their recent home record. They have lost three of their last five games at home, signifying the need for better coordination on the field. Despite the slip, the Giants have showcased occasional flashes of brilliance and are very capable of turning the tide in their favor; all they need is consistency.

  • Batting Average: 0.233
  • Total Runs Scored: 431
  • Home Runs: 98
  • OPS: 0.687
  • ERA: 3.6
  • WHIP: 1.27

Away Record: 26-29 • Home Record: 28-20
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (6.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 3-7 (4.3 RPG)


Head-to-Head History

No recent matchups between these teams in 2025.

Over/Under Trends

New York Mets’ last 10 games have averaged 8.0 total runs per game, with 5 of those going over the posted total of 7.5.

San Francisco Giants’ last 10 games have seen an average of 10.0 combined runs, with 7 games clearing the same line of 7.5.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Despite the New York Mets’ recent surge on the road, the San Francisco Giants’ proven home field advantage can make a significant impact. The collective performance of infielder Rafael Devers, outfielder Heliot Ramos, and infielder Wilmer Flores could provide the spark required to overpower Mets. Given their potential to get back on track at home, betting on the San Francisco Giants is a smart move.

Expect the San Francisco Giants to come out on top in this one.

Over/Under Prediction

The San Francisco Giants, averaging 6.4 runs per game recently, are pushing their offensive capacities, while the New York Mets are steadfast at 4.2 runs per game. This trend paints an interesting picture for the total runs outlook.

Considering the teams’ recent form, they are combining for 10.6 runs per game – surpassing the lines set at 7.5. Betting on Over 7.5 promises value in this situation.

Bookmakers

You can find these odds at: FanDuel, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, Caesars, MyBookie.ag, BetMGM, DraftKings, Bovada, BetUS, BetRivers, Fanatics.

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