Introduction

Prepare for an intriguing National League showdown between the New York Mets and the Milwaukee Brewers. This matchup analysis reveals a tale of two contrasting narratives, with the Mets striving to regain their footing on the road and the Brewers boasting a formidable home performance. The recent head-to-head history leans slightly in the Brewers favor, with the teams splitting the last four games but Milwaukee taking the most recent encounter.

Game Time

First pitch will be thrown at Sunday, August 10 at 02:10 PM ET inside American Family Field, where lineups feast on fastballs.

Odds & Spread Line

New York Mets: -108
Milwaukee Brewers: -112
Over/Under Line: 8.5
Spread Line:
New York Mets: -1.5 (+150)
Milwaukee Brewers: +1.5 (-182)

Latest Team Records

New York Mets: 63-53 (Win %: 0.543)
Milwaukee Brewers: 71-44 (Win %: 0.617)

Injury Report

The New York Mets are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Milwaukee Brewers are missing Garrett Mitchell (Shoulder), listed as 60-Day-IL.

Key Player Stats

New York Mets

• Pete Alonso: 0.262 AVG, 25 HR, 91 RBI
• Juan Soto: 0.249 AVG, 27 HR, 65 RBI
• Francisco Lindor: 0.247 AVG, 21 HR, 64 RBI

Milwaukee Brewers

• Christian Yelich: 0.26 AVG, 21 HR, 74 RBI
• Jackson Chourio: 0.276 AVG, 17 HR, 67 RBI
• Brice Turang: 0.276 AVG, 9 HR, 53 RBI

Team Analysis

New York Mets

The New York Mets find themselves in a challenging spot, with their road form not matching their stronger home performances. While key standouts like Pete Alonso and Juan Soto have put up impressive numbers, the team’s overall rhythm on the road leaves much to be desired. Their recent form has been shaky, with losses piling up and their once strong offense struggling to maintain consistency.

Despite these challenges, the Mets still possess significant threats in their lineup. Francisco Lindor, in particular, has looked sharp in certain outings, and if he can find his form, the Mets could turn things around. They will be looking to leverage their offensive potential to break out of their slump and get back to winning ways.

• Batting Average: 0.238
• Total Runs Scored: 503
• Home Runs: 142
• OPS: 0.722
• ERA: 3.65
• WHIP: 1.31

Away Record: 25-33 • Home Record: 38-21
Last 5 Games: 0-5 (3.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 1-9 (3.5 RPG)

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Milwaukee Brewers

The Milwaukee Brewers are enjoying a strong season, particularly at home. Their recent form has been nearly flawless, with a series of wins that demonstrate their offensive prowess and consistent scoring. Players like Christian Yelich and Jackson Chourio have been key contributors to this surge, delivering at the plate when it matters most.

Despite the injury to Garrett Mitchell, the Brewers have managed to maintain their momentum. Their home form has been particularly impressive, and they will look to leverage this advantage against the struggling Mets. With their current rhythm and confidence, the Brewers are well-positioned to extend their winning streak.

• Batting Average: 0.256
• Total Runs Scored: 573
• Home Runs: 115
• OPS: 0.726
• ERA: 3.61
• WHIP: 1.24

Away Record: 34-24 • Home Record: 38-20
Last 5 Games: 5-0 (5.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 9-1 (7.5 RPG)

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Head-to-Head History

Milwaukee Brewers lead 3–2 (Last 5 games)

• August 09, 2025: NYM 4 @ MIL 7
• August 08, 2025: NYM 2 @ MIL 3
• July 03, 2025: MIL 2 @ NYM 3
• July 02, 2025: MIL 3 @ NYM 7
• July 02, 2025: MIL 7 @ NYM 2

Over/Under Trends

New York Mets’ last 10 games have averaged 9.3 total runs per game, with 4 of those going over the posted total of 8.5.

Milwaukee Brewers’ last 10 games have seen an average of 11.5 combined runs, with 8 games clearing the same line of 8.5.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Given the Brewers’ dominant home form and the Mets’ struggles on the road, this game seems to tilt in Milwaukee’s favor. They have been on a tear recently, with their key players firing on all cylinders. Despite the Mets’ potential to bounce back, the Brewers’ consistency and momentum make them the more likely victors in this encounter.

All signs suggest the Milwaukee Brewers are the right side.

Over/Under Prediction

In their last five games, the Milwaukee Brewers have posted 5.0 runs per game, while the New York Mets have averaged 3.0. This recent output is key to judging the total.

These teams are combining for 8.0 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 8.5, a crucial pivot point in betting markets. Our pick is Under 8.5.

Bookmakers

Available at: FanDuel, Fanatics, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, MyBookie.ag, Bovada, BetMGM, BetUS, BetRivers.

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