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MLB Prediction: Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers (Monday, August 04 at 06:40 PM ET)
Introduction
Two formidable forces of the American League go head-to-head as the Minnesota Twins lock horns with the Detroit Tigers. These teams, each with their unique strengths, chart their own course in their pursuit of victory. Our comprehensive MLB prediction will equip you with everything you need to stay ahead of the curve in this intriguing matchup.
Game Time
First pitch is set for Monday, August 04 at 06:40 PM ET inside Detroit’s Comerica Park—a field known to test the might of power hitters.
Moneyline Odds
Minnesota Twins: +128
Detroit Tigers: -152
Over/Under Line: 8.0
Latest Team Records
Minnesota Twins: 51-59 (Win %: 0.464)
Detroit Tigers: 65-47 (Win %: 0.58)
Injury Report
The Minnesota Twins will be without Pablo Lopez (Shoulder), who’s on a 60-Day-IL, and Anthony Misiewicz (Pectoral), currently on a 15-Day-IL. Meanwhile, the Detroit Tigers stand at full strength with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
Minnesota Twins
- Byron Buxton: 0.282 AVG, 23 HR, 59 RBI
- Trevor Larnach: 0.242 AVG, 13 HR, 44 RBI
- Brooks Lee: 0.25 AVG, 10 HR, 43 RBI
Detroit Tigers
- Riley Greene: 0.271 AVG, 26 HR, 84 RBI
- Spencer Torkelson: 0.234 AVG, 23 HR, 63 RBI
- Gleyber Torres: 0.277 AVG, 13 HR, 54 RBI
Team Analysis
Minnesota Twins
The Minnesota Twins come into this game having struggled on the road. Their away form has been patchy at best, reflected in their 22-35 away record. They’ve been unable to capitalize on the momentum they’ve found at times, particularly from the likes of Byron Buxton and Trevor Larnach, and will need to find a way to finalize games if they want to improve their position.
The Twins’ offense is looking to crack the code, producing an average 3.4 runs per game over their last five encounters—a rather modest performance. Their lacklustre form is all the more noticeable when considering their road record, which hints towards their ongoing struggles to get into an offensive rhythm away from home.
- Batting Average: 0.241
- Total Runs Scored: 457
- Home Runs: 126
- OPS: 0.709
- ERA: 4.28
- WHIP: 1.27
Away Record: 22-35 • Home Record: 30-24
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (3.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 3-7 (3.1 RPG)
Detroit Tigers
The Detroit Tigers ride high coming into this matchup, buoyed by their recent form, which saw them earn 3 wins in their last 5 games, averaging 6.0 runs per game. Their confident run of form is backed by their strong home record, standing at 36-21. Riley Greene and Spencer Torkelson have been notable contributors to the Tigers’ offensive rhythm and will be key players to watch in this matchup.
The Tigers come into this game with the wind at their backs. They’ve shown they can power through at home and have a respectable scoring record to show for it. Such offensive consistency will likely serve them well against the struggling Twins and could lay the foundation for an impactful offensive display at Comerica Park.
- Batting Average: 0.25
- Total Runs Scored: 543
- Home Runs: 144
- OPS: 0.741
- ERA: 3.77
- WHIP: 1.23
Away Record: 29-27 • Home Record: 36-21
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (6.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (5.2 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Detroit Tigers lead 4–2 (Last 6 games)
- June 29, 2025: MIN 0 @ DET 3
- June 28, 2025: MIN 5 @ DET 10
- June 27, 2025: MIN 4 @ DET 1
- April 13, 2025: DET 1 @ MIN 5
- April 12, 2025: DET 4 @ MIN 0
- April 11, 2025: DET 7 @ MIN 6
Over/Under Trends
Minnesota Twins’ last 10 games have averaged 8.8 total runs per game, with 7 of those going over the posted total of 8.0.
Detroit Tigers’ last 10 games have seen an average of 9.6 combined runs, with 6 games clearing the same line of 8.0.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Even though the Twins have not shown consistency in their recent games, a victory for them will not be an uphill battle as their key players, Byron Buxton and Trevor Larnach, can take the game by the scruff of its neck at any given time. With a clear underdog advantage, the Minnesota Twins command respect.
The Minnesota Twins at +128 present value in a spot that’s easy to overlook.
Over/Under Prediction
The Twins averaging 3.4 runs per game in their last five games, and the Tigers averaging 6.0 imply a trend of high-scoring games. Combined, these teams recently averaged 9.4 runs per game, above the posted total of 8.0. This trend suggests a strong likelihood for a high total score in the upcoming matchup.
This matchup looks set to offer up plenty of run-scoring action and leans towards an Over 8.0 finish.
Bookmakers
These lines come from: FanDuel, Fanatics, MyBookie.ag.
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