Introduction

In a classic National League showdown, the New York Mets strut their stuff on the road against the San Diego Padres. This MLB prediction pits the tenacious Mets, who’ve maintained a powerful rhythm away from home, against the Padres who’ve shown a formidable stand at home. Expect a high-energy game as both teams show their might in the batter’s box and on the field.

Game Time

The action begins at Tuesday, July 29 at 09:40 PM ET at Petco Park, where late-inning unders often hit.

Moneyline Odds

New York Mets: -120
San Diego Padres: +100
Over/Under Line: 8.0

Latest Team Records

New York Mets: 62-44 (Win %: 0.585)
San Diego Padres: 57-49 (Win %: 0.538)

Injury Report

Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

New York Mets

• Pete Alonso: 0.266 AVG, 22 HR, 81 RBI
• Juan Soto: 0.252 AVG, 25 HR, 62 RBI
• Brandon Nimmo: 0.261 AVG, 19 HR, 60 RBI

San Diego Padres

• Manny Machado: 0.3 AVG, 19 HR, 66 RBI
• Fernando Tatis Jr.: 0.268 AVG, 17 HR, 44 RBI
• Gavin Sheets: 0.25 AVG, 14 HR, 52 RBI

Team Analysis

New York Mets

While the New York Mets have been known to falter on the road, they’ve recently swept their last 5 games, providing them solid momentum for this matchup. Their explosive trio, Pete Alonso, Juan Soto, and Brandon Nimmo, has been instrumental in maintaining their high scoring averages, giving them the edge offensively. Fielding too has shown immense mettle, putting up a strong front.

The Mets undeniable energy and strength on the field have been the backbone of their recent form, making them a worthy contender in this bout. The Mets have shown their prowess in delivering match-winning performances when it matters, and they’re geared up to take on the Padres with that same spirit.

• Batting Average: 0.243
• Total Runs Scored: 466
• Home Runs: 133
• OPS: 0.736
• ERA: 3.52
• WHIP: 1.3

Away Record: 25-28 • Home Record: 37-16
Last 5 Games: 5-0 (4.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 7-3 (4.2 RPG)

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San Diego Padres

The San Diego Padres carry a notable home record into this high-scoring matchup against the Mets. Their key players, Manny Machado, Fernando Tatis Jr., and Gavin Sheets have shown their worth, bringing the necessary firepower to the plate. Despite their recent inconsistent results, their strength lies in their capacity to bounce back and this game presents an opportunity for them to do so.

With their solid home record, the Padres have the perfect setting to rise to the occasion. They know how to make the most of their home ground advantage and will look to leverage it in this promising duel. They’re poised to display a stellar show to throw off the Mets’ stride.

• Batting Average: 0.249
• Total Runs Scored: 426
• Home Runs: 89
• OPS: 0.694
• ERA: 3.58
• WHIP: 1.23

Away Record: 26-31 • Home Record: 31-18
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (4.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (4.3 RPG)

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Head-to-Head History

No recent matchups between these teams in 2025.

Over/Under Trends

New York Mets’ last 10 games have averaged 7.5 total runs per game, with 4 of those going over the posted total of 8.0.

San Diego Padres’ last 10 games have seen an average of 7.3 combined runs, with 4 games clearing the same line of 8.0.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Marching into this matchup with a 5-win streak, the New York Mets wield their batting prowess and strong form to confidently navigate through the Padres defense. The Mets have repeatedly demonstrated their powerhouse hitting and run-scoring potential. With their road form gaining consistency, tipping in favor of the New York Mets is an astute move for the bettors.

Backing the New York Mets feels like the smart move here.

Over/Under Prediction

Averaging 4.2 runs per game lately, the San Diego Padres are ramping up offensively, while the New York Mets are putting up 4.8. That could influence how this matchup shapes up against the total.

These teams are combining for 9.0 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 8.0, a crucial pivot point in betting markets. Our pick is Over 8.0.

Bookmakers

These lines come from: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, BetMGM, BetRivers, Fanatics.

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